Typhoon Tip Posted February 16, 2018 Author Share Posted February 16, 2018 Meh,... we still have to eat a NAM solution to the tune of 3.21" liquid equivalence at Logan before this thing settles into whatever - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 Anyone wanna take bets as to what happens with the afternoon package? Watches are going to advisories imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 I’m expecting 6-7” here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Meh,... we still have to eat a NAM solution to the tune of 3.21" liquid equivalence at Logan before this thing settles into whatever - Lol...prob tonight's 00z run. It will look like an ARW run where it has 1.4" of QPF and even 0.5" up to powderfreak with the 850 0C line breaching Kevin's hood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: I’m expecting 6-7” here gl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: gl Why Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 RPM looking more robust this run, probably going to be the best run that things had on this event so far.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Why I'm just saying gl. Maybe a tad high (1-2") but it's negligible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m expecting 6-7” here You should be good for 3-4”.... 6-7” seems high even for the favored area south and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 NAM looking good early on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: RPM looking more robust this run, probably going to be the best run that things had on this event so far.. Yeah this run looks weenieish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16, 2018 Author Share Posted February 16, 2018 does anyone wanna go the gym and work out for me... i have a head cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 NAM looks more amped through 30 hours as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 NAM looks better at hr 30 for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16, 2018 Author Share Posted February 16, 2018 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: might as well be a snow squall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 Snow growth looks decent... but I was surprised how little omega the NAM had. Definitely not one of those omega/DGZ cross hair looks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 The 15z SREFs were very chuck worthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 Just now, CT Rain said: The 15z SREFs were very chuck worthy. the bell went ding-ding for them finally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 3 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Snow growth looks decent... but I was surprised how little omega the NAM had. Definitely not one of those omega/DGZ cross hair looks. NAM is def still a bit south, but better than the 12z run. Seems like it is still concentrating the most lift down around LI. A bit further south than some other guidance. I bet it will tick north again at 00z given the trends on other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 GYX kind of bearish in their latest AFD: For Saturday night...clouds overspread the remainder of the area from west to east in advance of northern and southern streamshortwave impulses over the Great Lakes and midwest. Progressive southern stream impulse will bring an associated surface low south and east of the 40N/70W benchmark early Sunday with surface trough extending northwest into coastal Maine. The QPF has come into better agreement on the 12z operational runs with the QPF axis showing a pronounced shift further south and east offshore. Potential snow amounts were lowered for this package with no winter headlines at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 3 minutes ago, tamarack said: GYX kind of bearish in their latest AFD: For Saturday night...clouds overspread the remainder of the area from west to east in advance of northern and southern streamshortwave impulses over the Great Lakes and midwest. Progressive southern stream impulse will bring an associated surface low south and east of the 40N/70W benchmark early Sunday with surface trough extending northwest into coastal Maine. The QPF has come into better agreement on the 12z operational runs with the QPF axis showing a pronounced shift further south and east offshore. Potential snow amounts were lowered for this package with no winter headlines at this time. Still time for them to go either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 Def the first really good RPM run...pretty good area of 6"+...we'll see if the RGEM (another meso) tries to ramp up at 18z. I would weight that a lote more than the RPM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 3k NAM much more robust looking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 The RPM is like an unattended fire hose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Def the first really good RPM run...pretty good area of 6"+...we'll see if the RGEM (another meso) tries to ramp up at 18z. I would weight that a lote more than the RPM. And an solution I would not call wonky either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 TFlizz will jack 9-10” and be shocked. Same song and dance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: TFlizz will jack 9-10” and be shocked. Same song and dance. Meh...Tblizz thinking 1-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: TFlizz will jack 9-10” and be shocked. Same song and dance. It's a winning formula. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2018 Share Posted February 16, 2018 Soundings on 3K, my name is Thumpiity, MAUL me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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