STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Since when is this high in a great position? Im on mobile and screen cuts off near east nova scotia can anyone post 18z or 0z high position/orientation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2018 Author Share Posted February 6, 2018 Pending the 12z guidance it’s mesos vs globals. You’d think mesos would have CAD better figured out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Just now, jbenedet said: The hi-res NAM doesn't bring the SLP over the interior either. But the warmth at 850 and the surface is still well inland.... Yes it does, look at your pic with the 3KM NAM depiction near HFD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Just now, jbenedet said: The hi-res NAM doesn't bring the SLP over the interior either. But the warmth at 850 and the surface is still well inland.... I would have thought all these CAD events in December would have you finally learn that the interior doesn't warm up at the surface on these setups....particularly outside of I-495 and N of the pike. 850 is a totally different story....that could easily torch right up your fanny. But the surface is not going to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Since when is this high in a great position? Im on mobile and screen cuts off near east nova scotia can anyone post 18z or 0z high position/orientation It's not ideal. Slides too far east. But it's fine for the interior. You don't need a massive 1040 high due north of Caribou Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: So to be clear, you're going for rain in Dover? Everyone gets a front end thump. We get 4-8", and then I think there's a flip to moderate rain in the Seacoast of NH for a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I would have thought all these CAD events in December would have you finally learn that the interior doesn't warm up at the surface on these setups....particularly outside of I-495 and N of the pike. 850 is a totally different story....that could easily torch right up your fanny. But the surface is not going to. Seems like an easy concept to grasp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Just now, weathafella said: Pending the 12z guidance it’s mesos vs globals. You’d think mesos would have CAD better figured out... And they're the warmer guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It's not ideal. Slides too far east. But it's fine for the interior. You don't need a massive 1040 high due north of Caribou Maine. It needs to slide east a solid 6-12 hours earlier to torch the interior...it is still due north of CAR at 12z tomorrow....that's game over for any shot at warming in the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Red red wine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I would have thought all these CAD events in December would have you finally learn that the interior doesn't warm up at the surface on these setups....particularly outside of I-495 and N of the pike. 850 is a totally different story....that could easily torch right up your fanny. But the surface is not going to. We disagree on this being a CAD event. I just don't see it that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Yes it does, look at your pic with the 3KM NAM depiction near HFD. Yeah tracks it right over Le Tolland Massif. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 1 minute ago, jbenedet said: Everyone gets a front end thump. We get 4-8", and then I think there's a flip to moderate rain in the Seacoast of NH for a few hours. Maybe the beaches? I have a hard time seeing that warmth penetrate towards your locale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 1 minute ago, jbenedet said: We disagree on this being a CAD event. I just don't see it that way. That high is gonna wedge your bloomers right into your fanny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: Pending the 12z guidance it’s mesos vs globals. You’d think mesos would have CAD better figured out... Yea. The mesos have picked up on the low level CAD on every event it was there this season....Not sure why this time would be different. Even the ARW's don't see anything... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 1 minute ago, jbenedet said: Yea. The mesos have picked up on the low level CAD on every event it was there this season....Not sure why this time would be different. Even the ARW's don't see anything... Dude, enjoy a solid winter event there. Jesus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Maybe the beaches? I have a hard time seeing that warmth penetrate towards your locale. Especially being closer to the cold source region. Gotta be wary of the Hi-res 12z runs thus far. All thus far have an inland track. 12km NAM, 3km NAM, 12z RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That high is gonna wedge your bloomers right into your fanny. Yea I disagree there. Wind is going to be out of the east, off the Atlantic for a while tomorrow. And the mid levels aren't cold so it won't take much to warm up the atmosphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 7 minutes ago, jbenedet said: We disagree on this being a CAD event. I just don't see it that way. You don't perceive a high situated north of Caribou, Maine as sufficient to induce an ageostrophic drain? Fair enough....I guess. Are you from around here? Just curious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Just now, jbenedet said: We disagree on this being a CAD event. I just don't see it that way. How is this surface depiction NOT cold air damming? This is very classic....I drew the red warm front clearly visible on the isobars and the wedging of the high down into the interior....its plain as day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2018 Author Share Posted February 6, 2018 7 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: And they're the warmer guidance. Correct-but hard to buy. Of course NAM has another 24 hours before reliability....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: How is this surface depiction NOT cold air damming? This is very classic....I drew the red warm front clearly visible on the isobars and the wedging of the high down into the interior....its plain as day It's a classic wedge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: It's a classic wedge. Suslack wedge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Man, GFS is even colder than 06z aloft at 18z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 GFS is actually a bit colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2018 Author Share Posted February 6, 2018 Nice snow burst here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Looks like low goes just SE of me on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 49 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I would take being accused of day drinking as a compliment. The RT 2 corridor looking good. I anticipate Wednesday school being canceled by tonight. Well...isn't that a part of your job? Our super just cancelled the meetings for Weds afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 The 12z GFS was a lot warmer at the surface for eastern areas versus 6z. Me included. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 We wedge, I don't even see temps past 25°F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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