Wetbulbs88 Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 On 2/8/2018 at 12:56 AM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: That tail end band of snow was pretty well modeled with that mid level Vort sweeping through, most of long islands accumulations were modeled on this band, should be interesting to see what develops Expand Doubt LI gets below freezing until it passes through, but we'll see. It's 44 here in the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 On 2/8/2018 at 12:56 AM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: That tail end band of snow was pretty well modeled with that mid level Vort sweeping through, most of long islands accumulations were modeled on this band, should be interesting to see what develops Expand Most of LI is in the mid 40s to around 50.. This band looks to miss the coast to the N anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 Temp here peaked at 48 shortly after 6PM. It is now back down to 43 as of 8:11pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 On 2/8/2018 at 12:56 AM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: That tail end band of snow was pretty well modeled with that mid level Vort sweeping through, most of long islands accumulations were modeled on this band, should be interesting to see what develops Expand It appears to be holding up well. Hope I can get some snows out of it when it comes thru here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2018 Author Share Posted February 8, 2018 On 2/8/2018 at 1:12 AM, NorthShoreWx said: Temp here peaked at 48 shortly after 6PM. It is now back down to 43 as of 8:11pm. Expand Ur back to freezing around 12-1am, insane fluctuations In 12 hours, 20s to 40s back to freezing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 Almost back down to freezing here. Starting to see a few errant flakes mixed in with the drizzle. My driveway ought to be a like a downhill skating rink in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 Temp down to 29°. Wind is starting to pick up. Hopefully power doesn't go out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 I was surprised this evening that I had to shovel. Around and inch of icy slush. The Cross County was where the snow cover began, but unlike most storms, there was an east/west component. West of the Sprain there was more snow than east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 Guess I didn’t make it to 50, highs around here were 46-49. Otherwise, a very forgettable Nina SWFE in this area that I’m glad is gone. Pretty much my least favorite storm type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2018 Author Share Posted February 8, 2018 On 2/8/2018 at 2:11 AM, snywx said: Temp down to 29°. Wind is starting to pick up. Hopefully power doesn't go out Expand Haven’t had power since about 5... thank god for the wood stove with a 2 week old infant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 On 2/8/2018 at 3:29 AM, jm1220 said: Guess I didn’t make it to 50, highs around here were 46-49. Otherwise, a very forgettable Nina SWFE in this area that I’m glad is gone. Pretty much my least favorite storm type. Expand Hit 47 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 8, 2018 Author Share Posted February 8, 2018 Finals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 On 2/8/2018 at 1:21 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Finals Expand Nobody cracked 10 inches from that map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 I saw plenty of pictures from around the ski areas late yesterday and last night with a foot or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 warm air never got here, briefly into the mid 30's. Icy this morning, but full sun should do the work shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 This westward or warmer storm track correction in the short term is becoming so predictable. It doesn't even pay to get interested in a storm for the coast unless the models have it a few hundred miles east of the BM several days out before it corrects back closer to the BM. Either the mid level center comes west warming the lower levels above the ground more, or the actual low comes west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 On 2/8/2018 at 2:28 PM, bluewave said: This westward or warmer storm track correction in the short term is becoming so predictable. It doesn't even pay to get interested in a storm for the coast unless the models have it a few hundred miles east of the BM several days out before it corrects back closer to the BM. Either the mid level center comes west warming the lower levels above the ground more, or the actual low comes west. Expand It's about time things corrected back towards long term climatology. Their is a reason why Binghamton, NY averages more than double what NYC averages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 On 2/8/2018 at 3:09 PM, NJwx85 said: It's about time things corrected back towards long term climatology. Their is a reason why Binghamton, NY averages more than double what NYC averages. Expand BGM averages way more than double than NYC. My area averages close to double what NYC averages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 On 2/8/2018 at 3:11 PM, snywx said: BGM averages way more than double than NYC. My area averages close to double what NYC averages. Expand Yes I know, more than 80". That's why I said more than double. The Long Island, Central NJ and city posters have been spoiled the last 15 years and it's not going to be pretty when the correction comes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 On 2/8/2018 at 3:22 PM, NJwx85 said: Yes I know, more than 80". That's why I said more than double. The Long Island, Central NJ and city posters have been spoiled the last 15 years and it's not going to be pretty when the correction comes. Expand I have been waiting for someone in this forum to mention this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 On 2/8/2018 at 3:09 PM, NJwx85 said: It's about time things corrected back towards long term climatology. Their is a reason why Binghamton, NY averages more than double what NYC averages. Expand But ISP is still ahead of the game compared to BGM through 2/8 BGM....40.2.....avg....51.1....departure....-10.9 ISP.....28.2......avg.....14.2...departure....+14.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 On 2/8/2018 at 4:09 PM, bluewave said: But ISP is still ahead of the game compared to BGM through 2/8 BGM....40.2.....avg....51.1....departure....-10.9 ISP.....28.2......avg.....14.2...departure....+14.0 Expand It's too early to tell if this is the beginning of the long term correction or if the recent trends in storm track are just a short term anomaly. That's why I said, when the correction occurs it's going to get ugly around here. That implies future tense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 On 2/8/2018 at 3:29 AM, jm1220 said: Guess I didn’t make it to 50, highs around here were 46-49. Otherwise, a very forgettable Nina SWFE in this area that I’m glad is gone. Pretty much my least favorite storm type. Expand yeah this was typical 80s/early 90s boring type of weather. I find 100+ days in the summer more exciting than this (it's why I became a fan of extreme heat growing up in the 80s and early 90s lol.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 On 2/8/2018 at 4:17 PM, NJwx85 said: It's too early to tell if this is the beginning of the long term correction or if the recent trends in storm track are just a short term anomaly. That's why I said, when the correction occurs it's going to get ugly around here. That implies future tense. Expand Well I think it's a climate adjustment not a statistical oddity. I mean it's not that storms that would impact inland areas with wintry precip are coming further south and east but more like storms that would be south and east are coming closer to the coast (note how models always correct further N/W now.) But as our climate warms even more it's going to get ugly for everyone who loves snowy weather. But you all can become like me and become a big fan of extreme heat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 On 2/8/2018 at 3:22 PM, NJwx85 said: Yes I know, more than 80". That's why I said more than double. The Long Island, Central NJ and city posters have been spoiled the last 15 years and it's not going to be pretty when the correction comes. Expand Climate change man....it's no "correction" if anything the climate is just going to keep getting warmer. More snow comes from a boost in precip, the winters are actually milder than they were in the 80s. Eventually it's going to get ugly for everyone, we're just in an intermediate stage right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 On 2/8/2018 at 2:28 PM, bluewave said: This westward or warmer storm track correction in the short term is becoming so predictable. It doesn't even pay to get interested in a storm for the coast unless the models have it a few hundred miles east of the BM several days out before it corrects back closer to the BM. Either the mid level center comes west warming the lower levels above the ground more, or the actual low comes west. Expand True but it's like this almost every winter now because climate change has shifted offshore tracks closer to the coast. The big snows we've had over the past decade or more would have been well offshore in the colder/drier 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 On 2/8/2018 at 5:30 PM, Paragon said: Climate change man....it's no "correction" if anything the climate is just going to keep getting warmer. More snow comes from a boost in precip, the winters are actually milder than they were in the 80s. Eventually it's going to get ugly for everyone, we're just in an intermediate stage right now. Expand This isn't the place to discuss the politics of climate change however I disagree with that argument. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 On 2/8/2018 at 6:02 PM, NJwx85 said: This isn't the place to discuss the politics of climate change however I disagree with that argument. Expand You shouldn't because the rise in precip is pretty much across the board throughout the entire year. Storm tracks that were offshore have also moved closer to the coast. This is an ENSO driven blip similar to what 07-08 was. Eventually the storm tracks will shift so far N/W that we'll all be screwed, but most of the climate models don't see that happening until around 2050 or so. It's science not politics lol, despite what some industry bribed politicians would have you believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 On 2/8/2018 at 6:11 PM, Paragon said: You shouldn't because the rise in precip is pretty much across the board throughout the entire year. Storm tracks that were offshore have also moved closer to the coast. This is an ENSO driven blip similar to what 07-08 was. Eventually the storm tracks will shift so far N/W that we'll all be screwed, but most of the climate models don't see that happening until around 2050 or so. It's science not politics lol, despite what some industry bribed politicians would have you believe. Expand Take the global warming conversation to the political site. Plenty of people there to sop it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 On 2/8/2018 at 6:14 PM, NJwx85 said: Take the global warming conversation to the political site. Plenty of people there to sop it up. Expand It belongs in climate and meteorology too, because it's science. It's why America is the laughingstock of the rest of the world and backwards in science because it's the only country that bends over to corrupt corporate interests :)) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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