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The Pope's 'And There You Have It" SWFE Feb 7 2018


moneypitmike

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  On 2/7/2018 at 12:23 PM, jbenedet said:

@moneypitmike

In an effort to remain humble, and avoid coming off as prideful-- I must admit--it's still not over, and things could obviously change; but I absolutely appreciate the early recognition. Def makes the struggle of forecasting more enjoyable. I'll remember this. 

19/15 - Overcast

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Just throw some ASOUT's around in your posts. The true papal 'we'.

HRRR has an ugly track.

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  On 2/7/2018 at 12:25 PM, moneypitmike said:

Just throw some ASOUT's around in your posts. The true papal 'we'.

HRRR has an ugly track.

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Certainly not banking on the HRRR, even at this range, but I still feel great about the map I put out yesterday afternoon for MA and the implied totals for points north....

 

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  On 2/7/2018 at 1:04 PM, CoastalWx said:

I feel like ice could be an issue interior NE MA SW through ORH county maybe into nrn ct? I just do not see that area getting above freezing.

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Seems like that was the main argument yesterday. If the low track squeezes south they won't hit freezing. Mid levels have warmed a bit since yesterday but I don't see any wholesale changes, maybe take them down an inch or 2?  

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  On 2/7/2018 at 1:18 PM, wx2fish said:

Seems like that was the main argument yesterday. If the low track squeezes south they won't hit freezing. Mid levels have warmed a bit since yesterday but I don't see any wholesale changes, maybe take them down an inch or 2?  

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Yeah amount of snow will be less. Solid 6 for you anyways. 

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  On 2/7/2018 at 12:23 PM, jbenedet said:

@moneypitmike

In an effort to remain humble, and avoid coming off as prideful-- I must admit--it's still not over, and things could obviously change; but I absolutely appreciate the early recognition. Def makes the struggle of forecasting more enjoyable. I'll remember this. 

19/15 - Overcast

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Since this is your event please provide frequent observation/ updates/ pics of slush puddles this afternoon. How many miles are you from the sea coast? We don't have any members in Portsmouth.

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  On 2/7/2018 at 1:22 PM, HoarfrostHubb said:

And how is it determined if the Pope verifies or not?  

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  On 2/6/2018 at 7:42 PM, jbenedet said:

 

Pink 6-12" all frozen (some sleet).

Yellow 4-8" snow/sleet to 3 hr period of moderate rain.

Light Blue 3-6" front end thump to a 3-6 hr period of rain. 

Gray: 1-3" to rain.

Green: 1" to rain.

 

The 4-8" gradient goes along Rt 125 in NH. west of there is 6-12", east of there is 4-8" 3 hr period of rain.

massachusetts.gif

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