Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 As we enter a very snowy next 2 -3 weeks before it breaks.. we have our next event quickly coming on the heels of today’s over achiever. Initially models really blew this analfront up into a bigger deal. UKIE drops a solid 3-6”, but most guidance is a bit less than that. This one may start as a mix or rain in spots before flipping to snow. It appears that the hill towns may do better than lowlands/ coast, but those deets TBD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 Hopefully sunny on Friday afternoon for ski club. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Just 2 weeks of winter left, enjoy the nickles folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Nam is on your side lollie over the Mastiff 6 plus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 2:43 AM, Ginx snewx said: Nam is on your side lollie over the Mastiff 6 plus Expand Yeah that would be a sweet solution. But it's the NAM unfortunately. The thing we want to see is a more defined wave along the front...that will def help throw back a bit more moisture on the cold side. 00z NAM sort of does this. So did the 12z ukie today. Those are the types of solutions we want to see if we are going to try and pull solid advisory or better. The solutions like the euro and GFS are flatter and more rounded with the trough and it's not able to generate as much lift to the left of the front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Will, the NAM was much more robust at 00z tonight and so was the SREFs, I think this could trend towards a low end warning event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Can we still flash it friday morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 3:07 AM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Will, the NAM was much more robust at 00z tonight and so was the SREFs, I think this could trend towards a low end warning event. Expand Hey, keep the good times rolling there. 1 in a row, make it 2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 I'd go conservative for now. http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/01/active-pattern-heralds-in-february.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 3:08 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Hey, keep the good times rolling there. 1 in a row, make it 2? Expand James has the hot hand, have to go with the hot hand. The Nam is great for me, so won't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Theres a sneaky little tail end of trough shortwave feature Wed night ORH county and NE Mass might pick up a surprise 1 to 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 I think John shined in that last event, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 3:25 AM, Ginx snewx said: Theres a sneaky little tail end of trough shortwave feature Wed night ORH county and NE Mass might pick up a surprise 1 to 3 Expand The EURO actually put down like an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 3:26 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think John shined in that last event, too. Expand Let me say this and you know it's true Scott Messenger would have been all over that. Classic RUC nowcast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 3:27 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: The EURO actually put down like an inch. Expand Yea that's an interesting confluence, type of fat flake stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 RGEM actually has 2 to 4 from Pete Berks across ORH County SNH NE Mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 RGEM blows down here, congrats Met Dominic a nica a nic in SNH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 GFS meh 2 for the Mastiff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 3:56 AM, Ginx snewx said: GFS meh 2 for the Mastiff Expand GFS should get your attention for the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 4:04 AM, JC-CT said: GFS should get your attention for the next one. Expand That’s going way inland. There is no high over Quebec at all either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Super Bowl rainstorm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 4:15 AM, CT Rain said: Super Bowl rainstorm! Expand Maybe paste job up this way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 4:15 AM, CT Rain said: Super Bowl rainstorm! Expand Any snow we get before mid month is gravy, anyway in my eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 4:07 AM, SnowGoose69 said: That’s going way inland. There is no high over Quebec at all either Expand I'm only happy when it rains...on the patriots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 I wouldn't go more than 1-2" for Thursday night right now. It's pretty ugly. The little disturbance Ginxy mentioned late tonight could actually drop an inch or two north of the pile if it pans out. Not agreement on all guidance how much qpf falls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Yeah srn VT and NH may get some light snows tomorrow ahead of the WAA. Otherwise does not look terrible exciting. Maybe 1-2 like Will said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 12:07 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah srn VT and NH may get some light snows tomorrow ahead of the WAA. Otherwise does not look terrible exciting. Maybe 1-2 like Will said. Expand So, no flash freeze ey? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 12:22 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: So, no flash freeze ey? Expand No Santa Claus either This flash freeze thing is like a -NAO after 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 12:22 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: So, no flash freeze ey? Expand Might not be. It doesn't look like arctic air immediately moves in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Although the NAM would be yes on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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