UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2018 Author Share Posted February 6, 2018 1 minute ago, nesussxwx said: How long do you think Sussex County stays as snow Ulster Between 1-3pm flip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 25/21 currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 6, 2018 Author Share Posted February 6, 2018 Whatever we get there a lot of precip. Over an inch on the HRRR long range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 I guess for every hour of delay to changeover can be significant in accumulation of snow and ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Not that I am expecting much here but my temp has actually taken a decent drop over the last couple of hours from 36 down to 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 What’s everyone’s thoughts on start time in the city? Have to plan what time I should be in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 53 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Whatever we get there a lot of precip. Over an inch on the HRRR long range Lotta rain down here then....nothing worse than cold winter rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 26/14...dp seems too low. Maybe sensors off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 22/16 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 ...temp down to 25* here..doesn't matter though..its gonna rain tmrw.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2018 Author Share Posted February 7, 2018 21/17 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Lynbrook NY (Western Nassau County) 27/20 Liberty NY 16/12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 19 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said: 26/14...dp seems too low. Maybe sensors off. 25 here...Curious to see how prolonged the changeover will be for us. Here is Mount Holly in case you didn't see it. * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of up to one-tenth inch are expected. * WHERE...The Lehigh Valley in Pennsylvania, and Warren and Morris Counties in New Jersey. * WHEN...Precipitation is expected to begin as snow late tonight and may become heavy at times during the morning commute on Wednesday. Snow will change to a wintry mix of sleet and freezing rain late in the morning and continue through the afternoon hours. Precipitation may transition to rain late in the afternoon and early evening, especially in the warmer valleys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 I am looking Gfs,,,tell me if I am mistaken but it looks to changeover to rain eventually in NWNJ / New City but then later back to snow ,,,,,,possible on the back end for this to happen ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 3 hours ago, Juliancolton said: What you really need is a winning lottery ticket and a private jet. It's always snowing somewhere. Literally think about this every winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 26/19 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2018 Author Share Posted February 7, 2018 Nam is insane warm....about 1 hr of snow before everyone here changes over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2018 Author Share Posted February 7, 2018 We start at 15z All changiver by 18z lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 With the thicker warm layer, ZR may be a bigger issue with some power outages near I-84. The NAM continuing warmer can’t be ignored at this point. And obviously accums would get cut down with the early pinging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2018 Author Share Posted February 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: With the thicker warm layer, ZR may be a bigger issue with some power outages near I-84. The NAM continuing warmer can’t be ignored at this point. And obviously accums would get cut down with the early pinging. Even the colder Hi res is 1” or less for everyone here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 1 minute ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Even the colder Hi res is 1” or less for everyone here... hmm Mt Holly is going 5-7 inches of snow. Surely they have seen all the models. Schools are closed in the area already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2018 Author Share Posted February 7, 2018 Just now, Animal said: hmm Mt Holly is going 5-7 inches of snow. Surely they have seen all the models. Schools are closed in the area already. Nams still a lot of ice.. you get a quarter inch pure rain tho once ice is over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 6 minutes ago, jm1220 said: With the thicker warm layer, ZR may be a bigger issue with some power outages near I-84. The NAM continuing warmer can’t be ignored at this point. And obviously accums would get cut down with the early pinging. 2 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Even the colder Hi res is 1” or less for everyone here... I think the NAM is too warm especially at the surface. It already 7° to warm for me at 02z, and it has most of Orange county into the mid 40s by 7pm tomorrow lol.. Im pretty sure thats not gonna happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Animal said: hmm Mt Holly is going 5-7 inches of snow. Surely they have seen all the models. Schools are closed in the area already. Schools closed here as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 1 minute ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Nams still a lot of ice.. you get a quarter inch pure rain tho once ice is over That is not 5-7 inches of snow..... Going to call Mt Holly to get an update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 I still don’t believe the crazy torching at the ground in the slightest well inland. That’s always overdone. The mid level warmth is probably right, especially with a track like that. Hopefully it’s too amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: I still don’t believe the crazy torching at the ground in the slightest well inland. That’s always overdone. The mid level warmth is probably right, especially with a track like that. Hopefully it’s too amped. Well here in Middlesex Co NJ I'm busting the gore tex boots and raincoat out. Thank God at least I don't have to worry about ice. I do not like ice storms and fortunately they aren't common IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Well here in Middlesex Co NJ I'm busting the gore tex boots and raincoat out. Thank God at least I don't have to worry about ice. I do not like ice storms and fortunately they aren't common IMBY. Unfortunately we are going to torch like crazy. My question is whether I make it to 50 tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: Unfortunately we are going to torch like crazy. My question is whether I make it to 50 tomorrow. Well, I look at this way. Most of my colleagues hate snow and will be overjoyed it isn't snowing. Not that they like rain either, but you get the drift. Very few people actually like the area much less the weather ( which is actually comparatively mild compared to a lot of places ) and most dream of retiring someplace warmer. Funny how FL was just voted worst state to live in. I never liked the place....starting to wonder if even northern areas are going to see much from this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 28 minutes ago, jm1220 said: With the thicker warm layer, ZR may be a bigger issue with some power outages near I-84. The NAM continuing warmer can’t be ignored at this point. And obviously accums would get cut down with the early pinging. It was a trip watching everyone in the SNE forum tossing all the models today as they kept trending further N/W with the mid-level lows. I could appreciate their reasoning and knowledge of local climo, but it seems like a few of the outlier mets banking on the warmest solutions may be vindicated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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