Bob Chill Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 Just now, Ji said: GFS forgot to eject the s/w energy this run It's trying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 18 minutes ago, Ji said: 12z ICON destroys us haha That's a nice hit but I am still shoveling my 135" of icon fantasy snow this winter....haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: It's trying yep...gets some frozen precip in NW NC/Sw Va. Certainly better looking than 6z. I wonder what the impact of that sw low. It came out 6z and the run was a disaster lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 1 minute ago, Ji said: yep...gets some frozen precip in NW NC/Sw Va. Certainly better looking than 6z. I wonder what the impact of that sw low. It came out 6z and the run was a disaster lol It's a good run man. A legit wave running through NC/southern VA @ d5 is pretty much right where we want it. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 Just now, Bob Chill said: It's a good run man. A legit wave running through NC/southern VA @ d5 is pretty much right where we want it. lol the GFS has to be wrong once this winter right? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 Just now, Ji said: the GFS has to be wrong once this winter right? lol I'd be willing to bet that if we were ever to get any snow this winter, the GFS would be the last one to pick up on it, lol Gonna be interesting to see if IT does the caving for once....can we hope?... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 Everything is away so close... I mean there is always a NSW and SSW but they can never phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 I guess the CMC forgot you run today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 54 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Just throwing a contrarian idea in so don't think I'm being hostile. Just discussing...but wouldn't that be better in banter? Legit negatuve analysis is fine. Plenty of us have said the pattern looks bad and why. But pure complaining about how someone doesn't like it seems like banter or panic room stuff to me. Because 90% of us aren't happy and the people who make those kinds of emotional posts seem to outnumber the people making substantive analysis so if that belongs in here wouldn't this thread just come one big b!tch fest about how bad this winter was? Im pretty unhappy about it too. And I wouldn't mind venting a bit. Create a thread for that or do it in banter and panic and I'll participate but why does it have to be in this thread if some are still trying to simply objectively analyze the pattern? Im not upset about anything I'm just unsure why some insist in posting their frustrations in this thread when there are threads specifically created for that? Everyone can get what they want. They can complain 10 times a day and those that want a thread to analyze without 60 posts a day of complaints can have that too if we all simply post in the correct threads. I just don't understand why that's so hard? Dude, CAPE posted, and I responded. Gonna call him out too, or just people who don't want their flowering trees destroyed in the search for a paste bomb in March? Do I need to post a random map to be allowed to post in this thread? **** this. That was my first post in this thread, and it gets this. This place sucks. I just re-checked page 6, and LOL - but my post gets called out. But, okey dokey. You got it. I am out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 Does anyone know what the cmc is showing? It didn't update on TT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 31 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: It's a good run man. A legit wave running through NC/southern VA @ d5 is pretty much right where we want it. lol Absolutely. World's apart from 6z. Let's hope something can break our way eventually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 14 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Does anyone know what the cmc is showing? It didn't update on TT. It doesn't look like it has run yet for some reason. Everyone at the CMC is probably watching the winter Olympics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 1 hour ago, Ji said: 12z ICON destroys us haha 1-2" is destruction? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 Soooooooo.....just to summarize for the weekend "threat". Yes: ICON, CMC (0Z at least), a fraction of GEFS and EPS ensemble members vs No: GFS, Euro, and the majority of the EPS and GEFS ensemble members. Guidance doesn't look great at the moment, but doesn't appear to close the door on us yet, either. At least it gives us something to track! and dream about... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 11 minutes ago, yoda said: 1-2" is destruction? This winter that is a destroying...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 1 hour ago, poolz1 said: Speculating past day 16 during a year like we have had comes with big risks in here..lol But I still enjoy it.. Looping that run of the gefs has the trough backing into the east coast and the trough in SW continuing to fade off the coast. Higher heights starting in W Canada and wanting to connect to the NAO ridge. IMO, day 18-19 would be a beautiful look. Funny how both the gefs and geps had this look a few days ago and then lost it and then now both are picking back up on the idea... Any changes up top, including the favored NAO domain, that would be West - NAO based vs East based - NAO will take time to happen. Would be nice to get some PAC help as well by that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 Starting to see some response on the GEFS from the building -NAO. 12z really mutes the SE ridge towards day 15. Getting avg/below avg temps back in the east. Still troughiness out west, but a not horribly hostile look. Progress over the last few runs overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 This can work. Eject some SW energy eastward underneath a stout block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 12, 2018 Author Share Posted February 12, 2018 1 minute ago, C.A.P.E. said: This can work. Eject some SW energy eastward underneath a stout block. Sucks that it’s february 28-31, but that’s a pretty good look, especially with some troughiness near 50/50. This time of year, I just get done with looking at D10+. Even if it’s a snowy year that’s usually true for me by February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 Just now, WxUSAF said: Sucks that it’s february 28-31, but that’s a pretty good look, especially with some troughiness near 50/50. This time of year, I just get done with looking at D10+. Even if it’s a snowy year that’s usually true for me by February. February 31st? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 1 hour ago, North Balti Zen said: Dude, CAPE posted, and I responded. Gonna call him out too, or just people who don't want their flowering trees destroyed in the search for a paste bomb in March? Do I need to post a random map to be allowed to post in this thread? **** this. That was my first post in this thread, and it gets this. This place sucks. I just re-checked page 6, and LOL - but my post gets called out. But, okey dokey. You got it. I am out. Chill out. No one attacked you. Go back and read the first line of my post. I literally said I'm just throwing a contrarian opinion out to discuss and not being hostile, and you still act like its shots fired. No one is trying to chase you anywhere so stop it. I was offering my opinion of what kind of posts would be better off in what threads. its just my opinion. I have no power to enforce anything. And I didn't even come at you lie that I said I wanted to discuss and posed a question and you react like your under attack? If people have the right to post 500 complaints and 500 posts why they should get to complain then I damn well have the right to offer my opinion also. That's not an attack that's how a freaking discussion works. But for some reason lately anytime someone disagrees with anyone else they act like someone spit on them. It's getting old. I don't have any problem with you. And I'm not trying to chase you or anyone else away (except Avanti he is a hot mess) but if you offer your opinion on things others have the right to offer differing opinions. You are welcome to disagree with me and push back but I have the right to disagree with you especially when I went out of my way to do it in a civil respectful way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Sucks that it’s february 28-31, but that’s a pretty good look, especially with some troughiness near 50/50. This time of year, I just get done with looking at D10+. Even if it’s a snowy year that’s usually true for me by February. Agreed. But we need the hail mary, lol. I do like that the CFS weeklies have been pretty steady with a good look for weeks 3 and 4. And now we appear to be seeing the GEFS move towards what it is depicting for the same time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 GEFS seems to have brought back the weekend deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 12, 2018 Author Share Posted February 12, 2018 24 minutes ago, UIWWildthing said: February 31st? Of course. Best storms happen in the 29-31 Range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 12, 2018 Author Share Posted February 12, 2018 GGEM snows on us (DC north) this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 If negative comments belong in banter, or panic, than by this point so does any talk regarding the ICON. That model is garbage. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 euro has nothing but it looks better than 00z...there is something more organized down south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 1 minute ago, Ji said: euro has nothing but it looks better than 00z...there is something more organized down south This is the winter of n, s, e, w of the D.C. snow hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 3 minutes ago, Ji said: euro has nothing but it looks better than 00z...there is something more organized down south Where are you getting the Euro? Its only out to 24 on Wxbell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 weather.us has it out to 156 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.