NorEastermass128 Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Latitude more important than proximity to coast here right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 25 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Doesn't seem too unreasonable I guess... hard to say though as at that temp sometimes you're getting big aggregates that stack up. I mean 34F needles yeah, you're getting sometime a bit better than sleet. Lot of that 10 to 1 is sleet too, best to look at precip type maps before you get dumbfounded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Those snow algorithms are also dependent on the model being correct too. You see those 34F sfc temps "punishing" an area on snowfall but in reality it's not 34...it ends up as 31. The models love to warm the sfc above freezing in steady precip when 950mb is like -3C. Prob one of the worst biases they have. Those are prob the scenarios when the kuchara maps end up way lower than a simpler 10:1 map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 8 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Latitude more important than proximity to coast here right? Yea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Those snow algorithms are also dependent on the model being correct too. You see those 34F sfc temps "punishing" an area on snowfall but in reality it's not 34...it ends up as 31. The models love to warm the sfc above freezing in steady precip when 950mb is like -3C. Prob one of the worst biases they have. Those are prob the scenarios when the kuchara maps end up way lower than a simpler 10:1 map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea. Somewhat true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Seems like nothing to stop it from continuing colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Seems like nothing to stop it from continuing colder School cancel day 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Ensembles similar to OP. Nice shift colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Somewhat true Yea, the majority of the warming is coming from the sw in the mid levels. I'm sure the immediate coast see some marine influence, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 4, 2018 Author Share Posted February 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, the majority of the warming is coming from the sw in the mid levels. I'm sure the immediate coast see some marine influence, though. You could do pretty well Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Seems like nothing to stop it from continuing colder Notice the low temps, SWFE city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Yeah after being porked a bit, Ray gets some mojo back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Also you can see the variance in those meteograms with max and min low temps, wild week incoming. Should get to that foot in ten days by Wed we promised Kev Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah after being porked a bit, Ray gets some mojo back. Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Notice the low temps, SWFE city Let’s hope day 9-10 are wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Let’s hope day 9-10 are wrong Meh we go dry post day 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Meh we go dry post day 7 But it is very important to not melt the pack away. Must.....hold.....on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard24 Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 trend in most models and ecwmf is colder and south . watch by mon runs more colder storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 I would approve of a SWFE. My bread and butter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Meh we go dry post day 7 Don’t think so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 38 minutes ago, weathafella said: You could do pretty well Wednesday. Yea, I could see 6" or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I could see 6" or so. 6-8" all the way down Rt 2 and N seems doable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: 6-8" all the way down Rt 2 and N seems doable. Yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 19 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I would approve of a SWFE. My bread and butter Your bread and butter is my soggy crumbs. Not a fan of SWFE for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
25thamendmentfan Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 23 minutes ago, blizzard24 said: trend in most models and ecwmf is colder and south . watch by mon runs more colder storm We hope, because a lot of our posters live along and south of 95 and we don't want a sloppy 2 inches during a time that is historically our snowiest week of the winter. But, to be fair, even on July 4th you forecast cold and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
25thamendmentfan Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, FRWEATHA said: Your bread and butter is my soggy crumbs. Not a fan of SWFE for this area. Fall river is usually good for 4 inches in these events, especially a mile north of the old harbor mall in the south end and more than that up toward Freetown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SharonA Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 FOOEY! Wx gods hate me! I fly here in early December, and MBY in Georgia gets 8" of snow. Fly back to the NE, and it's just dibbles and sleet and cold ... of COURSE they won't send a decent snow event until the day before I leave. This thing is going to arrive just in time to totally mess up travel home on Thursday (drive to Boston-Logan, fly to Atlanta). All the inconvenience and none of the fun. *sulkily jealous* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Just now, SharonA said: FOOEY! Wx gods hate me! I fly here in early December, and MBY in Georgia gets 8" of snow. Fly back to the NE, and it's just dibbles and sleet and cold ... of COURSE they won't send a decent snow event until the day before I leave. This thing is going to arrive just in time to totally mess up travel home on Thursday (drive to Boston-Logan, fly to Atlanta). All the inconvenience and none of the fun. *sulkily jealous* Mid day wednesday on is going to get quite dicey for travel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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