Syrmax Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 On 2/21/2018 at 2:00 PM, CNY_WX said: The wind just picked up from the southwest and my temperature jumped to 66! Expand 70 downtown SYR. Perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 Nam 12k posting massive numbers over N PA over next 3 days. Weird. Keep your peepers open. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 Rain and temp down to 50, got to 68 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 On 2/21/2018 at 3:29 PM, rochesterdave said: Nam 12k posting massive numbers over N PA over next 3 days. Weird. Keep your peepers open. Expand A lot of that probably mixed precip. Or ends up that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 On 2/21/2018 at 4:17 PM, Syrmax said: A lot of that probably mixed precip. Or ends up that way. Expand Yup, thermal profiles look sketchy at best and then the whole area torches 24 hours later. Bring on March already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 Still looking very interesting the first week of March...heck 12z GFS has 11" for KBUF inside 240 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 21, 2018 Share Posted February 21, 2018 Teleconnections trending in the right direction into the March time frame...will winter have enough time to produce?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 On 2/21/2018 at 8:21 PM, vortmax said: Teleconnections trending in the right direction into the March time frame...will winter have enough time to produce?? Expand 12Z GFS among the worst 384 hr runs I've seen. 00Z a little better but mostly gruesome. A couple chances but a lot of central/western lakes cutters. We'll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 I’m not concerned. This warmup came at an opportune time. Had it been a week or two later, the winter rally woulda been tough. But as we stand, at least 4 good opportunities. Keep me posted. I want a big one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 Personally not to concerned over the Gfs, we all know it sucks lol Take a look at the 6z, plenty of cold in the LR starting around the beginning of March just like the majority of ensembles. Majority of Guidance has trouble more then a couple days out, no way they are going to predict systems7+ days out..I’ll worry about the cold first and precipitation 2nd lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 22, 2018 Author Share Posted February 22, 2018 Legit heavy snow in Hamburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 Yea, snowing pretty good here as well with a fresh coating, looks like it will be short lived, at least for here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 22, 2018 Share Posted February 22, 2018 On 2/22/2018 at 5:15 PM, wolfie09 said: Yea, snowing pretty good here as well with a fresh coating, looks like it will be short lived, at least for here.. Expand Just under an inch here...marginally more than expected or forecast. May be a while before we are measuring again, at least here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 23, 2018 Author Share Posted February 23, 2018 Legit event in ski country. NAM won http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=buf&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF 6" in Catt county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 Everyone ready for more rain lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 It’s retrograde season. Get ready! Could be fun. That big Greenland block is gonna throw a wrench in the works. A good wrench. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 I'm trying really hard to find something, anything on the global models in the next 2 weeks to signal a legit chance of a snow storm. But all I'm seeing is cutters, stale maritime air, and "rain showers transitioning to snow showers overnight, little or no accumulation expected. Low 34 degrees." But hey, we'll experience the most negative NAO ever, right? Can't wait for that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 On 2/23/2018 at 8:11 PM, Buffalo Bumble said: I'm trying really hard to find something, anything on the global models in the next 2 weeks to signal a legit chance of a snow storm. But all I'm seeing is cutters, stale maritime air, and "rain showers transitioning to snow showers overnight, little or no accumulation expected. Low 34 degrees." But hey, we'll experience the most negative NAO ever, right? Can't wait for that... Expand While there’s not a specific threat, I think the pattern suggests something should shake out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 Stick a fork in this horrific Winter season already, please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 24, 2018 Author Share Posted February 24, 2018 There will be 2-3 retrograding lows in the first 3 weeks of March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 Time to sit back without any expectations and see how this scenario plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 Euro has something brewing day 7 especially for cny.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 On 2/24/2018 at 7:39 AM, wolfie09 said: Euro has something brewing day 7 especially for cny.. Expand If only that could come just a little bit further west. It's been a few years since we've had a good March snowstorm in the Toronto region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 On 2/23/2018 at 8:11 PM, Buffalo Bumble said: I'm trying really hard to find something, anything on the global models in the next 2 weeks to signal a legit chance of a snow storm. But all I'm seeing is cutters, stale maritime air, and "rain showers transitioning to snow showers overnight, little or no accumulation expected. Low 34 degrees." But hey, we'll experience the most negative NAO ever, right? Can't wait for that... Expand This reminds me of what happened in 2009-2010. One of the most snow-free winters in Toronto's history, but a lot of cold and snow for areas that don't traditionally receive it, including western Europe and the mid-Atlantic US states. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 I love the set up. I see room for movement West. In my gut I feel this one. I truly feel a blockbuster coming. Climatologically, it’s Right On Time. Nailing down specifics is gonna be rough. It’s gonna have some warm air. I see someone getting Euro like totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 On 2/24/2018 at 3:43 AM, CNY_WX said: Time to sit back without any expectations and see how this scenario plays out. Expand With marginal cold around from here on out...Elevation snow for the hillbillies...flatlanders get a slushy inch or two during overnight periods when the strong late Feb sun isn't frying eggs on the sidewalk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 24, 2018 Share Posted February 24, 2018 On 2/24/2018 at 4:07 PM, Syrmax said: With marginal cold around from here on out...Elevation snow for the hillbillies...flatlanders get a slushy inch or two during overnight periods when the strong late Feb sun isn't frying eggs on the sidewalk. Expand That’s what Friday’s system looks like as per the GFS. Any accumulations appear to be elevation dependent with the Dacks and Tug possibly getting over a foot and us “flatlanders” getting next to nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 24, 2018 Author Share Posted February 24, 2018 On 2/24/2018 at 1:40 PM, Ottawa Blizzard said: If only that could come just a little bit further west. It's been a few years since we've had a good March snowstorm in the Toronto region. Expand You guys didn't get hit last March? 20-30" across WNY/Upstate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 24, 2018 Author Share Posted February 24, 2018 Yeah upcoming pattern is not as cold as I originally thought, definitely some chances though. I like south of Ontario and Eastern NY as best shot of something big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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