weathafella Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Looks great for NNE. Can SNE get in on it? Discuss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Thank you old man winter for starting this.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 4, 2018 Author Share Posted February 4, 2018 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Thank you old man winter for starting this.............. Let’s hope it brings juju. I’m cautiously optimistic for a decent front ender here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Euro looking much better for SNE so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 4, 2018 Author Share Posted February 4, 2018 Yes that’s a huge improvement on the euro. Pretty good front ender for most of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 euro with the amp happy bias yet again. It tries too hard in a fast flow. We knew it would move se. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Big front ender there on euro. Prob close to warning in the pike region and solid advisory to the south....esp over interior. Sfc low takes a more typical track for that high position. No way interior gets to freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Not a surprise that its colder, The high up north doing ts work, That's snow right to the canal this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Yes!!! One more rainer today and winter quickly back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 That's a big change on the EURO... Kuchie snow totals just for fun for the two snowstorms (this evening and Wednesday). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Wait, I've never seen that... the Kuchie snow maps are like nothing south of the Pike but the 10:1 maps have 3-6" south of the Pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yes!!! One more rainer today and winter quickly back Wintry for many, but not nec. For all of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Just now, Cold Miser said: Wintry for many, but not nec. For all of us. It’s mainly snow right to the coast in SE mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s mainly snow right to the coast in SE mass Huh? That seems a little disingenuous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siker Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Wait, I've never seen that... the Kuchie snow maps are like nothing south of the Pike but the 10:1 maps have 3-6" south of the Pike. Heh, it’s not always more (it’s noticeably less in boundary areas often). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Wait, I've never seen that... the Kuchie snow maps are like nothing south of the Pike but the 10:1 maps have 3-6" south of the Pike. I've seen that. In borderline events, those differences comes out. It's like it treats borderline events as non accumulating mash potatoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Yeah, Kuchie is not always a weenie dream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 9 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Wait, I've never seen that... the Kuchie snow maps are like nothing south of the Pike but the 10:1 maps have 3-6" south of the Pike. Kuchera does not like snow ratios with a temp in the column at or above freezing. Snow with a temp of 34F would give a ratio of 6:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Can someone post the other, better Euro map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Weather.us is pretty aggressive. https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/massachusetts/acc-precipitation-snow-total/20180208-0600z.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Can someone post the other, better Euro map? Haha you mean the more snowy one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Weather.us is pretty aggressive. https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/massachusetts/acc-precipitation-snow-total/20180208-0000z.html Click it forward a few frames too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 10 minutes ago, dendrite said: Kuchera does not like snow ratios with a temp in the column at or above freezing. Snow with a temp of 34F would give a ratio of 6:1. Doesn't seem too unreasonable I guess... hard to say though as at that temp sometimes you're getting big aggregates that stack up. I mean 34F needles yeah, you're getting sometime a bit better than sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 We double down 3 days later on the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Doesn't seem too unreasonable I guess... hard to say though as at that temp sometimes you're getting big aggregates that stack up. I mean 34F needles yeah, you're getting sometime a bit better than sleet. Given the temp profiles. that's like 3-4 easily for BOS anyways. Very cold to start at 925 and even with east winds, that would hover like 31 at BOS for awhile. Not really a paste job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 7 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Haha you mean the more snowy one? For years they’ve told us never to use Kuchera Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Given the temp profiles. that's like 3-4 easily for BOS anyways. Very cold to start at 925 and even with east winds, that would hover like 31 at BOS for awhile. Not really a paste job. Yeah, I like on Wxbell it has a field for max H85-H7 temperatures... really useful in a SWFE like this. Looks like on the Euro run the 0C or higher in that 850mb-700mb level gets to north of the Pike but south of RT 2 where it stalls out. So RT 2 and north is all snow. Like SWFE climo right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Given the temp profiles. that's like 3-4 easily for BOS anyways. Very cold to start at 925 and even with east winds, that would hover like 31 at BOS for awhile. Not really a paste job. I buy that. Should be a solid event. Go cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Given the temp profiles. that's like 3-4 easily for BOS anyways. Very cold to start at 925 and even with east winds, that would hover like 31 at BOS for awhile. Not really a paste job. Boston Harbor is only 39*. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 6 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah, I like on Wxbell it has a field for max H85-H7 temperatures... really useful in a SWFE like this. Looks like on the Euro run the 0C or higher in that 850mb-700mb level gets to north of the Pike but south of RT 2 where it stalls out. So RT 2 and north is all snow. Like SWFE climo right there. Pretty much. Might be a sneaky war tongue that sleets to SNH or so, but solid event rt 2 north...even to pike I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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