February is upon us - pattern change is in order

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 2/19/2018 at 11:52 PM, ORH_wxman said:

That is not a particularly cold look. You have low pressure coming up the Ohio valley and a high over the Flemish cap. We want that high more over Quebec or at the very least northeast of Maine to be a colder look. The setup shown is about to produce mild southwest flow at the surface once that low moves a little further northeast. 

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What’s your take on Fri- Monday?

[ORH_wxman]

  On 2/20/2018 at 12:29 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

What’s your take on Fri- Monday?

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Sunday night-Monday is more interesting to me than anything before that but I think even that one is better for NNE. 

Cant rule out that sneaky burst of snow on late Thursday. Friday night looks pretty tough for frozen. 

 

[HoarfrostHubb]

  On 2/20/2018 at 12:45 AM, ORH_wxman said:

Sunday night-Monday is more interesting to me than anything before that but I think even that one is better for NNE. 

Cant rule out that sneaky burst of snow on late Thursday. Friday night looks pretty tough for frozen. 

 

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DIT model bias translates that to widespread 2-4” for SNE away from the immediate coast

Harv is hinting at wet flakes possible.

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 2/20/2018 at 1:05 AM, HoarfrostHubb said:

DIT model bias translates that to widespread 2-4” for SNE away from the immediate coast

Harv is hinting at wet flakes possible.

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I stand by Fri is for NNE. That will trend way north 

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 2/20/2018 at 1:05 AM, HoarfrostHubb said:

DIT model bias translates that to widespread 2-4” for SNE away from the immediate coast

Harv is hinting at wet flakes possible.

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I stand by Fri is for far NNE. That will trend way north . Se ridge still in mega beast mode then 

[dryslot]

Looks strictly like a SNE event for thurs-friday as the cold front drops south, Sunday-Monday is SWFE' ish into CNE/NNE

[weathafella]

I’m driving my daughter to Geneva,NY Thursday picking her up Sunday.  Could be dicey driving both days.  She wanted to drive herself but I opted to chauffeur given the reasonable possibility for wintry wx.

[nzucker]

  On 2/19/2018 at 11:50 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Yes. That was the storm. 

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Jan 3, 2010...Burlington had its biggest snowfall ever with like 35"...drove through that afternoon and could not believe my eyes.

[CT Rain]

Well this could be interesting. Pretty mega blocking. 

[weatherwiz]

why do we always have to get blocking as we move into spring? Can't we just get an early spring and and early start to severe season?

[H2Otown_WX]

Tha looks like it could be congrats BWI. If that comes close to fruition hopefully the shortening wavelengths work in our favor.

[WinterWolf]

Lol the suppression whoas are starting to creep in...be careful what you wish for...

[TalcottWx]

  On 2/20/2018 at 2:28 AM, weatherwiz said:

why do we always have to get blocking as we move into spring? Can't we just get an early spring and and early start to severe season?

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Or in January 

[AfewUniversesBelowNormal]

  On 2/20/2018 at 2:21 AM, CT Rain said:

Well this could be interesting. Pretty mega blocking. 

 

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What an aesthetic image, The North Pacific ridge is very far Southwest. There is really no analog for this type of intensity/placement. 83-84 was pretty close with a +PNA but this is something special about this Winter, how far south big ridges have set up. It has to be a La Nina 

[ineedsnow]

Euro nam and gfs have some snow this week after the torch... Would be impressive for that to happen..

[Damage In Tolland]

As expected weekend trending far NNE..congrats Freak

[ORH_wxman]

  On 2/20/2018 at 11:12 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

As expected weekend trending far NNE..congrats Freak

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Really good CAD in Maine for that one. Tamarack in a good spot. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

GFS still likes SNE for an inch or two Thursday

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 2/20/2018 at 12:27 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Really good CAD in Maine for that one. Tamarack in a good spot. 

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Another warm rainy weekend for 85% of our forum 

[Cold Miser]

  On 2/20/2018 at 12:47 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Another warm rainy weekend for 85% of our forum 

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Excellent. It's been a good 12 hours or so since we've had a good February rainer.  
Looking forward to it.

[HoarfrostHubb]

  On 2/20/2018 at 12:53 PM, Cold Miser said:

Excellent. It's been a good 12 hours or so since we've had a good February rainer.  
Looking forward to it.

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We do rain well.  I wonder if any climo stations in SNE are AN for rain this season

[Ginx snewx]

  On 2/20/2018 at 11:12 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

As expected weekend trending far NNE..congrats Freak

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what about Thursday? 

[Baroclinic Zone]

  On 2/20/2018 at 2:49 AM, WinterWolf said:

Lol the suppression whoas are starting to creep in...be careful what you wish for...

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Good, let it be N or S of here.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

  On 2/20/2018 at 1:01 PM, HoarfrostHubb said:

We do rain well.  I wonder if any climo stations in SNE are AN for rain this season

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Bob must be getting close.

[Ginx snewx]

  On 2/20/2018 at 1:04 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Bob must be getting close.

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We are all above normal

[Baroclinic Zone]

  On 2/20/2018 at 1:01 PM, Ginx snewx said:

what about Thursday? 

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Looks MEH for 75% of SNE. W MA and W CT maybe advisory snows.

[Baroclinic Zone]

  On 2/20/2018 at 1:04 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Bob must be getting close.

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I'm above normal for snow.

[Ginx snewx]

  On 2/20/2018 at 1:01 PM, HoarfrostHubb said:

We do rain well.  I wonder if any climo stations in SNE are AN for rain this season

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all in

[Ginx snewx]

  On 2/20/2018 at 1:07 PM, Baroclinic Zone said:

Looks MEH for 75% of SNE. W MA and W CT maybe advisory snows.

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GFS is different but as we said something to watch, the PA snows of yesterday are creeping and crawling East.

[Ginx snewx]

Thursday night commute looks like there could be issues say Hartford North and most of Mass to ORH