SchaumburgStormer Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 14 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: Both NAMs came in much improved east of the MS River. Sent from my SM-G935V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 3 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: The liquid equivalent in my 5.5" was 0.39". The 4.8" at DTW brings the season total to 36.5". Just 5.9" more and the average for an entire season will be met. 2.5 more months of measurable snow potential to go. Truly night and day between Detroit and Chicago for this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 1 minute ago, mimillman said: Truly night and day between Detroit and Chicago for this winter. It truly is. My brother lives in Chicago right near Lakeshore drive so he's on the water. My family have a group text and he always is saying he can't believe how much more snow we have been getting. That said Chicago will definitely be the winner today. Enjoy the snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 Models have trended well for the Des Moines area((a few models suggesting 0.50" qpf), and radar is looking great. DM will finally be ending their record streak of no 3" snowfalls. I'm still hoping for 0.30" with 20 to 1 ratio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 3 hours ago, Chicago WX said: Looks like anywhere from about 0.15-0.30” of QPF here, so 2-4” sounds about right when poo pooing ratios. Sorry, got to believe it when I see it, lol. West zones in the LOT CWA favored for the highest amounts, but the 6z NAMs indicate a second jack in Southwest parts, and getting into Ford and Iroquois. Anyways, snow on top of snow always appreciated. And oh, sitting at -11 right now. That’s overachieving, haha We're both pretty much in the same boat with this one, though I think 3-5" is attainable as long as ratios cooperate. IKK had one of the colder temps in the LOT cwa (even beat Aurora). One radiating son of a gun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoalCityWxMan Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 3 minutes ago, Hoosier said: We're both pretty much in the same boat with this one, though I think 3-5" is attainable as long as ratios cooperate. IKK had one of the colder temps in the LOT cwa (even beat Aurora). One radiating son of a gun. My pws recorded -12 around 6:45am. (I live in the country) I’ve noticed my area to the IKK area is capable of very efficient radiational cooling, especially this winter for some reason it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 GFS looks very interesting for Friday through the weekend. Long duration event rolling in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 2 minutes ago, mimillman said: GFS looks very interesting for Friday through the weekend. Long duration event rolling in GFS is trying to bring the snow back north a bit again the last couple runs, brings mixing up into my area to Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 8 minutes ago, mimillman said: GFS looks very interesting for Friday through the weekend. Long duration event rolling in Gets icy eventually, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 7 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: GFS is trying to bring the snow back north a bit again the last couple runs, brings mixing up into my area to Chicago. I think this will be an interesting one to track nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 Nice to see the Des Moines area FINALLY cash in with a decent event. Still looking like a nice 3-4" type of event for this area, with perhaps a bit more for the QC. Hawk/Linn may make a solid run at a warning criteria event. Been a fun little event to track, and love the fact that it's a daytime event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparky333 Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 Local radio here in NW Ohio is calling for 3-6". Im having a hard time with that one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 That mid-week event is going to be another interior/NE special, lol. Give me a break!! Don't really expect much if anything with that mid-week event here locally. Would need an earlier phase but that seems unlikely given the HP location and timing. Extreme SE Ohio may get a couple inches depending on thermals. The early weekend event, should it come to fruition, wouldn't be a big storm by any means. The upper air pattern would argue against that and for any rapid amplification. It might be another overrunning event or a clipper. Mid-month already approaching and we have yet to see a widespread event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 The dry air around here is gonna eat snow crystals like Pac-Man dots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 According to the Cedar Rapids AWOS the snow began there at 10:48. Less than a half hour later (11:13) they were down to 1/4 mile in +SN. Pretty impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 A comparison to radar and observations versus the NAMs and recent runs of the HRRR indicates that the NAMs have a better handle on trends and the HRRR is too far south with near term progs.Sent from my SM-G935V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 Top down sat about completed here. Should have first flakes within the next 30 mins or so. Lots of low vis reports coming out of Iowa, which is encouraging. Some nice banding showing up out in central Iowa, with at least one 1/8 mile vis report. Sharp cutoff to the precip in southern Iowa, as Osceola and Chariton are sitting at 10 mile vis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoalCityWxMan Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 Hrrr is still showing a narrow 6”+ band south of I-80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 15 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Top down sat about completed here. Should have first flakes within the next 30 mins or so. Lots of low vis reports coming out of Iowa, which is encouraging. Some nice banding showing up out in central Iowa, with at least one 1/8 mile vis report. Sharp cutoff to the precip in southern Iowa, as Osceola and Chariton are sitting at 10 mile vis. its all pixie dust... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 not getting big dendrites here, just tiny steady misty looking flakes. A bit underwhelming so far in SW Wisconsin. Sitting at about a half inch total so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 5 minutes ago, NWLinnCountyIA said: its all pixie dust... Ouch, that's not good to hear lol. Both CID and IOW at 1/4 mile, so it must be pouring pixies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 The late week action is still changing on the models. The GFS is strongest over the weekend. UK and Euro have backed off some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 This light to moderate pixie dust just isn't piling up very well. After two hours I've only received 0.7". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 Light snow has just started. EDIT: Flake size here is not bad at all. Def better than pixie dust. Hope that continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 From nothing to solid SN in a bit over 15 mins, noice. Flake size a little smaller now, but not bad. Pouring smallish flakes now. +SN at DVN/MLI already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 Flake size is slowly, slowly upgrading. Still only one or two steps above pixie dust... I've got 1.2" since the snow started. Although, It's absolutely dumping small flakes here, visibility is 1/4-1/8th of a mile. Heck this may even be 1"/hr despite the mediocre flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 Just now, NWLinnCountyIA said: Flake size is slowly, slowly upgrading. Still only one or two steps above pixie dust... I've got 1.2" since the snow started. Although, It's absolutely dumping small flakes here, visibility is 1/4-1/8th of a mile. Heck this may even be 1"/hr despite the mediocre flakes. The flakes are very dry, and I noticed the early/larger flakes shattered instantly on impact. As soon as the precip intensity increased the flake size quickly became smaller. Wondering if the flakes are so dry that when you get the heavier intensities they bump into each other and shatter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wegoweather Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 From out west near Ames, IA about an hour ago. While visibility is never great on Traffic cams, you still get a decent idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 6 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: The flakes are very dry, and I noticed the early/larger flakes shattered instantly on impact. As soon as the precip intensity increased the flake size quickly became smaller. Wondering if the flakes are so dry that when you get the heavier intensities they bump into each other and shatter. I was thinking it maybe had something to do with the relatively deep dry air layer on the soundings, although I would've thought that would have saturated out by now. But our flake size has markedly improved over the past 15 minutes, moderate flake size and heavy rates. Visibility is near 1/8th of a mile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoalCityWxMan Posted February 5, 2018 Share Posted February 5, 2018 It appears that radar trends are lining up with what the hrrr is portraying to this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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