Thinksnow18 Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 The 18z operational is definitely picking up on the cold you just spoke to and it is also just after the 10 day mark...it is the op after all but I think the changes that have been discussed may be just in time to give us one last run at real winter conditions again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 Always got the Canadian haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 Sooooooo...theres crickets on this site yet it strongly appears winter will be making quite the comeback after next weekend and leading into the beginning of March. There are increasing signals from the MJO, the indices, especially the NAO and the ensembles and their op runs. The goofus hasn't had a warm day on the op runs for 2 days now after the 27th of February and several chances for what could be significant storms around the great Lakes and ec. Is anyone still excited? Winter still has a full month left so I'm going to enjoy whatever we get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 16 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: And just a reminder of where we live, you can get big LES storms in April. Maximum Snowfall: Lk.Ontario 38" (Redfield), Lk. Erie 26" (Perrysburg) With 70 degree humid air sitting over the southern half of Lake Erie, I have to think most of the ice pack will be annihilated this week. If the sun somehow manages to come out again, which I know is asking a lot, the satellite imagery of the lake should be interesting. Probably looks like a giant slushy right about now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 1 minute ago, Thinksnow18 said: Sooooooo...theres crickets on this site yet it strongly appears winter will be making quite the comeback after next weekend and leading into the beginning of March. There are increasing signals from the MJO, the indices, especially the NAO and the ensembles and their op runs. The goofus hasn't had a warm day on the op runs for 2 days now after the 27th of February and several chances for what could be significant storms around the great Lakes and ec. Is anyone still excited? Winter still has a full month left so I'm going to enjoy whatever we get. If something legit pops up to track I'll be in. Until then, this is all just rumors and voodoo... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 Looks like the southern tier may have a good shot at some snow Thursday, 12z Euro has a thin strip of 5”-6” across the entire southern tier of ny.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 9 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Looks like the southern tier may have a good shot at some snow Thursday, 12z Euro has a thin strip of 5”-6” across the entire southern tier of ny.. Only to get washed away by another cutter over the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 KSyr broke daily record with a high of 68 so far, surprisingly only in the lower 50s in Fulton, better start warming up if we are to reach near 70 like projected.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 53 here in Brewerton, 10 miles away it’s 68 at KSYR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 Yup, as long as it’s cloudy and rainy we probably won’t warm to much more, maybe if we get some clearing later this afternoon.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 My temperature has actually fallen to 46. I think my proximity to Oneida Lake influences the temperature, especially at this time of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 Yeah, its definitely warm out there for this time of year but we may be saying the same thing in May when it should be 70 and its 25 and snowing because thats what can potentially happen this yr but I wouldn't bank on it, lol. There is however a potentially snowy period brewing the first and second week of March with a retrograding block into Greenland which finally drops the NAO below the positive side since JULY, which is absurd! We can be looking at a very snowy period but not too terribly cold, relatively speaking, but we'll see how things progress from here. It looks like a SSW did occur but it helped out the West and Europe which is the hardest part to forecast or predict with mid winter SSW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 Imagine if the Sun was out?? We would of easily made it into the mid 70's! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 6 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Imagine if the Sun was out?? We would of easily made it into the mid 70's! Not here - 47 right now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 yeah I know as Im locked in deep fog with frequent showers but just South into Syracuse, Ithaca, KBMG and KELM all approaching upper 60's low 70's! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 Was in Syracuse earlier was 67 back home now in Hannibal 52 with some fog. Hasn't been much higher than low 50's here all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 Dansville NY just hit 77F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 Can’t necessarily take the model verbatim but consistent with the cool down end of feb/beginning of March...Now we just needs some precipitation to go along with the cooler temps lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 21, 2018 Author Share Posted February 21, 2018 Just going to throw this out there as a possibliity. RGEM: GEM: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 21, 2018 Author Share Posted February 21, 2018 NAM and GFS are south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 Clear skies and 66 deg at BUF at 11pm on Feb 20. Unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 21, 2018 Author Share Posted February 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Clear skies and 66 deg at BUF at 11pm on Feb 20. Unreal. I think that is the high for the day? It really is crazy, but it feels incredible. I'm not sure how people enjoy the cold compared to the warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 Unfortunately Canadian Guidance all by itself..Euro has been and is still south, moderate event (3”-6”) for northern tier of PA and southern tier of NY.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 Warmth has finally arrived, 62 degrees at 3am.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 What a beautiful winter morning, temp is 62 clear skies sun is popping up and the birds are chirping away. Wish it would stay like this as I'm ready for spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 I woke up to a temperature of 60. I when I looked at the thermometer 15 minutes later it was 51. Now it’s 49. Has to be the influence of Oneida Lake, it’s still a big block of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 Yup, 3knam picked this up well albeit a little to cold imby.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 It also looks just like the euro has over the last 2 days with the snow on Thursday, u can pretty much kiss this one goodbye ..Damn Canadians lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 The wind just picked up from the southwest and my temperature jumped to 66! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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