CT Valley Snowman Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 I like Kevin for 4.5 and about 2 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 10:44 PM, 25thamendmentfan said: I'm not sure why you're busting his ballz, even if you're joking. I highly doubt his news director is all that concerned about the sparsely populated hills of norheast Connecticut and whether they get an inch more of snow than forecast. It's rural, working class, and I doubt any of the Hartford/New haven tv stations sell spots there or any business there can afford to. Demographics is Destiny, which also explains why the tv business cares a lot more about an upper class woman from west Hartford who's 40 than a 65 year old male retiree from montville on a fixed income. Expand Awful post. About as bad as they come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 11:10 PM, CTValleySnowMan said: Seems like it started as mainly snow in the NW Hills of CT with temps around 33-34 at 1K. Expand Where'd you see that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 10:29 PM, JC-CT said: Moosup CT represents about 0.1% of the Connecticut population, and about 10% of the PNS reports. Expand They know quality reporting when they see it, helps being friends with Eleanor and Joe D, also been doing it for 40 yeara Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 2-4” here seems likely. Hoping to hit the high end of that. I really don’t want to have a school delay though...conflicted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 And what the heck planet do middle age men talk about D cell batteries in shirt pockets? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 11:16 PM, Ginx snewx said: They know quality reporting when they see it, helps being friends with Eleanor and Joe D, also been doing it for 40 yeara Expand for 40 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 11:17 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: And what the heck planet do middle age men talk about D cell batteries in shirt pockets? Expand It is funny thinking that Kev is middle age now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 11:18 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: for 40 years Expand Weenie since age 4 ,seriously. I drove my Dad and Mom nutz asking them to tell me weather stories of hurricanes and tornados. They bought me a barometer at age 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 10:44 PM, 25thamendmentfan said: I'm not sure why you're busting his ballz, even if you're joking. I highly doubt his news director is all that concerned about the sparsely populated hills of norheast Connecticut and whether they get an inch more of snow than forecast. It's rural, working class, and I doubt any of the Hartford/New haven tv stations sell spots there or any business there can afford to. Demographics is Destiny, which also explains why the tv business cares a lot more about an upper class woman from west Hartford who's 40 than a 65 year old male retiree from montville on a fixed income. Expand What are you talking about? We cover the news and weather wherever it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 11:04 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Hope so man. What you think for amounts? Expand You might get the 6 pack of Trillium that fell out of the truck 4 to 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 11:21 PM, CT Rain said: What are you talking about? We cover the news and weather wherever it happens. Expand Sorry you had to see this B.S.. carry on We know you man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 Not expecting much here. Hopefully that pans out... don’t need a disaster commute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 11:15 PM, CT Rain said: Where'd you see that? Expand Looking on mesonet. Probably not as reliable as ground reports. Radar precip type also showing snow in that area but I guess that is somewhat speculation. What are you hearing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 HRRR is ramping up for RI and E MA too now...flips them over pretty quick and just mauls them for about 3 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 11:24 PM, CTValleySnowMan said: Looking on mesonet. Probably not as reliable as ground reports. Radar precip type also showing snow in that area but I guess that is somewhat speculation. What are you hearing? Expand Looks like rain to me up there now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 11:26 PM, ORH_wxman said: HRRR is ramping up for RI and E MA too now...flips them over pretty quick and just mauls them for about 3 hours. Expand Soundings for snow growth are pretty damn good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2018 Author Share Posted February 1, 2018 It started as sleet here and now all rain . Temp is down 34 I think if we want those 6+ to verify we need a flip by 9-10:00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 11:30 PM, Damage In Tolland said: It started as sleet here and now all rain . Temp is down 34 I think if we want those 6+ to verify we need a flip by 9-10:00 Expand Doubt 6+ verifies. But I think 3-4" has a good chance. HRRR doesn't even flip you until 1am. If you flip at 9pm then yeah, you'll get 5-6". But a flip a bit after midnight would still be totally consistent with 3-4 inch amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 11:35 PM, ORH_wxman said: Doubt 6+ verifies. But I think 3-4" has a good chance. HRRR doesn't even flip you until 1am. If you flip at 9pm then yeah, you'll get 5-6". But a flip a bit after midnight would still be totally consistent with 3-4 inch amounts. Expand This stuff can pile up with better ratios every minute as omega increases and the column cools. Any 60 minute slowing of forecasted progression can lead to a six packer for Kev Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2018 Author Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 11:35 PM, ORH_wxman said: Doubt 6+ verifies. But I think 3-4" has a good chance. HRRR doesn't even flip you until 1am. If you flip at 9pm then yeah, you'll get 5-6". But a flip a bit after midnight would still be totally consistent with 3-4 inch amounts. Expand When do you think we flip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 11:26 PM, CT Rain said: Looks like rain to me up there now. Expand Are most of the Weather Underground stations automatically programmed to report snow at certain temps? I noticed a decent pocket of them all 33-34 degrees near Warren, Bantam, West Cornwall, Litchfield etc,. and they are all reporting snow but I am unsure how those stations report conditions? 1(1).css Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2018 Author Share Posted February 1, 2018 Look at that bright banding SW of HFD. Question .. can that heavier precip help overcome these mild 925 temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 Light rain here, temps dropping down to 37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 11:01 PM, Damage In Tolland said: HRRR has this a 31-32 paster until 5:00 AM here.with 5-6+. Please let that verify Expand This is the perfect set-up for your hill-top paster. Temps in the mid-30s to start, wet bulb down to 32F above 700ft and then sit there for a while until the arctic boundary moves through and really drops the temps at the tail end. Looking at even current obs now, this will have quite a elevation difference IMO even with just a few hundred feet of elevation change. Wunderground shows 34-36F in Tolland, coldest reading in eastern half of CT is 33F at Union. Get some steady precip in there and watch that drop a couple degrees then level off for a while. Should be wet-bulbing as we speak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 11:50 PM, powderfreak said: This is the perfect set-up for your hill-top paster. Temps in the mid-30s to start, wet bulb down to 32F above 700ft and then sit there for a while until the arctic boundary moves through and really drops the temps at the tail end. Looking at even current obs now, this will have quite a elevation difference IMO even with just a few hundred feet of elevation change. Wunderground shows 34-36F in Tolland, coldest reading in eastern half of CT is 33F at Union. Get some steady precip in there and watch that drop a couple degrees then level off for a while. Should be wet-bulbing as we speak. Expand Jesus keep your clothes on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2018 Author Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 11:50 PM, powderfreak said: This is the perfect set-up for your hill-top paster. Temps in the mid-30s to start, wet bulb down to 32F above 700ft and then sit there for a while until the arctic boundary moves through and really drops the temps at the tail end. Looking at even current obs now, this will have quite a elevation difference IMO even with just a few hundred feet of elevation change. Wunderground shows 34-36F in Tolland, coldest reading in eastern half of CT is 33F at Union. Get some steady precip in there and watch that drop a couple degrees then level off for a while. Should be wet-bulbing as we speak. Expand I’m down to 33.5. But it seems like 925 is torched no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 11:52 PM, CoastalWx said: Jesus keep your clothes on. Expand Wish we were there. These are fun events to mico-analyze when you are talking only 500 feet of elevation difference could mean 5" at 32F vs. 2" at 34F. Everyone on here knows I get a hard on for mesoscale elevation stuff, ha ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 On 2/1/2018 at 11:56 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I’m down to 33.5. But it seems like 925 is torched no? Expand surface to ~900 mb is prob somewhere between 0.5 c to 1.5 c .. gonna take some time to dynamically cool this layer but Id say its encouraging that you are already under 34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
25thamendmentfan Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 ginxie, Why should I apologize? You're the one posting on the internet saying he's putting out failed forecasts. You should be happy he posts on this site. He doesn't have to, or need to. He has plenty of weather watchers on social media. If I were a newly minted chief meteorologist in a top 30 market and I had some guy saying I was failing in my forecasts I certainly wouldn't be happy about it even if you are a valued, albeit needy, overly sensitive weather watcher. Why are you accusing me of bigotry? I know you love your backyard, but the news directors at the providence/Hartford/New haven tv stations could care less about your backyard when 90% of the dma lives an hour away from you. It's simply one of the realities of commercial television, just like in the New York city tv market news directors don't care about the upper reaches of Rockland or dutchess counties when millions live in the 5 boros and Bergen/Westchester/Fairfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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