CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: I take that as a yes lol ASH will do fine. 1-2 easily there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2018 Author Share Posted February 1, 2018 Does this accumulate all the way to the beaches in CT too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2018 Author Share Posted February 1, 2018 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I take that as a yes lol Hey yo fat girl..come here , are you ticklish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2018 Author Share Posted February 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, metagraphica said: And I was almost caught up to you for my season total....this will put your snow total out of reach. lol. It’s amazing how uniform the totals are region wide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: It’s amazing how uniform the totals are region wide Yeah, definitely an unusual season in that aspect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 7 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Is this basically a route 2 and south deal W crumbs in ASH thinking 1-2 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Hey yo fat girl..come here , are you ticklish? Humpty Hump? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 34 minutes ago, amarshall said: Nothing for the VT mountains? They need it. They get a couple more inches anyway...already have gotten 2-4 this morning in S VT. Then they also may do well on Sunday/Monday...and I think they may do very well next week, as long as the Euro is a little too amp-happy, which it may be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: They get a couple more inches anyway...already have gotten 2-4 this morning in S VT. Then they also may do well on Sunday/Monday...and I think they may do very well next week, as long as the Euro is a little too amp-happy, which it may be. Heading to Killington tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, amarshall said: Heading to Killington tomorrow. Kmart does well with the westerly flow...they'll prob get upslope enhancement with the FROPA...I'll bet they score at least 3"+ tonight...prob more...wouldn't be surprised at 4-6. The mesos really weenie out there tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 51 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Head to any planet fitness from Gardner to Tolland. HUH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 Just now, Whineminster said: HUH? He's a weenie by day, an adulterating trainor at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 RAP is dropping 3 in BOS...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: They get a couple more inches anyway...already have gotten 2-4 this morning in S VT. Then they also may do well on Sunday/Monday...and I think they may do very well next week, as long as the Euro is a little too amp-happy, which it may be. I think the Greens get lit up tonight. Good surface moisture, upsloping winds, some instability along the Arctic boundary. Some ski area will pull 4-6" tonight. I've got 2-4" for Mansfield in squalls. I like seeing BTV torch this afternoon in the valley. Pool some moisture in there too. SVT has great upslope signal but also some mid-level forcing it seems that would put them in a good spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: RAP is dropping 3 in BOS...lol. RAP is out of control on latest run. Some of these mesos are going nuts late tonight. Not totally off base though because even the 12z Euro kind of went wild (for that model's standards especially) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Kmart does well with the westerly flow...they'll prob get upslope enhancement with the FROPA...I'll bet they score at least 3"+ tonight...prob more...wouldn't be surprised at 4-6. The mesos really weenie out there tonight. lol I should've read further. Yeah someone gets 4-6" tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 16 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Kmart does well with the westerly flow...they'll prob get upslope enhancement with the FROPA...I'll bet they score at least 3"+ tonight...prob more...wouldn't be surprised at 4-6. The mesos really weenie out there tonight. Looking like a great period upcoming for the southern Vermont mountains. Basically a perfect setup for that to be the jackpot area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: lol I should've read further. Yeah someone gets 4-6" tonight. Yeah the southern greens and even up to Kmart prob get extra synoptic assist too in addition to upslope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: RAP is out of control on latest run. Some of these mesos are going nuts late tonight. Not totally off base though because even the 12z Euro kind of went wild (for that model's standards especially) I have trouble buying much snow from this, regardless of modeling..these type of deals seldom end well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: RAP is out of control on latest run. Some of these mesos are going nuts late tonight. Not totally off base though because even the 12z Euro kind of went wild (for that model's standards especially) They all have like 1-2 hrs of wicked lift in the DGZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have trouble buying much snow from this, regardless of modeling..these type of deals seldom end well. There isn't going to be that much snow...it's more about the impact...rates and flash freeze. I doubt anyone really gets more than 3 or 4 inches...and that's prob for the elevated interior...but even 2-3" in a 3 hour burst with crashing temps will cause huge problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: There isn't going to be that much snow...it's more about the impact...rates and flash freeze. I doubt anyone really gets more than 3 or 4 inches...and that's prob for the elevated interior...but even 2-3" in a 3 hour burst with crashing temps will cause huge problems. Yeah I could see a 4 or 5 spot in spots above 1000 feet that stay mainly snow. For the valley spots seems like it's 1 or 2" of snow with a flash freeze. Ugly look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: There isn't going to be that much snow...it's more about the impact...rates and flash freeze. I doubt anyone really gets more than 3 or 4 inches...and that's prob for the elevated interior...but even 2-3" in a 3 hour burst with crashing temps will cause huge problems. That is the thing....I highly doubt more than an inch or two outside of the hills. Not taking the bait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: That is the thing....I highly doubt more than an inch or two outside of the hills. Not taking the bait. You might be right...1-2 vs 2-3? not much difference...impact will be about he same if its a flash freeze though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You might be right...1-2 vs 2-3? not much difference...impact will be about he same if its a flash freeze though. True...I was thinking about that as I responded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 It's more of getting 1-2" of mashies quick with a temp drop to the U20s. That could be a high impact event if crews are not ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: True...I was thinking about that as I responded. I mean, I don't disagree that the snow accums could be kind of meh...esp if this tries to shut off a little quicker. But even if they are, the flash freeze could be nasty. These are never easy to predict, but I'd def throw out a word of caution to folks. These are the types of events that are prob a bit better to warn the public about and have it pan out a little meh, vs downplaying it and having an absolute disaster early tomorrow morning. I would usually hedge in the direction of hype to my clients when it was kind of high impact potential like this. Esp since they were mostly DOT clients...we saw what a sh**show even Tuesday morning was with a meh forecast and 4-7" of fluff caused. Disaster. This would be even more high impact because of the flash freeze potential. And again, its possible maybe this just ends as a half inch of snow and a quick enough drying that the flash freeze is mitigated somewhat...we've seen that happen before. But the short term guidance is indicating the opposite trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 46F here and overcast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 29 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You might be right...1-2 vs 2-3? not much difference...impact will be about he same if its a flash freeze though.\ I dunno....1" is like nothing, 3" is plowable and will cause real travel problems, typically to issues getting up hills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 18z NAM not backing down. Might be some parachutes for a while looking at the soundings for the elevated interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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