Kristymac03 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 High was forecasted to 41 here in Urbana only made it to 36. Its 36/21 here now. I have not seen the sun at all. Still some ice on the ground and a small amount on some trees here near my house. Wind is NNW@7mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Not as cold/dry of an airmass in the lower levels than the last storm but upper levels look much colder leading up to precip moving in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 40 in Alexandria. The forecast high was 46. It seems that across the area the temps held 4-8 degrees lower than the forecast high. I wish I was tracking a Warning level snow event but I will enjoy the crumbs that are being offered! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 The last departing cold air mass was shallower even if lower dews initially this air mass has a better western extension to it and don't think low will be as juicy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 17 minutes ago, high risk said: All of the hi-res models have a break in the precip ranging from 1-3 hours during the morning - a break between the initial warm advection shot and the frontal band. Unclear if drizzle/freezing drizzle would persist during that break. Freezing drizzle, mist and fog are horrible to deal with. Had it happen once at school and my car door was frozen shut from all the ice build up overnight. Coats everything and accretes very easily. I've been seeing the cutoff of precip too. Judging by soundings, looks like it could be a drizzle with the lower profile still marginally saturated. That will play a role on ice accumulations for areas east of the BR. I think areas like WV Panhandle and HGR will be pretty tough to completely scour out the cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 12 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Freezing drizzle, mist and fog are horrible to deal with. Had it happen once at school and my car door was frozen shut from all the ice build up overnight. Coats everything and accretes very easily. I've been seeing the cutoff of precip too. Judging by soundings, looks like it could be a drizzle with the lower profile still marginally saturated. That will play a role on ice accumulations for areas east of the BR. I think areas like WV Panhandle and HGR will be pretty tough to completely scour out the cold. The Swiss model has widespread freezing fog in the NW burbs around 9am tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Just now, cae said: The Swiss model has widespread freezing fog in the NW burbs around 9am tomorrow. Interesting. I don't have access to the Swiss model, but it seems to do an okay job overall. How's it handling the setup so far? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, cae said: The Swiss model has widespread freezing fog in the NW burbs around 9am tomorrow. It also looks euro-ish with a little snow too. Couple tenths for everybody. #nickelandpennying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Interesting. I don't have access to the Swiss model, but it seems to do an okay job overall. How's it handling the setup so far? It's free on weather.us. It's been shifting around a bit like the other short-range models, but I'm keeping an eye on it because from what I can tell it did pretty well a couple of days ago. Here's its 06z run before the last event. https://weather.us/model-charts/virginia/2018020406/maryland/significant-weather/20180204-2100z.html Here's the map I generated above for tomorrow's event. https://weather.us/model-charts/virginia/2018020612/maryland/significant-weather/20180207-1400z.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, cae said: It's free on weather.us. It's been shifting around a bit like the other short-range models, but I'm keeping an eye on it because from what I can tell it did pretty well a couple of days ago. Here's its 06z run before the last event. https://weather.us/model-charts/virginia/2018020406/maryland/significant-weather/20180204-2100z.html Here's the map I generated above for tomorrow's event. https://weather.us/model-charts/virginia/2018020612/maryland/significant-weather/20180207-1400z.html Nice. Thanks! About to changeover at work. Will take a look when I get home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 11 minutes ago, Ji said: Good or bad? I am thinking good because amped and west would be bad..talk to me sir Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Good or bad? I am thinking good because amped and west would be bad..talk to me sirHe says not a big deal now but we'll see where we at at midnight lol. Won't help us get snow but could give us a better angle ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 6, 2018 Author Share Posted February 6, 2018 Interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
knglover Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 I am not believing what I am seeing on my home station. I am currently 36/19 in Montclair with a high of 37. I don't hold out much hope for much tomorrow but those numbers are making me rethink a little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 I presume it would also mean the high might be stronger then modeled... good for holding on to cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 11 minutes ago, Ji said: Good or bad? I am thinking good because amped and west would be bad..talk to me sir Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWC Split Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 38/19 here in Haymarket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Clouds breaking a little. Some cold air poised to rush in ahead of the front. Must be in the weenie handbook somewhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 A good sign so far is that complete cloud cover like today usually does not have much of a temp drop between 3-7pm. I have fallen 2F since 3 and also noting 850 are not bulging northward in OV like they did last event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 There is hope for an underdog story here. ADRIANNNN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingJWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 High of 38 today, currently 36.5/25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 I'm going 4-8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 10 minutes ago, PWC Split said: 38/19 here in Haymarket. Same here. Except it’s 37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Just now, Ji said: I'm going 4-8 BOOM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ji said: I'm going 4-8 MM's of ice I guess? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, Ji said: I'm going 4-8 The irony would be a missed to the south. Nah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Just dropped into the 30s here in Stafford....now 39/26, hoping for a bit of ice. High was 42 (forecast was for 49)....we will see what transpires. I want to believe we have a bit of ice, but just don’t feel good about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 A few patches of blue sky now...As Eskimo said, that could make a big dif. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 39/26 West of Woobridge, clouds breaking up. Cold funneling in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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