hawkeye_wx Posted February 19, 2018 Share Posted February 19, 2018 I'm not sure what temp we will reach tomorrow. The Euro has been predicting upper 50s to low 60s for a week, but most other models never jumped on board. If the warm front doesn't get up here, we could get stuck in the 40s. The locals and NWS have all dropped the high into the 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted February 19, 2018 Share Posted February 19, 2018 Winter storm watches for ice being hoisted for IA locations with a couple rounds expected in some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 19, 2018 Share Posted February 19, 2018 With the dense overcast we won't be able to see the northward progression of the bare ground via satellite today. We lost a good inch overnight, with around an inch or so left. I'm guessing areas south of I-80 are the same, or even less since they have been warmer. Latest HRRRx has MLI tagging 62, with 60-61 here. Once the winds veer a bit more southerly, or south-southwesterly we should see a good push northward with the thermal ridge. I'll ride the Euro/HRRRx and be optimistic we can snag a 60. BTW, the "regular" HRRR has a lol worthy impenetrable stationary wall where it was modeled to have the southern edge of the snow pack where temps are either in the 40s or the 60s either side of it. The models are forecasting another 60+ day for this area tomorrow as the next wave rides up the stalled frontal boundary. Some models have us in the low 60s, while out near Hawkeye it may be below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 19, 2018 Share Posted February 19, 2018 Still have a solid snowpack (few inches) around here that is slow to budge, and now it must be very dense with adding rain into it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 19, 2018 Share Posted February 19, 2018 A line of thunderstorms just moved through my area. Very heavy rain led to a quick 0.51". The ground is frozen, so lakes quickly formed in the yards. For the first time in years, there was a river of water flowing through my backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 19, 2018 Share Posted February 19, 2018 9 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: A line of thunderstorms just moved through my area. Very heavy rain led to a quick 0.51". The ground is frozen, so lakes quickly formed in the yards. For the first time in years, there was a river of water flowing through my backyard. My yard retains water easily. Can't imagine what it may look like in the next couple days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted February 19, 2018 Share Posted February 19, 2018 Now it's looking like this ice storm may be more of a nuisance event. The gradient for ice has seemed to move north enough that instead of a .25" it's now looking like a .01" or possibly even nothing.They even took away my Ice Storm Warning. Yet I'm still to far north to get the heavy rain that's expected by Milwaukee and UMBwx. . I was really hoping to have no school tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 19, 2018 Share Posted February 19, 2018 The week of euro runs showing the warm front lifting up through Cedar Rapids were wrong. The front is getting stuck just south, so we're maxing out around 44 while Iowa City is 56 and it jumps into the 60 as you head south and east of IC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 19, 2018 Share Posted February 19, 2018 3 hours ago, Hoosier said: Still have a solid snowpack (few inches) around here that is slow to budge, and now it must be very dense with adding rain into it. Same here. The rain outside is absolutely gross. I got soaked running to the store on lunch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 19, 2018 Share Posted February 19, 2018 Some seriously dense fog building in. Areas where you can barely see the stoplight when you are sitting at the stop line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 19, 2018 Share Posted February 19, 2018 Yup. The dense fog all day here is giving things quite the dark and depressing look. I hate days like these, any time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted February 19, 2018 Share Posted February 19, 2018 Sitting at a mild 56 here. HRRR has me at 43. No fog in sight either. Feels amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 19, 2018 Share Posted February 19, 2018 A beautiful 63 at MLI and 62 at DVN. 58 here with still some patches of snow left. The fog from earlier is history, and sky has a nice warm season look to it with some dark stratocumulus flying by overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted February 19, 2018 Share Posted February 19, 2018 Earlier this afternoon, two ragged V's of sandhill cranes zipped by heading north on the southerly flow. A good sign that spring is on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 19, 2018 Share Posted February 19, 2018 Had some fog here late last night into earlier this afternoon, but it quickly faded with the passage of the warm front. Temps jumped from the mid-40's to the mid-50's. Snow depth down to 0, with only piles, drifted areas and heavily shaded areas with snow remaining...much of which will likely be gone by tomorrow night with mild temps and heavy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osubrett2 Posted February 19, 2018 Share Posted February 19, 2018 73 in Cincinnati, 72 in Dayton, and 67-70 across Columbus’ airports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 19, 2018 Share Posted February 19, 2018 56°F on the dash, sun down. Heavy downpour just rolled in. Is it early May already? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 Crazy to see the 20 degree temperature gradient in about 55 miles, Selfridge AFB is at 38°F while Monroe is at 58°F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 Temps overperformed a bit today, tying the record high of 70. First 70-degree of the year. 640 SXUS71 KILN 200039 RERDAY RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 739 PM EST MON FEB 19 2018 ...RECORD HIGH MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE TIED AT DAYTON OH... THE HIGH TEMPERATURE AT COX DAYTON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REACHED 70 DEGREES TODAY AT 525 PM. THIS TIES THE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE FOR THE DATE SET IN 1939. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 Up to 58 now 58/54 to be exact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 About 30 miles north of the Warm Front here. Holland, on the southern end of my county is in the upper 50s, while up here it is 40 with several inches of snow remaining on the ground. Front seems to have stalled a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 As much as I despise everything about this warm rainstorm, I have to admit the steam wisping above the snow early this evening as temps soared into the mid-50s was pretty cool. It was ghostly & spooky. Snow putting up quite a fight too, its funny, other times we touch 50F and its just enough to wipe it out, we still had full snowcover with dewpoints in the mid-50s tonight lol. But its going for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 23 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: As much as I despise everything about this warm rainstorm, I have to admit the steam wisping above the snow early this evening as temps soared into the mid-50s was pretty cool. It was ghostly & spooky. Snow putting up quite a fight too, its funny, other times we touch 50F and its just enough to wipe it out, we still had full snowcover with dewpoints in the mid-50s tonight lol. But its going for sure. And that, my friend, is why I'd prefer some synoptic snowstorms moving in from the southwest. System snow puts up a MUCH better fight against thaws and late winter sunshine in comparison to high-ratio fluff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 27 minutes ago, blackrock said: And that, my friend, is why I'd prefer some synoptic snowstorms moving in from the southwest. System snow puts up a MUCH better fight against thaws and late winter sunshine in comparison to high-ratio fluff. True. I mean in this particular case we don't stand a chance with mid 60s tomorrow, but I see what you are saying. The ground was covered in snow most of winter. After snowcover was laid down in early Dec we got up to 10" depth in mid-Dec. This all disappeared for 3 days of bare ground before Christmas eve. Then we had more snow which peaked in depth at 8" after the record cold snap. This disappeared and we had a week of bare ground in mid-late Jan before the next round of snow took over, peaking at 14" depth. So while snow has been on the ground literally all but a week and a half since early Dec, this will be the 3rd major meltdown. I blame La Nina, but she's also at least partially responsible for us getting so much snow to begin with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 Being in the 50s for about 12 hours has obviously done a number on the snowpack, but still have some patches and piles outside my window. RIP snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 Was nice while it lasted. Cold front passed a few hours ago and knocked us back into the low 40s. Hit 58 here earlier, and DVN/MLI both tagged 63. Models have pushed the next wave a bit further east, so it looks like we won't get back into the warm sector tomorrow. Have picked up 0.50" so far for the event, which is the best rains we've seen since way back in mid October. Should tack on another half inch to an inch before she shuts down tomorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 As of 2:30am, my weather station is at 60 degrees. .4" of rain thusfar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 A tale of 2 (or arguably more) seasons Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 I doubled my rain total overnight and this morning, finishing with 1.12". The temp held just above freezing while the rain moved through, so we did not see any icing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman_ind Posted February 20, 2018 Share Posted February 20, 2018 Indy sets its all time February record high, with 77 degrees (as of ~2PM Feb 20)! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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