Chris78 Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 4 minutes ago, WVclimo said: High clouds and 35/6. Winds S at 8. Morning low was 9 and afternoon high was 36. Nice low dew point. I would assume that should help tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 @high risk or anyone with more general knowledge than I possess. Can you please explain what the RGEM is seeing that other models are not? Taken verbatim, this would be a serious ice storm down this way. Is it believable and plausible? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 31/14 here. High was 33. Really nice cold Feb day. That being said, I expect about 15 mins of sleet before it goes over to all rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 7 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: @high risk or anyone with more general knowledge than I possess. Can you please explain what the RGEM is seeing that other models are not? Taken verbatim, this would be a serious ice storm down this way. Is it believable and plausible? Look at the 2m temp maps. That run (the RDPS) maintains 2m temps below freezing in that area for longer than the other models. It's a bit of an outlier, and I'm not familiar enough with that model to say whether it may be on to something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 Looks like my yard is in the qpf bullseye again. Another inch maybe? I would gladly share the wealth. Also wish I could save some of this juice for a better setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 GFS really cut back on sfc temps. MRB went from 37 to 32 by 1pm tomorrow. Looks like the NAM has the better handle on thermal profile...LWX seems to agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 How come Tropical Tidbits doesn’t have the Roger Smith model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 8 minutes ago, poolz1 said: GFS really cut back on sfc temps. MRB went from 37 to 32 by 1pm tomorrow. Looks like the NAM has the better handle on thermal profile...LWX seems to agree. And the GFS pumped up QPF significantly this run too. 0.5"+ amounts now, like the meso models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 RGEM is winning this. all hail the RGEM. new king. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 This will be fun to follow 32/33 riding around Baltimore beltway want to watch how much the dews come up with no precip. Steady southwest winds today did not raise them much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 31 in Montclair. Very light winds. Temps fall into the 25-26 range it’s a long recovery to 32 with cloud cover unless the south wind rages of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 29 in westminster, 31 in shepherdstown. damit Westminster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 28/9 here. Not expecting much in the way of frozen . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 I think Disney's Frozen On Ice is in Baltimore again tomorrow. So there will at least be some Frozen in town! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWC Split Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 32/8 in Haymarket Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kristymac03 Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 Just now, PWC Split said: 32/8 in Haymarket Could you tell me what these are? I assume they are temps. But which is what? Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 Just now, Kristymac03 said: Could you tell me what these are? I assume they are temps. But which is what? Haha Pretty sure the first one is temperature, second one is dew point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 30F. What time does the snow start???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Just now, WxUSAF said: 30F. What time does the snow start???? Is this a trick question? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 9 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 30F. What time does the snow start???? 7am February 23, 2019. Eta: er something. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 32 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 30F. What time does the snow start???? As soon as the temp reaches 33F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2018 Author Share Posted February 4, 2018 46 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 30F. What time does the snow start???? HRRR says by 9am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 We've seen it countless times where it looks nice and cold the day before but somehow we flip to 34/32 after an hour of precip. I'm not holing my breath but it's nice at least see the hi-res guidance stay cold and LWX extending the WWA both in geographic coverage and time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: We've seen it countless times where it looks nice and cold the day before but somehow we flip to 34/32 after an hour of precip. I'm not holing my breath but it's nice at least see the hi-res guidance stay cold and LWX extending the WWA both in geographic coverage and time. We've also seen it the other way around where things kick off early and the precip keeps the column longer than expected. I kinda forget what that feels like but I wouldnt be surprised if western folks end up with some upside. I hope they do because even though my yard has sucked, the western folks have really had a run of bad luck this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 29 minutes ago, Ji said: HRRR says by 9am We rain while NOVA snows. Somehow, the dry-hole wasn't enough kick-in-the-nutz, now it's a rain-blob while areas N,E,W,and S snow. LOL. This place is cursed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 9 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: We rain while NOVA snows. Somehow, the dry-hole wasn't enough kick-in-the-nutz, now it's a rain-blob while areas N,E,W,and S snow. LOL. This place is cursed. It won’t go down like that. I won’t be spitting snow obs while you are raining. Never. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 7 minutes ago, BristowWx said: It won’t go down like that. I won’t be spitting snow obs while you are raining. Never. More likely that I'll just be dry, but you should never under-estimate the nutz-kicking potential of this place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Gotta say, under a winter weather advisory for only the second or third time this year - this is already an over-performer on that basis alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 WWA have been expanded further east to the bay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Other than the December 9th snow, I think that this is our first WWA not during a rush hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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