BuffaloWeather Posted February 28, 2018 Author Share Posted February 28, 2018 We don't do well with synoptic usually, but the last 2 years have featured quite a few decent storms, maybe this will add to it. A foot of 1:8 1:10 is something is extremely rare around here. Looking forward to it. Going to be some beautiful pictures if it comes to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Thanks much for the reply! I figured best to go to those who live in and know the climate to give me the best information. There's a good chance that you'll see every precipitation type from where you're coming from, to Webster, lol!Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 So I guess we tossed the 18z NAMSent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 I would lock in the icon too.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 5 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: So I guess we tossed the 18z NAM Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk The NAM looked like it had a liquid lunch today, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Channel 9 is forecasting 5-10 for the Syracuse area and 10-14 for higher elevations north and south of the lake plain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 28, 2018 Author Share Posted February 28, 2018 9 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Matches this model. Syrmax must be happy, no snow for Boston after 8 days of tracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 28, 2018 Author Share Posted February 28, 2018 Highest elevations of Dacks and Catskills have 30" potential IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 NAM more or less tossed. It missed the decaying remnant low somehow and transferred way off shore in one swoop. None of the others see that. I’ll be checking discos to see what the pros say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 3 hours ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: A little bump up.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 28, 2018 Author Share Posted February 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: NAM more or less tossed. It missed the decaying remnant low somehow and transferred way off shore in one swoop. None of the others see that. I’ll be checking discos to see what the pros say. It's a terrible model. From 40" of snow to complete whiff in less than 24 hours. Euro is always king, very consistent with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 28, 2018 Author Share Posted February 28, 2018 UKIE went a little south as well, followed the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: UKIE went a little south as well, followed the Euro. That’s looks further south than the Euro to me, IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 While the euro has trended farther south it also has gotten colder, 0z had over 1/2” liquid followed by 12” snow and 12z a tenth inch liquid, 7” of snow, temps drop into the upper 20s.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: While the euro has trended farther south it also has gotten colder, 0z had over 1/2” liquid followed by 12” snow and 12z a tenth inch liquid, 7” of snow, temps drop into the upper 20s.. That doesn't even make sense, no? How can it get colder with less snowfall? There must have been a drop in precip amounts as well, correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 28, 2018 Author Share Posted February 28, 2018 When is the last paste bomb we had? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 28, 2018 Author Share Posted February 28, 2018 8+ 12+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 28, 2018 Author Share Posted February 28, 2018 1.5-2" of QPF in one synoptic event. The highest SWE I had in my snow after 50" in 10 days in December was about 2.5-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 I just looked more closely at today's 18Z NAM and its actually not all that bad. It still drops close to 3/4-1" Liq Equivalent, with all of it being in the form of snow as it much much colder at all levels. H700 is still ideal as well as the H850LP which all head straight East through SPA and off the Delmarva then bombs away and just sits and spins off the coast for 12hrs while it throws copious amounts moisture our way. IDK, maybe its just me but I wouldn't mind a solution like the 18Z NAM so I'm open to all sorte of solutions! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 28, 2018 Author Share Posted February 28, 2018 The highest rates will be falling at diurnal minimum as well. 7 PM to 7 AM will be highest snowfall rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Now alls we need is the thermal profiles of the NAM and the Precip output of the GGEM, EURO and UKMET and we'll all be ecstatic! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 28, 2018 Author Share Posted February 28, 2018 Gusts look to range from 25-35 mph at end of event which could cause quite a few trees to fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Lock it in So now we rooting for GooFuS? There is no God. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 Hijacked this from another board.. Hi Rez Canadian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 28, 2018 Author Share Posted February 28, 2018 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Hijacked this from another board.. Hi Rez Canadian That's what a record breaking -NAO does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxNoob Posted February 28, 2018 Share Posted February 28, 2018 I was just gonna post that, low just sits and spins off eastern LI. Big hit for ENY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Yea wx freak , if this is worst case scenario I’ll take it lol Just a nudge north would be sufficient.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 hour ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: There's a good chance that you'll see every precipitation type from where you're coming from, to Webster, lol! Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk I figured. It's going to be a fun ride...not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Matches this model. Syrmax must be happy, no snow for Boston after 8 days of tracking. From scanning posts I was pretty sure Euro and GEM dumped 6-12" area wide there with BWs imminent. So I don't get that map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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