SchaumburgStormer Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 4 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Strong WAA loves to overperform whether it's a cutter, or these WAA wing type events. GFS has been pretty good this winter, but it was downright awful with this system. Yeah. NAM had the right idea and it will likely end up too far south with it as well. Haven’t completely tossed in the towel, but I am swinging it around my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 5 minutes ago, wisconsinwx said: A more general term for a panhandle hook, any SW origin storm that cuts north of east. We haven't had a NW trending cutter since 2009 lol. Did you get snow tires put on after work? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJSnowLover Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 I was born with the optimistic view towards anything. But I am losing faith in this producing anything close to the forecast amounts. Unless some back-building occurs & that heavy band develops, this may be out of here in a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Really has a Lazy LES feel to it out there. Zero moisture snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Loop the latest HRRR simulated reflectivity... the current band lifting north through WI will eventually weaken. This still has plenty of tricks up its sleeve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 3 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Yeah. NAM had the right idea and it will likely end up too far south with it as well. Haven’t completely tossed in the towel, but I am swinging it around my head. That tail of enhanced snows from northeast to west-central IA is moving eastward at a good clip now, and the northward bleed in northern IL should be about done. In fact it will probably even build back a bit south as that tail approaches. Think Dekalb to Naperville and points north will be safe from the slot, and will probably get into some great banding later tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 2 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: That tail of enhanced snows from northeast to west-central IA is moving eastward at a good clip now, and the northward bleed in northern IL should be about done. In fact it will probably even build back a bit south as that tail approaches. Think Dekalb to Naperville and points north will be safe from the slot, and will probably get into some great banding later tonight. I sure hope so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajl_from_Valpo Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 1 minute ago, cyclone77 said: That tail of enhanced snows from northeast to west-central IA is moving eastward at a good clip now, and the northward bleed in northern IL should be about done. In fact it will probably even build back a bit south as that tail approaches. Think Dekalb to Naperville and points north will be safe from the slot, and will probably get into some great banding later tonight. I was also curious about that back end of the snow. If it holds together, everyone north of the Kankakee River is gonna end wave 1 with a bang. I'm also still curious about the precip developing over extreme northeastern Illinois... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said: Went from really optimistic earlier, to concerned now. HRRR has been hitting the northward shift very well, and it still looks like there room for it to go even a bit further north. Could very well end up with a lull overnight, with highest totals around the IL/WI border and far S. WI looking more likely now. A large chunk of the WSW/WWA will likely bust across the DSM-DVN-LO CWA, with amounts north in S. WI now looking underdone. Seasonal trends ftl. Trends on the HRRR have been brutal, especially closer to the I-80 corridor in LOT's area. I think metro area still does well but the shifting has to stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Wow the trends on the HRRR both bad for Chicago and good for here are quite surprising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Nice band on my doorstep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJSnowLover Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 The dry edge is getting really close to Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Models have been suggesting that the snow band attempts to get north of here later, but sort of hits a wall with continued development on the southern flank. Now we see how that plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Measuring the snow here we have a solid 4 to 4.5" so far and snowing at a very good clip, very good flake size too. Looks golden for the next few hours here. Thinking we will make a run at the higher amounts around here on the order of 7 to perhaps 8" by tomorrow morning when it ends..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 All the models continue to become more robust and nw with the second wave, so we may be able to tack on a couple inches to help make up a bit for today's bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 5 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Models have been suggesting that the snow band attempts to get north of here later, but sort of hits a wall with continued development on the southern flank. Now we see how that plays out. Yeah as that band in Iowa digs east-southeast the southern edge of the WAA wing should maintain and even build back south a bit. Already seeing signs of that near Sterling, Jackson CO IA filling in and enhancing nicely, and now some new development south of Cedar Rapids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 The 05z HRRR at least stopped the bleeding with the northward shifting in LOT cwa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 7 minutes ago, Justin said: Measuring the snow here we have a solid 4 to 4.5" so far and snowing at a very good clip, very good flake size too. Looks golden for the next few hours here. Thinking we will make a run at the higher amounts around here on the order of 7 to perhaps 8" by tomorrow morning when it ends..... Nice, that's a pretty solid event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJSnowLover Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 6 minutes ago, Hoosier said: The 05z HRRR at least stopped the bleeding with the northward shifting in LOT cwa. It might be too late, looking at radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Gonna be pounding in chicago for rush hr. Grande Cheese Company in Fon du lac might have to pull out the plows now but other than that I don't think a lot has changed for metro LOT and up here. Raining Pixie. Story of my winters in this location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 7 minutes ago, RJSnowLover said: It might be too late, looking at radar. I think the city northward is fine. A little trickier south of there and could very well lull/shut off, at least for a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Trying to fill in slowly with each new radar scan overhead here and SW to WSW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Eyeballing out the window looks like about 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
knifeparty Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Ruler reading is 1.3 inches here on the Northside of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 looks like ill be stuck grinding this one out as a lot of sugar. HRR has been consistent with weakening trends as the snow heads east over me to the lake. Hopefully can score a couple hrs of fluff to end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Some knickers falling out of the sky from no where now What I'd give to be in that band down south at daybreak. Enjoy Chicago and Detroit. It's going to pile up fast if you can get under the goods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tuanis Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Quick peek at radar... the firehose is setting up, taking aim at the metro. It’s go time, let’s see how it produces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 7 minutes ago, tuanis said: Quick peek at radar... the firehose is setting up, taking aim at the metro. It’s go time, let’s see how it produces. Also have some redevelopment farther south from Will county into northwest IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 13 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Also have some redevelopment farther south from Will county into northwest IN. 1997 called, they want their radar back But seriously some quick filling in down that way, good sign for the city proper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.