OSUmetstud Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: As expected, Reggie cut way back too. Now has 0.2" qpf or so from BOS to PVD. Where do u get the rgem that early? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 50 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: NAM looks like it's backing off the sauce. I think se of Boston and especially just back from the canal has a good shot of 3"+.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: As expected, Reggie cut way back too. Now has 0.2" qpf or so from BOS to PVD. I think that is realistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think se of Boston and especially just back from the canal has a good shot of 3"+.. 3 K NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 4 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Where do u get the rgem that early? The ugly black and white maps. https://weather.gc.ca/model_forecast/index_e.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 3 K NAM That model is showing a weenie band to the west over east-central CT into E-C MA. It's definitely like a secondary max. I think we will have to watch for such a band because despite the shifting around in guidance, the ML fronto sig has looked pretty good. It just depends where it ends up...but we will likely see it a bit west of the main qpf cutoff...assuming this thing doesn't get shredded so bad that it disappears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The ugly black and white maps. https://weather.gc.ca/model_forecast/index_e.html Was gonna say doesn't Nick work in Canada? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Was gonna say doesn't Nick work in Canada? I do. But I don't work for EC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Just now, OSUmetstud said: I do. But I don't work for EC. Just figured EC would be a go to up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Was gonna say doesn't Nick work in Canada? I feel like nobody uses those maps these days though...lol. So I wouldn't blame him for forgetting that site. It wasn't always this early either...I feel like it's been relatively recently that those come out this early. Used to have to wait until after 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That model is showing a weenie band to the west over east-central CT into E-C MA. It's definitely like a secondary max. I think we will have to watch for such a band because despite the shifting around in guidance, the ML fronto sig has looked pretty good. It just depends where it ends up...but we will likely see it a bit west of the main qpf cutoff...assuming this thing doesn't get shredded so bad that it disappears. Maybe another 3" pocket on the east slopes of ORH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Just figured EC would be a go to up there Rgem is a go to. We get the data on our own system and via wxbell etc. I just didn't know the black and white charts come out so early. I really don't like the regular EC site. I don't find it particularly useful for much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: As expected, Reggie cut way back too. Now has 0.2" qpf or so from BOS to PVD. Who's gonna pick up all the candy bars? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 29, 2018 Author Share Posted January 29, 2018 Trash system... and even worse... trash modeling. The cutbacks so far by the NAM and RGEM are laughably bad for this close in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Trash system... and even worse... trash modeling. The cutbacks so far by the NAM and RGEM are laughably bad for this close in The main difference was more QPF than anything else. There wasn’t a drastic difference at 500 on the NAM. At least the 12km from what I see. I can’t see 500 on the RGEM yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 11 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Trash system... and even worse... trash modeling. The cutbacks so far by the NAM and RGEM are laughably bad for this close in I'd be more interested in testing that observation. Nothing against you per se but ... we've been flirting with the western "edge" of this thing for days of runs in very tight gradient scenario. These shifts may not be that unual .., it's just that 50 mi means 8" or 1" and the constant seesawing of emotions for some. It gets frustrating. But if we were solidly inside a deep CCB with room to spare we probably don't give s rats ass if the western edge is Utica or Albany ... much less would even notice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 9 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Trash system... and even worse... trash modeling. The cutbacks so far by the NAM and RGEM are laughably bad for this close in Think 3 K has you 4.5 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Think 3 K has you 4.5 inches Yea, he could do pretty well...I like there points east to the canal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 we should be able to expect better in modeling in this day and age Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 I won't get much, but decent little event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Hires American stuff... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 57 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: As expected, Reggie cut way back too. Now has 0.2" qpf or so from BOS to PVD. Models suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Wasted time tracking this trash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Briz600 Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Wasted time tracking this trash. How do I block someone! I still think I have a good shot at 3 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Wasted time tracking this trash. Watch the GFS come way west this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 2 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: Watch the GFS come way west this run Doubt it. We're finally coming to a consensus...just took an extra 24 hrs due to the fast flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
25thamendmentfan Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 1 hour ago, kdxken said: Who's gonna pick up all the candy bars? Suzyn waldman and John sterling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 29, 2018 Author Share Posted January 29, 2018 CMC cut back but it still looks pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
25thamendmentfan Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 The 0z suite has been a buzzkill to this threat. Cinderella has returned from the ball and it ain't looking pretty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 NAM supports blizzard conditions across the Cape. 40 knot winds sustained with heavy snowfall. need to watch the combination of snow and wind for some whiteout possibilities. NWS Taunton mentions 1in/hour snow fall rates for the cape and Islands Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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