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February is upon us - pattern change is in order

Baroclinic Zone

By Baroclinic Zone,
in New England

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted
  On 2/12/2018 at 7:45 PM, ORH_wxman said:

There was a big snow to ice event in the interior on Mar 13-14...it dumped a crap ton of snow in NH and ME....Tamarack loves to talk about that one because I think it was his peak snow depth. Frigid airmass leading into it.

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  On 2/12/2018 at 7:54 PM, CoastalWx said:

Reminds me a bit of what happened on the south shore prior to flipping to all snow in 97.

 

METAR KNZW 292000Z 04024G34KT 1/2SM -TSSNPL FG OVC003 01/00 A2907 RMK TB S MOVG N /CNL LGTIC SLP845 T00060000

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wasn't living here then but  N Foster COOP had 17, must have been meat because 9 remained on the ground 4-2

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Angus

Angus

Posted
Posted
  On 2/12/2018 at 7:45 PM, ORH_wxman said:

There was a big snow to ice event in the interior on Mar 13-14...it dumped a crap ton of snow in NH and ME....Tamarack loves to talk about that one because I think it was his peak snow depth. Frigid airmass leading into it.

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Only day that classes were cancelled in four winters in C. Maine. Spring skiing at Sugarloaf was epic.

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40/70 Benchmark

40/70 Benchmark

Posted
Posted
  On 2/12/2018 at 8:07 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

somewhere in Uganda, Ray is high fiving a mango tree that he was right. 

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Nah...because of one opportune ensemble suite amidst a sea of discontinuity? That would be hypocritical.

I'll let the dust settle...fly out at 1022.

Probably be blogging from 10k above the Atlantic tonight

 

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted
  On 2/12/2018 at 8:09 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Nah...because of one opportune ensemble suite amidst a sea of discontinuity? That would be hypocritical.

I'll let the dust settle...fly out at 1022.

Probably be blogging from 10k above the Atlantic tonight

 

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Do me a favor. Eat some Mexican tonight at the airport. Fart your way over the Nat Tracks and let the Brewer-Dobson circulation take the methane into the N pole. That will kick start the SSW. 

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted
  On 2/12/2018 at 8:09 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Nah...because of one opportune ensemble suite amidst a sea of discontinuity? That would be hypocritical.

I'll let the dust settle...fly out at 1022.

Probably be blogging from 10k above the Atlantic tonight

 

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Which part of Uganda are you going to? I am sure you have read all the travel precautions

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

Posted
Posted

Careful there, though... 

You can drive a west-based -NAO over top of a SE ridge .. The ridge only appears gone but in reality it is merely suppressed .. which is bad.  That's a large scale interference pattern (negative) and has so much velocity the torque budget has nothing left for S/W that end lost in the maelstrom..  

The SE ridge isnt' really dependent on the NAO phases... The two can coexist.  

What you really want is a relaxed flow/-NAO west based...and I'd even qualify that further by suggesting that -NAO not be deeply negative either.  

Buuut, we're also talking idealized states... I guess if you got a long way to go, the best start is any pathway that doesn't include 80 F in Febr  - agreed... heh

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted
  On 2/12/2018 at 8:50 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

Careful there, though... 

You can drive a west-based -NAO over top of a SE ridge .. The ridge only appears gone but in reality it is merely suppressed .. which is bad.  That's a large scale interference pattern (negative) and has so much velocity the torque budget has nothing left for S/W that end lost in the maelstrom..  

The SE ridge isnt' really dependent on the NAO phases... The two can coexist.  

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Well instead of something cutting into Montreal, you help force something weak under SNE. However, I think the general pattern is to have less of a SE ridge anyways, independent of the NAO state as we head later this month and into March.

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weathafella

weathafella

Posted
Posted
  On 2/12/2018 at 8:09 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Nah...because of one opportune ensemble suite amidst a sea of discontinuity? That would be hypocritical.

I'll let the dust settle...fly out at 1022.

Probably be blogging from 10k above the Atlantic tonight

 

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Wait to 38,000.  Hold on tight for the ICTZ. Been there-shake rattle and roll!

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

Posted
Posted
  On 2/12/2018 at 8:53 PM, CoastalWx said:

Well instead of something cutting into Montreal, you help force something weak under SNE. However, I think the general pattern is to have less of a SE ridge anyways, independent of the NAO state as we head later this month and into March.

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yeah I added to that statement I made, which more than less echoed that idea...  

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HoarfrostHubb

HoarfrostHubb

Posted
Posted
  On 2/12/2018 at 8:09 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Nah...because of one opportune ensemble suite amidst a sea of discontinuity? That would be hypocritical.

I'll let the dust settle...fly out at 1022.

Probably be blogging from 10k above the Atlantic tonight

 

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Safe travels, bud.  The first leg of a huge journey

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