moneypitmike Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Obs thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 I'm on the way home from Harris Ski Jump in Brattleboro. It's was up to 38F, but there's about 6" of snow coverr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Based on the latest models runs over the past 24 hours I've decided to bump up numbers to 4-8. I was contemplating going as high as 5-9 but decided against it after seeing some 18Z runs and HRRR backing off a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Based on the latest models runs over the past 24 hours I've decided to bump up numbers to 4-8. I was contemplating going as high as 5-9 but decided against it after seeing some 18Z runs and HRRR backing off a bit. You should make a new thread and put all your verification maps in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 RGEM Smack on the BM hr 12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 GFS isn't just warm at the surface. What is considered the pressure level where the BL typically ends? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 12 minutes ago, JC-CT said: You should make a new thread and put all your verification maps in it. I can do that, i have one for almost every storm that was greater than an inch or so this season. Maybe after this one is done ill put them all in one place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 10 minutes ago, JC-CT said: GFS isn't just warm at the surface. What is considered the pressure level where the BL typically ends? typically you'd go up to around 900/925 for top of BL. GFS is def pretty warm there. Gets IJD to above freezing slightly at 950mb and -1C at 900. I don't think you'll see rain though. I'd sell that I think. Doesn't have much support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Since 0z, the RGEM has gotten more meh with every run. Yet the Euro has improved from 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said: Since 0z, the RGEM has gotten more meh with every run. Yet the Euro has improved from 0z. The best rgem run was actually 06z. Had almost all of SNE over half inch of qpf. Then each run got a little less impressive. But the 18z run is still better than last nights 00z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 The gfs seems all by itself with that warmth so far inland. It does seeem to warm IMO. I feel like it’s up to old tricks. It also did improve though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: typically you'd go up to around 900/925 for top of BL. GFS is def pretty warm there. Gets IJD to above freezing slightly at 950mb and -1C at 900. I don't think you'll see rain though. I'd sell that I think. Doesn't have much support. RGEM gets IJD to 0c at 925 hpa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 RGEM also was a bit cooler for Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: The gfs seems all by itself with that warmth so far inland. It does seeem to warm IMO. I feel like it’s up to old tricks. It also did improve though. GFS has a 2m temp of 40 for me right now... currents are 33/21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Been watching the traffic cams in the Baltimore Washington area. Vis is really coming down snow starting to stick. Just grabbed this screen shot (455pm) near BWI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: GFS has a 2m temp of 40 for me right now... currents are 33/21 I’ll take the under Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 29.6/21 We powder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Been watching the traffic cams in the Baltimore Washington area. Vis is really coming down snow starting to stick. Just grabbed this screen shot (455pm) near BWI.In DC snowing pretty good in the Mall area, sticking also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 Thinking we can get 2-4" on the mountain tonight. HRRR keeps getting better and is now up to 0.3" QPF for the mountain. Different from other SNE coastal systems with sharp cut-offs, this looks like a widespread light snow event for much of NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 29.6/21 We powder Prototypical save a horse storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Thinking we can get 2-4" on the mountain tonight. HRRR keeps getting better and is now up to 0.3" QPF for the mountain. Different from other SNE coastal systems with sharp cut-offs, this looks like a widespread light snow event for much of NNE. Lol I remember your Euro OTL post when it showed that a day or so ago. Save a horse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Thinking we can get 2-4" on the mountain tonight. HRRR keeps getting better and is now up to 0.3" QPF for the mountain. Different from other SNE coastal systems with sharp cut-offs, this looks like a widespread light snow event for much of NNE. This one has a bit of a disconnect between best upper air support and sfc forcing. If it didn't we'd prob be talking a very potent system that brings widespread 6-10/8-12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: This one has a bit of a disconnect between best upper air support and sfc forcing. If it didn't we'd prob be talking a very potent system that brings widespread 6-10/8-12. Most of interior SNE sees 6-8 lolli 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Prototypical save a horse storm. How’s your horse for more snow this month? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Prototypical save a horse storm. Ya. Don’t get the waffling by some on every single run from every single piece of information....theres way too much guidance out there nowadays, it’s to a fault if you cant see the big picture well. Been 4-8” for many days now. Some lollies to 10”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Prototypical save a horse storm. Yeah, I'm in willi and it is down right chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol I remember your Euro OTL post when it showed that a day or so ago. Save a horse Yup definitely getting it done but sort of for a different reason than I was thinking, which is why I nixed the Euro run a couple days ago. Not so much that we are on the edge of the main "coastal storm" but that there's enough upper level support for widespread light snows way away from the actual surface low track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Yeah, I'm in willi and it is down right chilly. I am in Coventry right now, no snow yet but I see a cow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: This one has a bit of a disconnect between best upper air support and sfc forcing. If it didn't we'd prob be talking a very potent system that brings widespread 6-10/8-12. Yeah has that larger UL light snow look over an expansive area, and maybe I'm looking at it wrong but H5 and H7 seem a bit north of where say south of the Pike would like them for a big ticket event like you said. Seems more general upper level support in CNE/NNE but the best lower level fronto stuff is down near Ginxy's latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2018 Share Posted February 17, 2018 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: How’s your horse for more snow this month? Snowiest EPS run this winter ironically. Don't sleep on next weekend or day 11 ,day 14. So interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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