RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 On 2/22/2018 at 7:21 PM, dendrite said: It's not locked in until Ginxy says so. Expand Or until DIT says it will trend south because of the block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 On 2/22/2018 at 7:21 PM, dendrite said: It's not locked in until Ginxy says so. Expand There is a lot of warm air around the EMA coast, I would be very worried south of you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 Congrats BWI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 On 2/22/2018 at 7:24 PM, Ginx snewx said: There is a lot of warm air around the EMA coast, I would be very worried south of you Expand I fully expect a 70kt LLJ poking its nose into S NH while I'm inversioned with 10mph sleet and metfan is 1/4SM +SN for hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 On 2/22/2018 at 7:24 PM, dryslot said: Congrats BWI. Expand On 2/22/2018 at 7:32 PM, dendrite said: I fully expect a 70kt LLJ poking its nose into S NH while I'm inversioned with 10mph sleet and metfan is 1/4SM +SN for hours. Expand I joke , day 9 fantasy snows are the best though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 It just serves to underscore the point that there is major potential and any and all options are on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 On 2/22/2018 at 7:33 PM, Ginx snewx said: I joke , day 9 fantasy snows are the best though Expand Probably will get bunned for this comment, But with that block in place, There is only so much room for this to come north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 22, 2018 Author Share Posted February 22, 2018 On 2/22/2018 at 7:35 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: It just serves to underscore the point that there is major potential and any and all options are on the table. Expand Nah, this ones for SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 Does this run have any icing in SNE this weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 On 2/22/2018 at 7:36 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Nah, this ones for SE MA. Finally! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 On 2/22/2018 at 7:36 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Nah, this ones for SE MA. Expand Of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 EPS says "wut" to Kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 you know the GGEM wasn't terribly far from that ... It's gotta deep anomaly parked in a similar spot.. just happens to be off enough with timing to spare the coherent surface bomb... both solution are pinned in position underneath their respective impressions on the west based NAO at the time.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 PSU's source has half those 12 members with a deepish anomaly passing just under our latitude in that same time frame... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 EPS on board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreBomb Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 you guys need to check out the euro control run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 On 2/22/2018 at 7:48 PM, Ginx snewx said: EPS on board Expand No surprise. We watch. We track. We wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 I think it's coming....just my opinion. Whiff is plausible...one of them will get us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 Damn thats a sweet March EPS run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 On 2/22/2018 at 7:40 PM, CoastalWx said: EPS says "wut" to Kevin. Expand Could these be rainers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 what the hell does "control run' mean ? I mean.. purely scientific speculation, I assume it to be forcing stuff for research - but, that sounds like the Kevin model to me. "Hey, Bill - psst. Come here and check this out when I flip this Miocene Epoch heat wave variable to on..." I mean, of course the we control the models to do what we want them to do, right? Not sure what they would really be used for outside of a laboratory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 On 2/22/2018 at 8:36 PM, Typhoon Tip said: what the hell does "control run' mean ? I mean.. purely scientific speculation, I assume it to be forcing stuff for research - but, that sounds like the Kevin model to me. "Hey, Bill - psst. Come here and check this out when I flip this Miocene Epoch heat wave variable to on..." I mean, of course the we control the models to do what we want them to do, right? Not sure what they would really be used for outside of a laboratory. Expand pretty sure its just an uber weenie euro ensemble member Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 It's just an ens member. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreBomb Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 On 2/22/2018 at 8:36 PM, Typhoon Tip said: what the hell does "control run' mean ? Expand CONTROL - The member of the ensemble obtained from the best initial analysis (the Control is usually what is perturbed to produce the remaining members in the ensemble). http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ensembletraining/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 On 2/22/2018 at 8:36 PM, Typhoon Tip said: what the hell does "control run' mean ? I mean.. purely scientific speculation, I assume it to be forcing stuff for research - but, that sounds like the Kevin model to me. "Hey, Bill - psst. Come here and check this out when I flip this Miocene Epoch heat wave variable to on..." I mean, of course the we control the models to do what we want them to do, right? Not sure what they would really be used for outside of a laboratory. Expand A dumbed down version of the op by which the ensembles are based off of. When the op doesn’t satisfy it becomes a weenie crutch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 214hrs.. an eternity.. but this is all we have so bring it on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 For some............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 So where is this control run, how much snizzles for SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 On 2/22/2018 at 9:24 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: So where is this control run, how much snizzles for SNE? Expand https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/usa/m0_snow-depth-in/20180309-1200z.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 On 2/22/2018 at 9:34 PM, ineedsnow said: https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/usa/m0_snow-depth-in/20180309-1200z.html Expand Meh and Boston gets shafted. We toss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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