Revracer800 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 On 2/6/2018 at 9:27 PM, CNY_WX said: I just watched the channel 9 forecast on the 4 o’clock news and they’re still calling for 5-10. Expand They must have changed it again lol. Noon new's was 3-7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 NE forum must be foaming with KBOX basically buying the I-84 and NW line for Warnings and >5". Classic mix / changeover look to their map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 I feel a huge bust coming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 On 2/6/2018 at 10:13 PM, CNY-WXFREAK said: I feel a huge bust coming! Expand Where? Here? I think 5-8" looks reasonable and pretty likely area wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 My forecast is a bit higher at 7-11" and that's not happening unless some serious LE gets involved but I doubt it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 CNY Central (channels 5 & 9, Wayne Maher) calling for 6-10 over the entire area with a few lollipops of 8-14 over higher elevations up to 7 tomorrow night. Then they’re calling for an additional 2-4 overnight Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 On 2/6/2018 at 10:21 PM, CNY_WX said: CNY Central (channels 5 & 9, Wayne Maher) calling for 6-10 over the entire area with a few lollipops of 8-14 over higher elevations up to 7 tomorrow night. Then they’re calling for an additional 2-4 overnight Wednesday. Expand I saw them putting that same 2-4 or 2-5 out for Wed night...lake effect I guess? Cuz the synoptic system will be hauling ass outta here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 On 2/6/2018 at 10:21 PM, CNY_WX said: CNY Central (channels 5 & 9, Wayne Maher) calling for 6-10 over the entire area with a few lollipops of 8-14 over higher elevations up to 7 tomorrow night. Then they’re calling for an additional 2-4 overnight Wednesday. Expand That sounds better cause synoptically we'll be lucky to see 6", lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 Enjoy what u get as the Euro turns ugly in the med-long range, also the euro image that was posted includes 2 storms, 0.4”-0.5” region wide for this one, not that I necessarily believe global models qpf output.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 18z Gfs is 0.6”+ for Fulton, even more than the euro, not sure why people stressing over a medium-long range model in the short range lol Gfs always gets funky as we move closer...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 We have a good idea from the models what to expect so now it’s time to sit back and enjoy the show. As usual with a system of this nature if I get 6 inches I’ll be happy. Anything more will be gravy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 6, 2018 Share Posted February 6, 2018 On 2/6/2018 at 11:36 PM, CNY_WX said: We have a good idea from the models what to expect so now it’s time to sit back and enjoy the show. As usual with a system of this nature if I get 6 inches I’ll be happy. Anything more will be gravy! Expand Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Is this Lake Ontario band comiing south at all tonight? I'm feeling greedy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Not supposed to, Fulton has 30% pops for tonight, 3k nam sends this band back up north..Looks like it may be lightly snowing in Fulton via radar but out at Smokey’s right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Point and click now has sub warning amounts for all of Monroe. Dumped tomorrow’s 4-7 for an anemic 3-5. Not a good sign. Might they downgrade? I thought WSW was a bit nutty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 7, 2018 Author Share Posted February 7, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 On 2/7/2018 at 2:05 AM, BuffaloWeather said: Expand That looks impressive. Kutchera? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Looks overdone to me. I'm thinking 3-5" in my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 On 2/7/2018 at 2:09 AM, vortmax said: That looks impressive. Kutchera? Expand Looks reasonable considering ratios will be pretty good upstate. For KSYR, it's 6" at 10:1 so 10" seems doable... Edit: just noticed that's a 72 hr prog...must include thurs/Fri precip. Sigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 NE forum gonna Toss the 0Z NAM, that's for sure. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 0Z NAM LE's: KBGM 1.14" KALB 0.96" KSYR. 0.75" KROC 0.46 KBUF 0.41 Ratios all > 10:1 more than likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 7, 2018 Author Share Posted February 7, 2018 HRRR has the low in Alleghany county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 This band of LE to our North is bothering me to the point of exhaustion. How is this band not dropping South as winds veer in response to the strengthening storm system to our South? It continues to blast areas to the E-NE. It's mindboggling sometimes, seriously though.Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 On 2/7/2018 at 3:38 AM, BuffaloWeather said: HRRR has the low in Alleghany county. If thats right, Kbuf will be su ny by days end, lol??Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 On 2/7/2018 at 3:41 AM, CNY-LES FREAK said: If thats right, Kbuf will be su ny by days end, lol??Sent from my SM-G930V using TapatalkYeah, cause its in the process of popping a secondary over or just to the South of LI or else it would be rain in KBGM and the rest of CNY that's for sure.Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 That's also why most of the precip is displaced to the East as opposed to the NW of the System where most precip lies within a storm system.Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Storm system is originally coming out of the SW and so is the wind direction hence the band to the north.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 GFS is either on to something or its just off its bird as it once again drops totals. WNY will be lucky to do better than .3" and KSYR isn't to far ahead at .6" so I don't know what to think! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Every model has 0.5”-0.6 for ksyr region and has for days, so I’m not sure why this is a surprise..Gfs is actually wetter then the euro..Kbuf has always been 0.30-0.40”.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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