LakeEffectKing Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 2 more inches since 12:45....so 6" total since just before 6am. Still snowing moderately with this last band swinging through...might squeak out another inch. LES might add a little overnight, but I'm not overly impressed with the potential for N. Onondaga Co. This looks more like a cherry on top event for areas west of here tonight, then to the north of us tomorrow, as the winds veer rapidly tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 7, 2018 Author Share Posted February 7, 2018 Euro full out snowstorm. Erie county with over 1.2" of QPF all in form of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: Euro full out snowstorm. Erie county with over 1.2" of QPF all in form of snow. Watches by Friday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Check out this loop from our lovely new GOES 16...you can see "through" the cirrus, to see the old LES band over L. Ontario from last night, beginning to move south... (and getting shredded!) http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=local-LakeOntario-truecolor-24-1-100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Last little batch of energy swinging thru here now, giving a nice burst to close out the event in WNY. Just eyeballing, looks like a storm total of 4-5" in Lancaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 5 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Euro full out snowstorm. Erie county with over 1.2" of QPF all in form of snow. That started at 7 this morning so subtract what fell today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 6 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: That started at 7 this morning so subtract what fell today. Roc ended up with 4” (my back yard). It’s relatively dense. Probably 1/3” LEquivalent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 30 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Roc ended up with 4” (my back yard). It’s relatively dense. Probably 1/3” LEquivalent So still almost 1" liquid or about 15" with temps in the 20's...nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 I believe based on multiple model output the NWS will issue a WSW tomorrow during this shift for a long duration event from Friday to Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 5.5" for Phoenix. These SWFE's rarely produce on the high end and so another example. Had a little sun out about 20 minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 I ended at 6.5" for a total synoptically so lets see if we get any gravy from LO tonight before the band lifts North tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Storm over...just measured...4.5". Seems low but i measured in front and back of house in the open. Almost half of what I expected and well under Warning criteria IMBY. I think Mt. Tolland had more than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 GFS has nothing compared to the UKMET and the EURO but I haven't seen the GGEM. The NAM doesn't have it either so IDK about WSW for tomorrow. I do know the TUG on top of yesterdays 14" and today's 10" and tomorrows foot+ and then another event this weekend. They will close out the week with close to 5ft! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Certainly things can change, but at this point I don't see the weekend event(s) being a snow bonanza for most of us. Long-lived event, sure, but appears weak/disorganized and temperature are borderline, above the DGZ in much of the sounding. The kinds of numbers people are talking about (12"+) seem pretty unlikely for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 So i did a liquid equivalent...0.58" melted and 4.5" snow. Thats a 7.8:1 ratio which seems amazingly low with temps in low 20s for storm. I measured right near the snow/rain gauge so that wouldn't be an issue and checked snowfall measurement out in my driveway well away from house. Been doing this for 15 years so I think I got it right. Thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 The airport measured 5.1inches on 0.54 LE so your measurements don’t seem to be out of line. It is surprising the ratio is so low for a storm in the lower 20s. Like I mentioned earlier this morning the snowflakes had an icy nature to them almost the same as just before a change to sleet. That may have contributed to the lousy ratios. BTW, my measurement to this point is only 4.9 inches. I’ll have an LE in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 7, 2018 Author Share Posted February 7, 2018 41 minutes ago, Syrmax said: So i did a liquid equivalent...0.58" melted and 4.5" snow. Thats a 7.8:1 ratio which seems amazingly low with temps in low 20s for storm. I measured right near the snow/rain gauge so that wouldn't be an issue and checked snowfall measurement out in my driveway well away from house. Been doing this for 15 years so I think I got it right. Thoughts? small flakes don't accumulate well. Big fluff bombs falling right now and accumulate so much faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 23 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: The airport measured 5.1inches on 0.54 LE so your measurements don’t seem to be out of line. It is surprising the ratio is so low for a storm in the lower 20s. Like I mentioned earlier this morning the snowflakes had an icy nature to them almost the same as just before a change to sleet. That may have contributed to the lousy ratios. BTW, my measurement to this point is only 4.9 inches. I’ll have an LE in the morning. Thanks, i was snowblowing and didn't have time to think about it yet. Kudos to TY, Freak, who flagged the non optimal alignment of DGZ and best Omega, or upward vertical velocities. That played a huge role I suspect in have crap ratios. Usually, you'd think with about 0.6" LE and our usual ratios, we would be a lock for 8-9"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 LES incoming on a NW alignment. Lets see where this takes us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 So looking at 18z snow accumulations at 10:1 ratios it is spitting out 9" at KBUF from Friday to Sunday...how is that not a lot as some are alluding to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 19 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: So looking at 18z snow accumulations at 10:1 ratios it is spitting out 9" at KBUF from Friday to Sunday...how is that not a lot as some are alluding to? Seems respectable to me. With higher ratios likely, it’s a foot maybe. Over 2 days +. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 31 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: LES incoming on a NW alignment. Lets see where this takes us! Hopefully this produces for us. We have a lot of unfinished business with this event... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 We'll see as the flakes are already rivaling anything that fell over the course of today. Been snowing now for 20 minutes and there's 1/2" already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 9 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: We'll see as the flakes are already rivaling anything that fell over the course of today. Been snowing now for 20 minutes and there's 1/2" already Would you say this is legitimate Fake Snow or some sort of hybrid of Lake Enhanced? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 9 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Would you say this is legitimate Fake Snow or some sort of hybrid of Lake Enhanced? Semi-fake? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 I'd say its more LE than true LES, IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 Yeah, semi-fake will wrk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 Looks like GB is just about frozen over except the bottom 1/3rd so a connection to GB may not suffice anymore but Huron is still 60% open for business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 8, 2018 Share Posted February 8, 2018 Latest KBGM PNS...Broadcast media report...10.0”...#fakenews ? ;) Onondaga County... Skaneateles 10.0 505 PM 2/07 Broadcast Media Syracuse Hancock arp 5.1 501 PM 2/07 ASOSu 1 SE Taunton 5.1 534 PM 2/07 Trained Spotter Clay 4.5 522 PM 2/07 Trained Spotter 2 E Syracuse 4.1 210 PM 2/07 Public Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 8, 2018 Author Share Posted February 8, 2018 That last band dropped a 1/2” good for 4” for event total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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