February is upon us - pattern change is in order

[Baroclinic Zone]

  On 2/23/2018 at 5:04 PM, HoarfrostHubb said:

Loop the loop roller-coasters are kinda fun

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fyp

[weathafella]

GEFS mean is ominous 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Let's be honest, the GFS is a hot occluded mess.

[Ginx snewx]

  On 2/23/2018 at 4:48 PM, CoastalWx said:

Man the GFS is epic for the Maine mtns. Holy sh*t. Congrats Ginxy and his brokeback ski trip.

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Got that 2013 vibe heading into March. We will deal with a highly anomalous pattern, models will suck. Look at the animated DT PVU  pressure and wind and how that west wind abruptly turns east. Buckle up kids and for God's sake don't take anything the GFS puts out at the surface verbatim

[Hazey]

  On 2/23/2018 at 5:07 PM, Baroclinic Zone said:

Let's be honest, the GFS is a hot occluded mess.

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Bands of showers/snow showers and breezy for days and days...edge of your seat stuff

[CoastalWx]

5-10" qpf OF SHOWERS?

[CoastalWx]

Ensembles sure are tasty.

[Hazey]

  On 2/23/2018 at 5:34 PM, CoastalWx said:

5-10" qpf OF SHOWERS?

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Tropical

[WinterWolf]

  On 2/23/2018 at 5:34 PM, CoastalWx said:

Ensembles sure are tasty.

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Gotta go with those at this point obviously...good that they are tasty rather than not.

[dryslot]

[Typhoon Tip]

From what I'm seeing in this operational GFS cycle ... the thickness layout is getting mangled for cold air prior to the initial onset of the -NAO's effecting the circulation ... 

The mid levels have really ample mechanics for some fantastic slow moving Miller B'easts but ... the lax surface thicnkness gradients are normalizing the baroclinic zones too much for coherently focused surface lows...  This looks like a page out of any early April -NAO more so than March 1

[tamarack]

  On 2/23/2018 at 4:32 PM, dryslot said:

Not to many folks would care to much for that 12z GFS run, Quite torchy.

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Op runs have been that way for days - AN minima D1 thru D16 each time.

March 2010?

0.6" snow that month, with 28 days AN temps, month averaged 7.7° AN, milder than 2012.

[Sugarloaf1989]

[40/70 Benchmark]

Couldn't care less about Op.

[dryslot]

  On 2/23/2018 at 6:03 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Couldn't care less about Op.

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Nobody should, But if had snow we would have had 5 pages of post.

[tamarack]

  On 2/23/2018 at 4:51 PM, dryslot said:

In my younger years i would be tearing up the off trail back country with those totals.

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Probably fighting your way thru/around bent-over trees and broken limbs, after all that paste.

[dryslot]

  On 2/23/2018 at 6:07 PM, tamarack said:

Probably fighting your way thru/around bent-over trees and broken limbs, after all that paste.

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Pine trees that look like they were 5' tall then you realize that was the top of a 20'....................

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 2/23/2018 at 6:07 PM, dryslot said:

Nobody should, But if had snow we would have had 5 pages of post.

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Sure, but I wouldn't feel any differently.

Check ensembles at this range...NAO still there?

Yep.

Cool.

Couldn't care less about the OP.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Isotherm Tom, what do you think?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 2/23/2018 at 6:03 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Couldn't care less about Op.

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I am happy you are one of few who properly say that statement.

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 2/23/2018 at 6:13 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Isotherm Tom, what do you think?

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[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 2/23/2018 at 6:16 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I am happy you are one of few who properly say that statement.

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Yea, so many could care less.

We speak English properly.

We fluent.

[Hazey]

  On 2/23/2018 at 6:16 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I am happy you are one of few who properly say that statement.

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I could care less how he says it...LOL

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 2/23/2018 at 6:18 PM, Hazey said:

I could care less how he says it...LOL

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[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 2/23/2018 at 6:18 PM, Hazey said:

I could care less how he says it...LOL

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You care TOO much about it then. 

AND...nobody should care about gfs op solutions. Stick to eps until further notice.

[Hazey]

  On 2/23/2018 at 6:22 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

You care TOO much about it then. 

AND...nobody should care about gfs op solutions. Stick to eps until further notice.

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 thanks skippy. Will do

[mreaves]

  On 2/23/2018 at 6:17 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, so many could care less.

We speak English properly.

We fluent.

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I'm fluent but not affluent 

[CTWeatherFreak]

  On 2/23/2018 at 6:35 PM, mreaves said:

I'm fluent but not affluent 

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And the Euro op looks difluent

[SnowHole413]

  On 2/23/2018 at 6:50 PM, CTWeatherFreak said:

And the Euro op looks difluent

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swatted

[Hoth]

Euro op suppresses verbatim, but still blows up a nice ocean storm. Let's see what the ensembles say...