Jump to content
RIP JBurns ×

  • Member Statistics

    18,112
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    happyclam13
    Newest Member
    happyclam13
    Joined

February is upon us - pattern change is in order

Baroclinic Zone

By Baroclinic Zone,
in New England

Recommended Posts

Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

Posted
Posted

Been waiting for Euro to start correcting it's ridge signal next week, and I thought we were seeing that begin on the 00z?    This runs seems to have gone back to the previous appeal with that... Yikes. 

+14.5 at 850 mb is the warmest yet!   It's also a day longer to collapse the pattern than the 00z ...about mid way between it and the previous amount of duration from the run 24 hours ago. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
  • Replies 4k
  • Created
  • Last Reply
Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

Posted
Posted

welp.. .I had my doubts, and heh, still do  ... but, if it comes to fruition, can't say I mind.

I sort of start checking out after the perennial solar nadir ends on February 10 anyway ... Slow at first, and if the season's magnificent, yeah, I'll put it away and celebrate in hypocrisy with y'all...  But my own variation on unrealistic dreams are already visualizing the warm season.  

Too bad the clocks aren't already moved ahead ... then we might actually enjoy that after work.  

This Euro run?  It's spring man. Not sure that's even arguable beyond the expectation that no model really does that well that far out. But it terms the warm up with more SE ridging and no west based-NAO ...  That'll even start greening open fields 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
EastonSN+

EastonSN+

Posted
Posted
  On 2/15/2018 at 7:21 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

welp.. .I had my doubts, and heh, still do  ... but, if it comes to fruition, can't say I mind.

I sort of start checking out after the perennial solar nadir ends on February 10 anyway ... Slow at first, and if the season's magnificent, yeah, I'll put it away and celebrate in hypocrisy with y'all...  But my own variation on unrealistic dreams are already visualizing the warm season.  

Too bad the clocks aren't already moved ahead ... then we might actually enjoy that after work.  

This Euro run?  It's spring man. Not sure that's even arguable beyond the expectation that no model really does that well that far out. But it terms the warm up with more SE ridging and no west based-NAO ...  That'll even start greening open fields 

Expand  

So the EPS does not migrate the block west at all?

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

Posted
Posted
  On 2/15/2018 at 8:38 PM, Ginx snewx said:

but THAT Euro run has a couple of very warm days then a transition back to seasonable with a snow threat on the 23rd 24th

Expand  

I don't think seasonality is a fair and objective observation of that synoptic appeal in that time frame, Steve. It has the SE ridge in tact and lots of warmish 850 mb temps near by - which is spring-like.

That's the point.  And snow in the spring?  I think we can  both agree that's common around here. 

I think what's going to happen here over the next couple weeks is a lot of denial, and those objective observers that bring doses of reality ...spark vitriol from those steeped in it. 

If the model runs changes appreciably away from that look in future cycles, we can re-engage wintry appeals if/when necessary, but THAT run is spring-like.  There was no other point made -

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Hazey

Hazey

Posted
Posted
  On 2/15/2018 at 9:38 PM, tamarack said:
Surprised it was that winter, as New England generally had AN snowfall and BN temps, and most of NNE had much above snow - top snow winter on record for both BTV and PWM.

It wasn't...lol. I looked a bit more and I was wrong on the year. The correct info was in a tweet that has long since been buried. I know it was in the 70's but not sure exactly what year.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Go to topic listing

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...