CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, wx2fish said: Just looking at the accumulated Snow qpf the Swiss looks close to the 12z Euro. A little more generous on the southern fringes. Brings the low near your head I feel like it's going over my head. It can't always be winter in Weymouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: jesus christ now there's a swiss model? really - guess i'll google https://weather.us/model-charts/newengland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: jesus christ now there's a swiss model? really - guess i'll google It on the weather.us site for free Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I feel like it's going over my head. It can't always be winter in Weymouth. 53F with pina coladas from Bob to Scooter while its 29F and ZR along 495. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 The Swiss has a SE bias beyond 24 hrs out. One thing I have noticed. It always comes back N or NW in these setups. But it does seem to handle temps very well inside that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 28 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: One issue the pope had is that what he was saying meant less snow, which has always a predictable reaction of disgust and one liners within 48 hrs to a storm. Will actually backed up his difference of opinion on CAD w maps and meteorology. Now i wish we just had a map and we could see forecast totals that those arguing were predicting bc some people are closer in forecasts than discussion would lead you to believe. Also, i beleive he was just saying hey there may be more liquid SE of 495 (in mass)and near the coast in NH. Pink 6-12" all frozen (some sleet). Yellow 4-8" snow/sleet to 3 hr period of moderate rain. Light Blue 3-6" front end thump to a 3-6 hr period of rain. Gray: 1-3" to rain. Green: 1" to rain. The 4-8" gradient goes along Rt 125 in NH. west of there is 6-12", east of there is 4-8" 3 hr period of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: 53F with pina coladas from Bob to Scooter while its 29F and ZR along 495. It might be. Or close by anyways. Looks like Diane will be having a luau party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 1 minute ago, jbenedet said: Pink 6-12" all frozen (some sleet). Yellow 4-8" snow/sleet to 3 hr period of moderate rain. Light Blue 3-6" front end thump to a 3-6 hr period of rain. Gray: 1-3" to rain. Green: 1" to rain. The 4-8" gradient goes along Rt 125 in NH. west of there is 6-12", east of there is 4-8" Textbook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Pink 6-12" all frozen (some sleet). Yellow 4-8" snow/sleet to 3 hr period of moderate rain. Light Blue 3-6" front end thump to a 3-6 hr period of rain. Gray: 1-3" to rain. Green: 1" to rain. The 4-8" gradient goes along Rt 125 in NH. west of there is 6-12", east of there is 4-8" 3 hr period of rain. Not a bad guess, although I don't see ORH on north getting rain. The range works too, because the euro seemed on the lighter side south of NH border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Textbook Except that the interior doesn’t rain . I’m hoping he means zr cuz plain rain doesn’t happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 18z Nam ini colder, Shocker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Except that the interior doesn’t rain . I’m hoping he means zr cuz plain rain doesn’t happen Probably not, but those warm tongues always seem to reach further than we think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Probably not, but those warm tongues always seem to reach further than we think I don't think you can use that analogy in this type of setup, Not much to force it to far NW in the mid levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Pope's map is pretty good but I doubt much if any rain in the yellow zone. That's really the only thing I'd change....it may not rain down into southern ORH county either...but that is still up for debate, could sneak to 33-34 there near the end before the front sinks back SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Pope's map is pretty good but I doubt much if any rain in the yellow zone. That's really the only thing I'd change....it may not rain down into southern ORH county either...but that is still up for debate, could sneak to 33-34 there near the end before the front sinks back SE. There won’t be any rain north of 84 either. Swiss keeps it near 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Is this a flash freeze situation on the coast tomorrow night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: There won’t be any rain north of 84 either. Swiss keeps it near 30 12z is a bit warmer. I think you may get some brief temps 33-34 maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 9 minutes ago, White Rain said: The threat is more sleet I think. You look safe out that way. Def not worried where I live. maybe a little sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: Is this a flash freeze situation on the coast tomorrow night? Iffy...prob a nowcast. Depends on how efficiently any mesolow out ahead of the main one develops...if it is able to, then we could def see a preservation of mid to upper 20s just inland and then it sloshes right back to the coast. But if the mesolow is not very defined, then you end up with more like 31-32F inland and there isn't as much of a threat of freezing on the coast when winds turn back N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 2 hours ago, dryslot said: 12z Euro looks to pretty much hold serve from 0z, Takes the SLP right over SE MA close to the canal. Shocking track near the canal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2018 Author Share Posted February 6, 2018 36 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Some on here secretly call you Cardinal Tip. I’ve heard moels use that term..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 The NAM is still pretty torchy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Iffy...prob a nowcast. Depends on how efficiently any mesolow out ahead of the main one develops...if it is able to, then we could def see a preservation of mid to upper 20s just inland and then it sloshes right back to the coast. But if the mesolow is not very defined, then you end up with more like 31-32F inland and there isn't as much of a threat of freezing on the coast when winds turn back N. Ok thanks Will. More directly what do you think Boston's low on Thursday morning will be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Just now, CT Rain said: The NAM is still pretty torchy It’s been tossed all day by mets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 WSW are up, GYX bumped up totals in there zone forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Earlier guidance has a flash freeze look. But it's possible it may take a few hours for temp to fall below 32 at BOS again which would negate that. It's close. You really want those temps in the mid 20s close by. Otherwise it may get slippery, but it's manageable. Like Will said, a little meso low would help tuck it in closer and more quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 1 hour ago, 25thamendmentfan said: Some of the jbenedet ball busting that went on today was over the top. He's an asset to this site. His posts are intellectually sound, well written, respectful and erudite. He never goes off topic with political rants nor does he intentionally needle posters like ginxie. Sorry, denying the existence of CAD in response to a patently obvious illustration of it is silly. I don't think anyone personally attacked him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Sorry, denying the existence of CAD in response to a patently obvious illustration of it is silly. I don't think anyone personally attacked him. This, It was all in jest most of it and the thoughts displayed had merit knowing these types of system, Some need to lighten up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: WSW are up, GYX bumped up totals in there zone forecast. I like it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 NAM still brings the SLP over the pope's fanny. Toss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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