NorthArlington101 Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 3k flips everyone to a couple hours of snow. Has some streamers come through too. Maybe we can steal something... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 Posted this is in the disc thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 3:01 PM, pasnownut said: and if you look at Sunday, y'all get some action as well. (posted here cause theres no thread and its no longer long ranger stuff Expand Ji made a thread for Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 Looks like an outside shot at an inch somewhere. Some brief meso banding may set up(per NAM) to give a few places a mini jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 3:04 PM, C.A.P.E. said: Looks like an outside shot at an inch somewhere. Some brief meso banding may set up(per NAM) to give a few places a mini jackpot. Expand toggle through the last 4 12k NAM'rs and you'll see it trending back to a little better result for some of us. btrwx just shared this in the other thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 3:08 PM, pasnownut said: toggle through the last 4 12k NAM'rs and you'll see it trending back to a little better result for some of us. btrwx just shared this in the other thread. Expand Against my judgement, I'll copy it over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 3:08 PM, pasnownut said: toggle through the last 4 12k NAM'rs and you'll see it trending back to a little better result for some of us. btrwx just shared this in the other thread. Expand Yup I did that. Looks marginally interesting lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 3:10 PM, C.A.P.E. said: Yup I did that. Looks marginally interesting lol. Expand we live in the margins.....thats how we roll lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 Always difficult to pinpoint location, but the 3km and 12km NAM seem to be suggesting the potential of some 700 mb fronto forcing/banding for a time along and SE of I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 3k NAM is pretty bullish. Kuchera ratio is half of this total for DC area btw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 It's amazing how two different model sites have two totals for the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 It'd be sweet if everyone got 2" east of US 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 3:34 PM, Eskimo Joe said: It'd be sweet if everyone got 2" east of US 15. Expand .2"...we measure in tenths of inch now. not sure 2 inches is really on the table unless something silly happens. sucks that 850s are so cold yet the surface wont support some accums. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 Hate to rain on parades but look at the radar versus the freezing line on the 3km. It lags it and this year, I think the model has run cold more often than too warm. Probably will only see cosmetic snow with no accumulations except maybe on grass and mulch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 12km NAM Frontogenesis. Loop it. Decent banding potential. http://moe.met.fsu.edu/banding/t12z/nam.ne.12.frontb.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 3:41 PM, usedtobe said: Hate to rain on parades Expand It's not you raining on the parades. It's the durned uncooperative weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 GFS not nearly as nice as the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 at least the sun's not out heating up the hotplate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 RGEM likes a couple of hours of mood flakes on the back end. And close to half an inch through the area: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 For now I think I'll hug the WRF-ARW2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 Euro is mostly just conversational snow everywhere east of the apps with trace accums. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 6:01 PM, Bob Chill said: Euro is mostly just conversational snow everywhere east of the apps with trace accums. Expand Nothing wrong with that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 It's February. The sun angle is coming in like a freight train. We'll have God's magnifying glass on us soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 6:02 PM, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Nothing wrong with that! Expand Nope, nothing wrong with that at all. Looks like middle of the night stuff so I won't see it happen. That's prob the only downside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 HRRR showing flip around 1am for me, but surface temp is 34. out of the area by 4am. yay for snowing falling into puddles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 18Z NAM's not looking great for tonights event. Basically nada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 can we blame @NorthArlington101 for starting the thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 HRRR keeps getting bullish. Has 3 hrs of snow for DC that would somehow reach 0.5" (10:1 ratio of course) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 3:25 PM, mappy said: It's amazing how two different model sites have two totals for the NAM Expand DuPage does something funny with the snowfall. If you loop it, you can see amounts being wiped away in places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 We are getting a dusting at best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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