Whineminster Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Wowwww 6"....cool.....I just got that in this last little pooper. Wake me up when we get 12 to 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Snow starts near daybreak SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: Doesn't seem too unreasonable I guess... hard to say though as at that temp sometimes you're getting big aggregates that stack up. I mean 34F needles yeah, you're getting sometime a bit better than sleet. Well that may have been a bad example. A MaxT of 32F yields you only 8:1...30F would be 10:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 6 minutes ago, 25thamendmentfan said: Fall river is usually good for 4 inches in these events, especially a mile north of the old harbor mall in the south end and more than that up toward Freetown. Yeah. A few inches is doable in quite a few of these. The problem is that there is a quick change to rain and temps up around 40. So whatever falls gets washed away. Interior fares a lot better because they get more snow and maybe end as some freezing drizzle. No. Attleboro should do somewhat better but you and I both do better with coastals with a cold supply moving over the b/m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 nam COLDER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Snow starts near daybreak SNE where? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: where? CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 30 minutes ago, FRWEATHA said: Your bread and butter is my soggy crumbs. Not a fan of SWFE for this area. Yeah. They are def more of an interior bonus. What are you at for the season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: CT yeah, not around here till much later, NAM still not there but getting better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 15 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Wowwww 6"....cool.....I just got that in this last little pooper. Wake me up when we get 12 to 18 You have been spoiled. 6” in this pattern is decent. We might do a bit better than that if the cards lay right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Nam has snow down this way at the start Cold trend commencing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Hopefully we (NYC, costal SNE) can catch a break with this one, haven't seen a plowable snow in a month now. I remember we had two of these in 14-15. Feb 21st and Mar 1st that both trended significantly colder run after run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 You can pretty much lock this forecast in SNE .. barring some massive colder trend. 1-3 to ice to rain S CT 3-5” N CT to ice ending as 33 dz 6” + Pike north .. sleet washing out juuuuuust shy of ORH and Will posting radar images and commenting on it . MPM N and W 8-10” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 7 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Hopefully we (NYC, costal SNE) can catch a break with this one, haven't seen a plowable snow in a month now. I remember we had two of these in 14-15. Feb 21st and Mar 1st that both trended significantly colder run after run. Maybe coastal SNE. NYC ceiling on this is likely 3/4 inches and that’s stretching now. The only way we exceed that in these events is if it comes in way early or has banding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: You can pretty much lock this forecast in SNE .. barring some massive colder trend. 1-3 to ice to rain S CT 3-5” N CT to ice ending as 33 dz 6” + Pike north .. sleet washing out juuuuuust shy of ORH and Will posting radar images and commenting on it . MPM N and W 8-10” Please let ALL models continue to trend colder, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Im thinking 2-4" here with a rain sandwich. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 23 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Yeah. They are def more of an interior bonus. What are you at for the season? I'd say we're at about 25-28 for the season. I did really well on the 1/4 event b/c I was just on the right side of the cf. Did well last Tuesday too. But hey. As has been said before SE Mass has done well in recent years so no complaints from me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 gfs a little colder again, the surface low is over NYC instead of N PA on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 3-5 with some ice at the end on the gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said: gfs a little colder again, the surface low is over NYC instead of N PA on this run It looked basically the same in the midlevels. Maybe even the slightest tick warmer though that might be also due to it being a little faster than 12z. Pretty close to as "no change" as you can get though at 3 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 4, 2018 Author Share Posted February 4, 2018 SWFE is not part of the GFS wheelhouse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 8 minutes ago, weathafella said: SWFE is not part of the GFS wheelhouse. The NAM isnt exactly great either beyond 36 with them. I find it usually has a cold bias or sometimes is too far south beyond that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 10 minutes ago, weathafella said: SWFE is not part of the GFS wheelhouse. What is? lol. It should be better than the NAM past 48 hours though. Honestly though it's solution looks pretty similar to the EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 9 minutes ago, weathafella said: SWFE is not part of the GFS wheelhouse. Have we had one under the latest GFS rendition? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: The NAM isnt exactly great either beyond 36 with them. I find it usually has a cold bias or sometimes is too far south beyond that That's why it seems like SWFE tick warmer in the final 24 hours, at least with mid-level warmth. How many times have we seen the sleet line get further north than progged, but SFC temps stay colder than progged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 6 minutes ago, powderfreak said: That's why it seems like SWFE tick warmer in the final 24 hours, at least with mid-level warmth. How many times have we seen the sleet line get further north than progged, but SFC temps stay colder than progged. Some do, some don't. All depends upon how strong the primary is that cuts west. I haven't peeked much at this but it does not appear as though models are too far off with the basic track. Will boil down to the MLs and strength. We do know the GFS has had a warm bias at the surface but that does not mean it's correct. We have also seen the Euro not be the stellar model that it has historically been around here. Right now I'd say a compromise is in order. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 4, 2018 Author Share Posted February 4, 2018 Hopefully 12/16/07 walks in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Just now, weathafella said: Hopefully 12/16/07 walks in. Uber SWFE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 17 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Some do, some don't. All depends upon how strong the primary is that cuts west. I haven't peeked much at this but it does not appear as though models are too far off with the basic track. Will boil down to the MLs and strength. We do know the GFS has had a warm bias at the surface but that does not mean it's correct. We have also seen the Euro not be the stellar model that it has historically been around here. Right now I'd say a compromise is in order. Yeah, those are prime events around here and sometimes it flips and sponges the pack and other times it is a light freezing mist to end on top of 8" of dense. Hoping for that on Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 4, 2018 Author Share Posted February 4, 2018 20 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Uber SWFE. I’ve moved to Lyft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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