Feb 1-2 Anafront wave disco

[CT Valley Snowman]

I like Kevin for 4.5 and about 2 here.  

[CT Valley Snowman]

29 minutes ago, 25thamendmentfan said:

I'm not sure why you're busting his ballz, even if you're joking. I highly doubt his news director is all that concerned about the sparsely populated hills of norheast Connecticut and whether they get an inch more of snow than forecast. It's rural, working class, and I doubt any of the Hartford/New haven tv stations sell spots there or any business there can afford to. Demographics is Destiny, which also explains why the tv business cares a lot more about an upper class woman from west Hartford who's 40 than a 65 year old male retiree from montville on a fixed income.

Awful post.  About as bad as they come.  

[CT Rain]

4 minutes ago, CTValleySnowMan said:

Seems like it started as mainly snow in the NW Hills of CT with temps around 33-34 at 1K.  

Where'd you see that? 

[Ginx snewx]

46 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Moosup CT represents about 0.1% of the Connecticut population, and about 10% of the PNS reports.

They know quality reporting when they see it, helps being friends with Eleanor and Joe D, also been doing it for 40 yeara

[HoarfrostHubb]

2-4” here seems likely.  Hoping to hit the high end of that.  I really don’t want to have a school delay though...conflicted 

[HoarfrostHubb]

And what the heck planet do middle age men talk about D cell batteries in shirt pockets?

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

They know quality reporting when they see it, helps being friends with Eleanor and Joe D, also been doing it for 40 yeara

    for 40 years

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

And what the heck planet do middle age men talk about D cell batteries in shirt pockets?

It is funny thinking that Kev is middle age now.

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

    for 40 years

Weenie since age 4 ,seriously. I drove my Dad and Mom nutz asking them to tell me weather stories of hurricanes and tornados. They bought me a barometer at age 5

[CT Rain]

36 minutes ago, 25thamendmentfan said:

I'm not sure why you're busting his ballz, even if you're joking. I highly doubt his news director is all that concerned about the sparsely populated hills of norheast Connecticut and whether they get an inch more of snow than forecast. It's rural, working class, and I doubt any of the Hartford/New haven tv stations sell spots there or any business there can afford to. Demographics is Destiny, which also explains why the tv business cares a lot more about an upper class woman from west Hartford who's 40 than a 65 year old male retiree from montville on a fixed income.

What are you talking about? We cover the news and weather wherever it happens. 

[Ginx snewx]

17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Hope so man. What you think for amounts? 

You might get the 6 pack of Trillium that fell out of the truck  4 to 6

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, CT Rain said:

What are you talking about? We cover the news and weather wherever it happens. 

Sorry you had to see this B.S.. carry on

 We know you man

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Not expecting much here. Hopefully that pans out... don’t need a disaster commute 

[CT Valley Snowman]

7 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Where'd you see that? 

Looking on mesonet. Probably not as reliable as ground reports. Radar precip type also showing snow in that area but I guess that is somewhat speculation.  What are you hearing?

 

[ORH_wxman]

HRRR is ramping up for RI and E MA too now...flips them over pretty quick and just mauls them for about 3 hours.

[CT Rain]

1 minute ago, CTValleySnowMan said:

Looking on mesonet. Probably not as reliable as ground reports. Radar precip type also showing snow in that area but I guess that is somewhat speculation.  What are you hearing?

 

Looks like rain to me up there now. 

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

HRRR is ramping up for RI and E MA too now...flips them over pretty quick and just mauls them for about 3 hours.

Soundings for snow growth are pretty damn good

[Damage In Tolland]

It started as sleet here and now all rain . Temp is down 34

I think if we want those 6+ to verify we need a flip by 9-10:00

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It started as sleet here and now all rain . Temp is down 34

I think if we want those 6+ to verify we need a flip by 9-10:00

Doubt 6+ verifies. But I think 3-4" has a good chance. HRRR doesn't even flip you until 1am. If you flip at 9pm then yeah, you'll get 5-6". But a flip a bit after midnight would still be totally consistent with 3-4 inch amounts.  

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Doubt 6+ verifies. But I think 3-4" has a good chance. HRRR doesn't even flip you until 1am. If you flip at 9pm then yeah, you'll get 5-6". But a flip a bit after midnight would still be totally consistent with 3-4 inch amounts.  

This stuff can pile up with better ratios every minute as omega increases and the column cools. Any 60 minute slowing of forecasted progression can lead to a six packer for Kev

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Doubt 6+ verifies. But I think 3-4" has a good chance. HRRR doesn't even flip you until 1am. If you flip at 9pm then yeah, you'll get 5-6". But a flip a bit after midnight would still be totally consistent with 3-4 inch amounts.  

When do you think we flip?

[CT Valley Snowman]

16 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Looks like rain to me up there now. 

Are most of the Weather Underground stations automatically programmed to report snow at certain temps?  I noticed a decent pocket of them all 33-34 degrees near Warren, Bantam, West Cornwall, Litchfield etc,. and they are all reporting snow but I am unsure how those stations report conditions?

 

 

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[Damage In Tolland]

Look at that bright banding SW of HFD. 

Question .. can that heavier precip help overcome these mild 925 temps?

[DavisStraight]

Light rain here, temps dropping down to 37

[powderfreak]

40 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

HRRR has this a 31-32 paster until 5:00 AM here.with 5-6+. Please let that verify 

This is the perfect set-up for your hill-top paster.

Temps in the mid-30s to start, wet bulb down to 32F above 700ft and then sit there for a while until the arctic boundary moves through and really drops the temps at the tail end.

Looking at even current obs now, this will have quite a elevation difference IMO even with just a few hundred feet of elevation change.  Wunderground shows 34-36F in Tolland, coldest reading in eastern half of CT is 33F at Union.  Get some steady precip in there and watch that drop a couple degrees then level off for a while.  Should be wet-bulbing as we speak.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

This is the perfect set-up for your hill-top paster.

Temps in the mid-30s to start, wet bulb down to 32F above 700ft and then sit there for a while until the arctic boundary moves through and really drops the temps at the tail end.

Looking at even current obs now, this will have quite a elevation difference IMO even with just a few hundred feet of elevation change.  Wunderground shows 34-36F in Tolland, coldest reading in eastern half of CT is 33F at Union.  Get some steady precip in there and watch that drop a couple degrees then level off for a while.  Should be wet-bulbing as we speak.

Jesus keep your clothes on.

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

This is the perfect set-up for your hill-top paster.

Temps in the mid-30s to start, wet bulb down to 32F above 700ft and then sit there for a while until the arctic boundary moves through and really drops the temps at the tail end.

Looking at even current obs now, this will have quite a elevation difference IMO even with just a few hundred feet of elevation change.  Wunderground shows 34-36F in Tolland, coldest reading in eastern half of CT is 33F at Union.  Get some steady precip in there and watch that drop a couple degrees then level off for a while.  Should be wet-bulbing as we speak.

I’m down to 33.5. But it seems like 925 is torched no?

[powderfreak]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Jesus keep your clothes on.

Wish we were there.  These are fun events to mico-analyze when you are talking only 500 feet of elevation difference could mean 5" at 32F vs. 2" at 34F.

Everyone on here knows I get a hard on for mesoscale elevation stuff, ha ha.

[ma blizzard]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’m down to 33.5. But it seems like 925 is torched no?

surface to ~900 mb is prob somewhere between 0.5 c to 1.5 c .. gonna take some time to dynamically cool this layer but Id say its encouraging that you are already under 34

[25thamendmentfan]

ginxie,

Why should I apologize? You're the one posting on the internet saying he's putting out failed forecasts. You should be happy he posts on this site. He doesn't have to, or need to. He has plenty of weather watchers on social media.

If I were a  newly minted chief meteorologist in a top 30 market and I had some guy saying I was failing in my forecasts I certainly wouldn't be happy about it even if you are a valued, albeit needy, overly sensitive weather watcher.

 Why are you accusing me of bigotry? I know you love your backyard, but the news directors at the providence/Hartford/New haven tv stations could care less about your backyard when 90% of the dma lives an hour away from you. It's simply one of the realities of commercial television, just like in the New York city tv market news directors don't care about the upper reaches of Rockland or dutchess counties when millions live in the 5 boros and Bergen/Westchester/Fairfield.