snywx Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Looks like your longitude will help you hold on for a bit longer than places east of the Thruway. 23/21 here Most of Sussex county has flipped over. Should be here soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 9 minutes ago, bluewave said: This was the typical storm from the early 70's to the early 90's with the exception of the snowy years. Correct, especially the early 1970's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 1.6" new and now starting to mix with... things that aren't snowflakes. Yesterday's glorified squall is still in contention for the bigger of this week's events locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Pingers mixing in.. 2.8" otg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 26 minutes ago, bluewave said: Temp steadily rising on the South Shore with rain and 36 degrees. The coating from earlier melted and the pavement is just wet. 32 and light ZR still, expect a nice temp bump soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 New city 28 degrees and freezing rain be careful out there folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Already mixing. Less than 2 inches, forecasted 3-6. I have been through this over performing mid level warmth story too many times and it is old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 1 minute ago, White Gorilla said: Already mixing. Less than 2 inches, forecasted 3-6. I have been through this over performing mid level warmth story too many times and it is old. What’s crazy is we didn’t get that much less in upper Manhattan. You guys may be in for a serious ice storm now. Meanwhile southern Vermont is going to get pounded. Looks like 18” is a good call for the ski resorts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 12 minutes ago, psv88 said: 32 and light ZR still, expect a nice temp bump soon. You will probably beat me on the high for the day when the turbocharged LLJ gets going later. The LLJ actually makes it to a +4sd event for February. While there is an inversion in place, some stronger winds may mix down with the heavier line that the mesos have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 11 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Already mixing. Less than 2 inches, forecasted 3-6. I have been through this over performing mid level warmth story too many times and it is old. And Albany was the most conservative of all the northeastern WFOs. People give them a ton of grief for often being last to jump on the big totals bandwagon, but it's been paying off nicely as of late. Pure sleet now as temps rise about a degree every half hour... I'm really not expecting a ton of ice accretion but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Juliancolton said: And Albany was the most conservative of all the northeastern WFOs. People give them a ton of grief for often being last to jump on the big totals bandwagon, but it's been paying off nicely as of late. Pure sleet now as temps rise about a degree every half hour... I'm really not expecting a ton of ice accretion but we'll see. Kudos to ALB. I have no idea what Upton was thinking yesterday bumping our snow totals up. The writing was on the wall more than 24 hrs ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Just now, snywx said: Kudos to ALB. I have no idea what Upton was thinking yesterday bumping our snow totals up. The writing was on the wall more than 24 hrs ago. Seems like their it's been their shtick the last several seasons to go balls to the wall after it's already abundantly clear that the higher potential would not be realized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Just now, Juliancolton said: Seems like their it's been their shtick the last several seasons to go balls to the wall after it's already abundantly clear that the higher potential would not be realized. They sure do seem to have the biggest ego problem in the region. Even the coldest solutions last night were nowhere NEAR the totals they put out. Which is more about alerting the public to the reality of the incoming icing situation up near 84. Going to get bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Yay for moderate rain at 25* Gonna be a real mess out there soon. On the upside it ought to cap the snow that fell I almost got to 2" before the flip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Juliancolton said: Seems like their it's been their shtick the last several seasons to go balls to the wall after it's already abundantly clear that the higher potential would not be realized. I saw many mets going as high as 6-10 for my area lol.. What in the world were they seeing!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 ZR now. 26/23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 1 minute ago, gravitylover said: Yay for moderate rain at 25* Gonna be a real mess out there soon. On the upside it ought to cap the snow that fell I almost got to 2" before the flip. Just under 3" here. The zr/ip currently falling at 22° will pretty much guarantee the staying power of this snowpack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 1 minute ago, snywx said: I saw many mets going as high as 6-10 for my area lol.. What in the world were they seeing!! I do have to give them credit for 1/4. Few of the models outside the 3kNAM and maybe RGEM had the totals as high as they were, and Upton was 'almost' that bullish. But these totals had zero support. Not sure if they were waiting for meso suites, but to me it's inexcusable. These are the types of situations, in combination with the backlogged manner in which forecasts are disseminated to the public, that give the public the impression that we're still in the paleo era of forecasting. (It's not quite that* bad.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, snywx said: Just under 3" here. The zr/ip currently falling at 22° will pretty much guarantee the staying power of this snowpack. You're lucky because you had a bit yesterday and a few days ago. This fell on bare ground for me so it didn't even cover the grass completely. It's gonna get ugly pretty quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Heard the Tappan Zee Bridge is closed in both directions. Tractor trailer jackknifed and caused another huge accident. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 4 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: I do have to give them credit for 1/4. Few of the models outside the 3kNAM and maybe RGEM had the totals as high as they were, and Upton was 'almost' that bullish. But these totals had zero support. Not sure if they were waiting for meso suites, but to me it's inexcusable. These are the types of situations, in combination with the backlogged manner in which forecasts are disseminated to the public, that give the public the impression that we're still in the paleo era of forecasting. (It's not quite that* bad.) It seems like many mets thought guidance was over doing the mid level warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 On 2/6/2018 at 10:35 AM, forkyfork said: 2-3" before you mix. enjoy! bump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 7 minutes ago, forkyfork said: bump Yea, we’ve seen this plenty of times in the past. Now I sit at 24 with a mix of sleet and freezing rain, with some flakes as well. The roads are horrendous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 24 minutes ago, snywx said: Kudos to ALB. I have no idea what Upton was thinking yesterday bumping our snow totals up. The writing was on the wall more than 24 hrs ago. Mt Holly has a storied past with forecasting snow in my area. Typically to low or to high. They get a few of the 1-3 inch calls right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: Yea, we’ve seen this plenty of times in the past. Now I sit at 24 with a mix of sleet and freezing rain. The roads are horrendous. It will be knarly out soon. Windows are glazed with ice. Glad I knocked out the driveway when the sleet hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Upton lowered NYC's high from 41 to 35. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 17 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: Heard the Tappan Zee Bridge is closed in both directions. Tractor trailer jackknifed and caused another huge accident. Read a woman was tossed from her car and pinned against the guard rail in the 1st accident. some scary stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 7, 2018 Author Share Posted February 7, 2018 16 minutes ago, forkyfork said: bump U were trolling, did u expect me to agree...lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 29 degrees with freezing rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 13 minutes ago, Animal said: It will be knarly out soon. Windows are glazed with ice. Glad I knocked out the driveway when the sleet hit. Exactly what I did. I was waiting to hear those pings lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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