WxUSAF Posted February 13, 2018 Author Share Posted February 13, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Wxbell sucks. Free maps look pretty decent. I'll extrapolate 3" in my yard and move on. Yeah, I think euro may be good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 euro look good boys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 and we are still snowing at 6z lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 We snow edit: and taint, and rain. Doesn't matter tho. Just gottta hope we get a compromise of something betweenthe GFS/Euro lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 Just now, Ji said: and we are still snowing at 6z lol Mid levels and surface looked great on the freebies. Great panel dude. No north trend please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ji said: Being a church musician, I have to consider how the roads will look even on a Sunday...and this would be right in that commute time if it verifies! Something to watch... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 Just now, Bob Chill said: Mid levels and surface looked great on the freebies. Great panel dude. No north trend please. this is where i wish the bullseye was in Richmond...because the storm is pretty strong...its not some weak sauce like the GFS that even if it wasnt supressed would be crap lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Being a church musician, I have to consider how the roads will look even on a Sunday...and this would be right in that commute time if it verifies! i was thinking the same thing haha...play electric guitar for my church Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 Just now, Ji said: this is where i wish the bullseye was in Richmond...because the storm is pretty strong...its not some weak sauce like the GFS that even if it wasnt supressed would be crap lol Only 4 days out from the -ao/transient 50/50 that sets it all up. We're right on the margins though. Plenty of reason to be nervous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 we are 24-48 hours from getting into my magic 84- 96 hour rang Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 its always a good sign when models have a storm...lose it in the midrange and bring it back....usually when they bring it back...they dont lose it again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 Has to be a first this winter that the ECM and GGEM agree at this short a lead time. But the GFS is standing champion so we will see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 euro looks like borderline warning level event. Considering the lack of action between now and the end of the month its time to will this one home! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 1 minute ago, SnowGolfBro said: euro looks like borderline warning level event. Considering the lack of action between now and the end of the month its time to will this one home! 3 inches is my benchmark....we get 3 inches..that is a legit event for me and I will be happy...till Sunday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 7 minutes ago, Ji said: i was thinking the same thing haha...play electric guitar for my church Oh do you now? Ah, so I'm not the only snow-loving musician on this thread! Message me (I won't cloud things up with any more banterish stuff here) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 This really reminds me of Feb 9th, 2017. Does this ring a bell to anyone else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: euro looks like borderline warning level event. Considering the lack of action between now and the end of the month its time to will this one home! Verbatim that's definitely a warning level event for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 Even if it lasts only two hours, I like to see the everything with a blanket of snow. No grass or sidewalks poking through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 So...what's more of a risk, here? North or south? (I'm guessing north based on the pattern?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: Oh do you now? Ah, so I'm not the only snow-loving musician on this thread! Message me (I won't cloud things up with any more banterish stuff here) yep...dont mind my non church behavior in here lol...i get really emotional with snow. I promise im sorta normal in real life. Ill PM you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: So...what's more of a risk, here? North or south? (I'm guessing north based on the pattern?) the risk is whatever wont get us snow....but definitely a north trend i would say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 Sucks its an overnight snow. hopefully it comes earlier or later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 5 minutes ago, RedSky said: Has to be a first this winter that the ECM and GGEM agree at this short a lead time. But the GFS is standing champion so we will see I feel better knowing that this "standing champion" has also been kinda jumpy this go round. Hasn't shown the same look two times in a row yet (just look at 6z and 12z, lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 Gotta love it when the Euro op looks like one of the weeniest EPS members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 Boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: So...what's more of a risk, here? North or south? (I'm guessing north based on the pattern?) Yes, north is the most likely fail. Still could get a good mixed event becuase this is one of the better/fresher antecedent airmass we've had all year. Storms have been coming too late after the midlevels rot out. This one is basically the day after the front clears. Near perfect timing for a progressive pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 The good news the day before is not a torch. It's the day before that. I'll dig up the Feb 9th 2017 event when I can, but the setup is similar it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Yes, north is the most likely fail. Still could get a good mixed event becuase this is one of the better/fresher antecedent airmass we've had all year. Storms have been coming too late after the midlevels rot out. This one is basically the day after the front clears. Near perfect timing for a progressive pattern. Im nervous for a north trend now. Euro is near perfect and we have another 4.5 days. Thats an eternity in this pattern..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 13, 2018 Share Posted February 13, 2018 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Yes, north is the most likely fail. Still could get a good mixed event becuase this is one of the better/fresher antecedent airmass we've had all year. Storms have been coming too late after the midlevels rot out. This one is basically the day after the front clears. Near perfect timing for a progressive pattern. Someone here did mention PD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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