February is upon us - pattern change is in order

[Damage In Tolland]

36 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That is not a particularly cold look. You have low pressure coming up the Ohio valley and a high over the Flemish cap. We want that high more over Quebec or at the very least northeast of Maine to be a colder look. The setup shown is about to produce mild southwest flow at the surface once that low moves a little further northeast. 

What’s your take on Fri- Monday?

[ORH_wxman]

12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

What’s your take on Fri- Monday?

Sunday night-Monday is more interesting to me than anything before that but I think even that one is better for NNE. 

Cant rule out that sneaky burst of snow on late Thursday. Friday night looks pretty tough for frozen. 

 

[HoarfrostHubb]

18 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Sunday night-Monday is more interesting to me than anything before that but I think even that one is better for NNE. 

Cant rule out that sneaky burst of snow on late Thursday. Friday night looks pretty tough for frozen. 

 

DIT model bias translates that to widespread 2-4” for SNE away from the immediate coast

Harv is hinting at wet flakes possible.

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

DIT model bias translates that to widespread 2-4” for SNE away from the immediate coast

Harv is hinting at wet flakes possible.

I stand by Fri is for NNE. That will trend way north 

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

DIT model bias translates that to widespread 2-4” for SNE away from the immediate coast

Harv is hinting at wet flakes possible.

I stand by Fri is for far NNE. That will trend way north . Se ridge still in mega beast mode then 

[dryslot]

Looks strictly like a SNE event for thurs-friday as the cold front drops south, Sunday-Monday is SWFE' ish into CNE/NNE

[weathafella]

I’m driving my daughter to Geneva,NY Thursday picking her up Sunday.  Could be dicey driving both days.  She wanted to drive herself but I opted to chauffeur given the reasonable possibility for wintry wx.

[nzucker]

2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yes. That was the storm. 

Jan 3, 2010...Burlington had its biggest snowfall ever with like 35"...drove through that afternoon and could not believe my eyes.

[CT Rain]

Well this could be interesting. Pretty mega blocking. 

[weatherwiz]

why do we always have to get blocking as we move into spring? Can't we just get an early spring and and early start to severe season?

[H2Otown_WX]

Tha looks like it could be congrats BWI. If that comes close to fruition hopefully the shortening wavelengths work in our favor.

[WinterWolf]

Lol the suppression whoas are starting to creep in...be careful what you wish for...

[TalcottWx]

3 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

why do we always have to get blocking as we move into spring? Can't we just get an early spring and and early start to severe season?

Or in January 

[AfewUniversesBelowNormal]

7 hours ago, CT Rain said:

Well this could be interesting. Pretty mega blocking. 

 

What an aesthetic image, The North Pacific ridge is very far Southwest. There is really no analog for this type of intensity/placement. 83-84 was pretty close with a +PNA but this is something special about this Winter, how far south big ridges have set up. It has to be a La Nina 

[ineedsnow]

Euro nam and gfs have some snow this week after the torch... Would be impressive for that to happen..

[Damage In Tolland]

As expected weekend trending far NNE..congrats Freak

[ORH_wxman]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

As expected weekend trending far NNE..congrats Freak

Really good CAD in Maine for that one. Tamarack in a good spot. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

GFS still likes SNE for an inch or two Thursday

[Damage In Tolland]

19 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Really good CAD in Maine for that one. Tamarack in a good spot. 

Another warm rainy weekend for 85% of our forum 

[Cold Miser]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Another warm rainy weekend for 85% of our forum 

Excellent. It's been a good 12 hours or so since we've had a good February rainer.  
Looking forward to it.

[HoarfrostHubb]

7 minutes ago, Cold Miser said:

Excellent. It's been a good 12 hours or so since we've had a good February rainer.  
Looking forward to it.

We do rain well.  I wonder if any climo stations in SNE are AN for rain this season

[Ginx snewx]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

As expected weekend trending far NNE..congrats Freak

what about Thursday? 

[Baroclinic Zone]

10 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

Lol the suppression whoas are starting to creep in...be careful what you wish for...

Good, let it be N or S of here.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

We do rain well.  I wonder if any climo stations in SNE are AN for rain this season

Bob must be getting close.

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Bob must be getting close.

We are all above normal

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

what about Thursday? 

Looks MEH for 75% of SNE. W MA and W CT maybe advisory snows.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Bob must be getting close.

I'm above normal for snow.

[Ginx snewx]

8 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

We do rain well.  I wonder if any climo stations in SNE are AN for rain this season

all in

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Looks MEH for 75% of SNE. W MA and W CT maybe advisory snows.

GFS is different but as we said something to watch, the PA snows of yesterday are creeping and crawling East.

[Ginx snewx]

Thursday night commute looks like there could be issues say Hartford North and most of Mass to ORH