ajl_from_Valpo Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Light snow beginning in Valparaiso, right on schedule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 1.1" here so far... We're still north of the sharp south edge, but the snowfall rate is low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 18 minutes ago, Ottawa Blizzard said: I'm going with 6" for Toronto by Monday, maybe 8" if we're lucky. Last few frames of the HRRR are showing the LES potential. Maybe our saving grace as it's becoming patently clear the best synoptic snow for wave one will be well south of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Solid SN right now. Looks like almost an inch so far. South edge of snow about 10 miles away, and should shut down in the next half hour to hour for most of the night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 20 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Amazing cutoff along that southern edge (newest HRRR). Very impressive. HRRR shoving that cutoff further and further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 HRRR also showing kind of a squall line in SE MI that is reminiscent of the February 20th, 2011 storm. Wyandotte is going to rock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Radar blossoming over past few hours has been nice. Everything looks good for a nice overrunning event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 I'm not sure if Iowa City will get even 2 inches of snow from this event. Looking kind of uhhh at the moment. Wouldn't be surprised if the cutoff line lifted north to Cedar Rapids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 47 minutes ago, McDude said: Flake size started out really good. It's pooh now Alright, much better now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 I think the cutoff ends up just north of me. HRRR has been scary consistent in the ever so slight northward adjustment out here. The Cedar Rapids area has been riding the cutoff all day and the feeling is just absolutely terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Just now, NWLinnCountyIA said: I think the cutoff ends up just north of me. HRRR has been scary consistent in the ever so slight northward adjustment out here. The Cedar Rapids area has been riding the cutoff all day and the feeling is just absolutely terrible. Yeah, especially with me being a few miles south of you. (only about 1.3 miles from downtown). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 3 minutes ago, Natester said: Yeah, especially with me being a few miles south of you. (only about 1.3 miles from downtown). I'm actually pretty far north. Being 2 to 3 miles north of Hiawatha. I've got a gut somewhat weenie feeling that the Cedar Rapids screwage pulls through for us, always have felt this way with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Just now, NWLinnCountyIA said: I'm actually pretty far north. Being 2 to 3 miles north of Hiawatha. Are you near Robins? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 1 minute ago, Natester said: Are you near Robins? Kinda. I think the northern 1/3rd of Linn are the only ones that do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 1 minute ago, NWLinnCountyIA said: Kinda. I think the northern 1/3rd of Linn are the only ones that do well. Yeah, pretty much, just like what happened on March 12 last year. I'm ok with just getting 4 inches of snow, UNLESS the cutoff line doesn't lift up north to here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 The only thing we know for sure is that the zone from Kalamazoo to Ann Arbor to Detroit will get lots of snow. That forecast has become pretty easy for meteorologists during the decade...If in doubt, just call for snow in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 21z SREF looks better, mean over 8 for wave 1 and over 12 for storm total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indeedinger Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 1 hour ago, cyclone77 said: Yeah there could be a very large contrast in amounts for Linn CO. Down near CID they may get an inch or less, with 10"+ up in Coggon. The snows out near the I-35 corridor are starting to become nicely enhanced. That looks to be the start of the better enhancement that will propagate eastward from there. Waterloo/Independence/Iowa Falls are gonna be cranking here shortly. Snowing at a good clip here. Flake size not huge, but not pixie dust either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveIA Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 I just am not understanding the support in the NWS for snow in the Des Moines metro area overnight. The models have consistently kept the edge well north of the city for the duration of the day. Perhaps they are using guidance that is outside of those model runs that indicates it will sag south? I just don't see it happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 9 minutes ago, mimillman said: 21z SREF looks better, mean over 8 for wave 1 and over 12 for storm total By the time it's over we'll have worked back to 12"-14" over 36-48 hr period as models showed several days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 So the heaviest totals, at this point, look to be north of I-88 right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 0z NAM has Cedar Rapids in the no snow zone for several hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 6 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: So the heaviest totals, at this point, look to be north of I-88 right? I'd say near/north of I-88 in the portion of the interstate that is in northeastern IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 alright thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 8 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: So the heaviest totals, at this point, look to be north of I-88 right? Just watch the radar at this point......and out your window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 1.5 inches here so far and still snowing nicely. So far, we've managed to remain just north of the edge and radar continues to fill in to my west. Given the radar in central Iowa, however, I think the edge will lift through later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Just now, Baum said: Just watch the radar at this point......and out your window. Sounds like a plan... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 Anyone noticing some thermal profile issues on nam and hrrr? They both are showing rain/mixed precip developing south of the snow band tmrw morning. Not sure if I buy that unless models are under estimating surface temps but with some snow pack I think it should stay under 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 9, 2018 Share Posted February 9, 2018 1 minute ago, hawkeye_wx said: 1.5 inches here so far and still snowing nicely. So far, we've managed to remain just north of the edge and radar continues to fill in to my west. Yeah, it seems to me that Iowa peeps will get hit by almost a deformation type band before its done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 9, 2018 Author Share Posted February 9, 2018 1 hour ago, snowstormcanuck said: Last few frames of the HRRR are showing the LES potential. Maybe our saving grace as it's becoming patently clear the best synoptic snow for wave one will be well south of us. I'm thinking 2.0-3.0" with the initial wave, which will primarily be light snow. We'll see how that transpires tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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