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Bonafide SWFE 2/7-8


weathafella

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Sucks the RGEM is stuck on 12h...

 

Anyways, early bed tonight so not staying up for the Euro. But I wouldn't change much. The more torched mid-levels might have me shave an inch off the snow over SNE...maybe like 2-5" instead of 3-6" for the pike region. I am still tossing out the solutions that have the sfc low over Hubbdave though.

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4 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Ryan has a fascination worrying over nam solutions. You have to wonder if he knows something we don’t.

It's his livelihood, man. He's been promoted. It's a tough business. And it is a business. These network affiliates change ownership, change news directors, bring in New consultants all the time so it's difficult for on air talent to relax. 

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5 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

One page of posts after I went to bed at 9:30 last night kind of says it all.  lol

Still anticipating a decent hit in GC (6-10 on both p/c and zfp), and I'm not anticipating issues getting out of BDL.  My connecting flight is heading to IAD from PWM though---so that might be a different story.

BDL will be closed. You ain’t going anywhere 

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This SWFE seems to want to act a little differently than most.  Typically, these are early than progged with snow/mix/end, going from nothing to sn+ really quickly.  Not so much today it appears.

Low level flow at 7 AM is mostly aimed into upstate NY. Cross
sections from the NAM, GFS, and ECMWF all show the column
moistening around 7 AM in the CT Valley but with a sharp
increase in lift around 10 AM. So there may be a couple of hours
delay between onset of snow and the ramping up of snowfall
intensity. The strong lift diminishes this evening as the low
moves over us and the southerly forcing aloft shifts 
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