Stebo Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 3 minutes ago, Chinook said: One storm reports says 8.3" south of Detroit Metro Airport. I buy it, our snow measurement I believe will be coming in this hour. I am betting we are near 9" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 9, 2018 Author Share Posted February 9, 2018 2 minutes ago, Stebo said: I buy it, our snow measurement I believe will be coming in this hour. I am betting we are near 9" here. #snowmagnet I'll take whatever I get now. My expectations for big snowfalls have been lowered significantly after many disappointments Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Amounts really haven't dampered this storm for me. Maybe just 3" out there, but it looks beautiful. To know and see snow is to love snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 8.7" officially as of the top of the hour here at DTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 Looks like there's "good" agreement on 1-3" for the area tonight, with maybe a locally higher amount WSW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 ORD finished at 7.8" with the 1st event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 1 hour ago, Snowstorms said: Traffic is at a standstill. Eyeballing I'd say were closing in on 3.0" in Toronto. 4.0" seems attainable. Overall, this is what I was expecting from wave one, perhaps even better. We've received about 2-3" I'd say. If we could end up with 2" per wave, I'd be happy. How's wave two looking? EC calling for 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoalCityWxMan Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 This f-gen band is something else. Just keeps going. Appears to be strengthening again now. Dropped 1” in 26 minutes earlier here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveIA Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 13 minutes ago, CoalCityWxMan said: This f-gen band is something else. Just keeps going. Appears to be strengthening again now. Dropped 1” in 26 minutes earlier here. Sometimes out in Reno Nevada, you will have a forecast of 1-2 inches and youll get this small, regenerating cell that parks over the city and dumps 24 inches in 12 hours. Happens about once every 3-5 years. Then there's tahoe lake effect but that usually hits south in Carson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 Going to be interesting to see when that new batch of energy meets it later tonight. Based on last 24 hrs not sure anything has a clear handle on things. The atmosphere wants to snow.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAWGNKITTEN Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 1 hour ago, GreenBo said: 12z-18z NAM drop a solid 2-4” on SMI-SeMI tomorrow. The 3rd wave isn’t as robust. According to NOAA, which didn't handle this one too good at all for us in Lapeer County, we are supposed to get less than an inch tomorrow and then around 2" on Sunday. Would be nice to see another good banding event over top of us, but don't think that will happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 14 minutes ago, ConvectiveIA said: Sometimes out in Reno Nevada, you will have a forecast of 1-2 inches and youll get this small, regenerating cell that parks over the city and dumps 24 inches in 12 hours. Happens about once every 3-5 years. Then there's tahoe lake effect but that usually hits south in Carson. Any proof? Not at all doubting you, but I think mesoscale features like this are interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoalCityWxMan Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 13 minutes ago, ConvectiveIA said: Sometimes out in Reno Nevada, you will have a forecast of 1-2 inches and youll get this small, regenerating cell that parks over the city and dumps 24 inches in 12 hours. Happens about once every 3-5 years. Then there's tahoe lake effect but that usually hits south in Carson. That’s interesting. That’d be insane to be under. Kinda how I felt today, got lucky with a very intense, narrow band over me for several hours. The nws’s Forecast for me was 2-4” last night after being previously higher, but I’m at 6.6” right now. And the f-gen band will likely give me another 1-2 maybe even 3” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveIA Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 7 minutes ago, NWLinnCountyIA said: Any proof? Not at all doubting you, but I think mesoscale features like this are interesting. Last time I lived out there when this happened was in 2010 so sadly, no. It was maybe 20 miles wide and 30 miles long, a very small band. A massive snow with no warning. I was a NWS spotter at the time and I recall a bit of shock on the other end of the line when I stayed up all night reporting the increasing totals. The flakes were the size of silver dollars for hours and hours and hours. I also remember it happening in 1998, same 1-2 inch forecast, only this time the total was just 8-10 inches, I was 13 then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveIA Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 Here's a link to that storm http://www.ktvn.com/story/12019602/winter-storm-brings-record-snow Reading it, I remember more snow than that that night, I was close to that airport but I was closer to the mountains than it so perhaps it was closer to 2 feet not just one. But memory does weird things Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 Total of 9.8". Snow has stopped but the band is lurking just south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 21z SREF plume says another 5” on the way for the metro. However, there’s a massive spread with several very amped members bringing up the mean. Likely, the truth lies somewhere in the 2-4” range through 00z Sunday. Agree with the NWS forecast, though think an advisory should be hoisted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 Models have done awful with the location of banding for this. That main band today was suppose to settle south but it meandered around all day just to my north. It was so strange. Almost behaved like a lake effect band. Hoping these next few waves fair better for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 A lot of 13-15" totals coming from South Bend/Elkhart over to Coldwater area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 Still pound town for a few more minutes here Great storm. We're buried. Roads are a mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 Suspect there are more surprises coming with this set up.....just a hunch... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 5 minutes ago, Baum said: Suspect there are more surprises coming with this set up.....just a hunch... Me too. Not sure if CR will cash in, but there’s some nice banding out in NE right now. If that decides to train over anywhere, totals will rack up quickly. Probably 1.5” /hr under it. My guess for my area tonight is 1.5” total. Feel like there’s gonna be a 5-7” axis of snow somewhere along/south of I-80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tim from Springfield (IL) Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 1 hour ago, ConvectiveIA said: Sometimes out in Reno Nevada, you will have a forecast of 1-2 inches and youll get this small, regenerating cell that parks over the city and dumps 24 inches in 12 hours. Happens about once every 3-5 years. Then there's tahoe lake effect but that usually hits south in Carson. 1 hour ago, ConvectiveIA said: Last time I lived out there when this happened was in 2010 so sadly, no. It was maybe 20 miles wide and 30 miles long, a very small band. A massive snow with no warning. I was a NWS spotter at the time and I recall a bit of shock on the other end of the line when I stayed up all night reporting the increasing totals. The flakes were the size of silver dollars for hours and hours and hours. I also remember it happening in 1998, same 1-2 inch forecast, only this time the total was just 8-10 inches, I was 13 then 1 hour ago, ConvectiveIA said: Here's a link to that storm http://www.ktvn.com/story/12019602/winter-storm-brings-record-snow Reading it, I remember more snow than that that night, I was close to that airport but I was closer to the mountains than it so perhaps it was closer to 2 feet not just one. But memory does weird things SPI had a similar event 12 years Sunday (2/11/2006). Banded snow dumped 7-8 inches just in the city proper but almost nothing on either side of Springfield. Little did we know that was the start of an unforgettable weather year in Springfield and Central IL--this surprise dump occurred exactly one month and one day prior to the two EF2's on 3/12. https://www.weather.gov/media/ilx/Research-Case_Studies/Feb11_2006_BandedSnow.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 NAM doesn’t like round 1 as much anymore, but very solid for round 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 NAM doesn’t like round 1 as much anymore, but very solid for round 2Kinda wonder if the NAMs are too far northwest tonight, based off radar. Both look good for tomorrow night. Probably advisory worthy verbatim. Sent from my SM-G935V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 Here are IWX's reports of 12" or more as of 9:30: PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 926 PM EST FRI FEB 9 2018 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0700 PM HEAVY SNOW WESTVILLE 41.54N 86.91W 02/09/2018 M16.0 INCH LA PORTE IN PUBLIC 0801 PM HEAVY SNOW 1 SW GRANGER 41.72N 86.15W 02/09/2018 M15.0 INCH ST. JOSEPH IN PUBLIC 0550 PM HEAVY SNOW DOWAGIAC 41.98N 86.11W 02/09/2018 M15.0 INCH CASS MI PUBLIC 0851 PM HEAVY SNOW GRANGER 41.74N 86.14W 02/09/2018 M14.5 INCH ST. JOSEPH IN PUBLIC 0825 PM HEAVY SNOW COLDWATER 41.94N 85.00W 02/09/2018 M14.0 INCH BRANCH MI TRAINED SPOTTER 0804 PM HEAVY SNOW 2 W CASSOPOLIS 41.91N 86.05W 02/09/2018 E14.0 INCH CASS MI PUBLIC 0632 PM HEAVY SNOW 1 NE OSCEOLA 41.68N 86.06W 02/09/2018 M14.0 INCH ELKHART IN TRAINED SPOTTER 0358 PM HEAVY SNOW BUCHANAN 41.83N 86.37W 02/09/2018 M12.5 INCH BERRIEN MI BROADCAST MEDIA 0630 PM HEAVY SNOW LONG LAKE 41.58N 85.03W 02/09/2018 M12.0 INCH STEUBEN IN PUBLIC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 2 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: Kinda wonder if the NAMs are too far northwest tonight, based off radar. Both look good for tomorrow night. Probably advisory worthy verbatim. Sent from my SM-G935V using Tapatalk Same concern here, I think they have the right idea but I would shift the whole pattern about 30-50 miles SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 I def think nam is too NW. The baroclinic zone is shifting south. But this system has had plenty of surprises so who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 LOT AFD update by Gino sums up my thoughts on things...don't trust anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 10, 2018 Share Posted February 10, 2018 Latest HRRRRRRR/RAP trends have the best band of snow tonight from around Osceola IA up through Iowa City, and towards Clinton. Like others have mentioned this series of waves has had some surprises so it'll be interesting to see how this plays out. I'm liking a good 2-3" for here and the QC. Wouldn't be surprised if we see a narrow band of 4-6" wherever this thing sets up. Right now it looks like that will be northwest of the QC, but will have to watch trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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