CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 GFS wasn't actually much of a shift, but did throw lighter snows west. Reggie may be a little nuts, but the other guidance isn't far from that when taking mid levels into account. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There is def a pretty sizeable difference between GFS/Euro and the others (Ukie/NAM/GGEM/RGEM). But everything is trending west. That's like the animal house combo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 45 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: i'll gladly steal everyone's snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 6 minutes ago, 25thamendmentfan said: Box isn't buying Reggie. They're chucking Billy bars and they're limiting accumulating snow to se ma south of Brockton according to their accumulation map. Gotta look who’s on the desk . Every model has snow at least back to west of the river and they have 0” for ORH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Been out ice fishing today, All i needed to see was who started the tread to know that models went west and what areas were seeing snow...............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 48 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I think this is coming. If we can trend this up until go time... could be a good storm for many. I just fear the last minute slide east. We all do. Never thought I'd hear that from someone in SE Mass, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That's like the animal house combo. Yeah they get loaded on booze and then go all Ron Washington on us. Sometimes they can lead steep trends though...ala 2/5/16. Euro and GFS were def slower than the John Belushi contingent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: We all do. Never thought I'd hear that from someone in SE Mass, lol. At this point it's more identifying which guidance is correct. I'm not sure I'd run with the RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Although I secretly hope it's right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: At this point it's more identifying which guidance is correct. I'm not sure I'd run with the RGEM. Isn't it inside its wheelhouse now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: At this point it's more identifying which guidance is correct. I'm not sure I'd run with the RGEM. It definitely may have visited Ron Washington's office before running. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Just now, 78Blizzard said: Isn't it inside its wheelhouse now? Yeah getting there. But I'd def prefer to see it again at 00z and then I may buy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: It definitely may have visited Ron Washington's office before running. And Miami's O-line coach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
25thamendmentfan Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 We all hope Reggie is right but the gfs says Reggie isn't hustling. A single was just turned into a double. And Billy's taking Reggie off the field and Paul Blair's coming in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 4 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Isn't it inside its wheelhouse now? Closer. It was encouraging it came west, but could very well have been a little too excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 WWA's for south shore, southern Plymouth and the Cape for 2-4" locally higher. Wouldn't be surprised to see those expanded NW a tier but I wouldn't pull the trigger yet given what we've seen so far - I really want to see one more tick west before I get excited for anything more than some SHSN here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: At this point it's more identifying which guidance is correct. I'm not sure I'd run with the RGEM. I will say this winter has given no clear "winner" in terms of guidance.... there's been no model that has been schooling the others so you can't really lean on anything. The EURO hasn't felt like a King, the GFS who knows, maybe the NAM scores the coup once in a while, the RGEM has been all over the place, etc. It's been a crazy winter for wild swings in models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 If I remember correctly, the RGEM was consistently dry compared to most models in the run up to the blizzard earlier this month. Let's hope it isn't wrong in the opposite direction this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 I wouldn’t worry about the GFS-these systems are its anti wheelhouse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Wow BOX took all mention of snow out the hartford zone and slight chance for OKX in CT. For people saying they aren't buying the 18Z rgem/nam, the forecast most likely only included the 12z suite, those models were just coming out after their forecasts were just being finalized, i.e. zones, grids, maps, headlines were on the streets... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Well it appears Scooter will be 2-2 in meltdowns when a deep winter , snowy pattern took hold almost immediately after. Thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
25thamendmentfan Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Well it appears Scooter will be 2-2 in meltdowns when a deep winter , snowy pattern took hold almost immediately after. Thank you! Dewey defeats Truman 1948. Way too early to spike the football. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 This season's pattern is for these things to keep trending west until I get rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Even the normally dry extended JC CT HRRR is snowy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 This season's pattern is for these things to keep trending west until I get rain.Yeah I'm not holding out any hope. Although my timehop from Jan 26 2015 was encouraging. Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 No one really discusses this but fwiw the 18Z GEM is a big hit as well, looks even a tick west of 18ZRGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 36HR comparison Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Add NAVGEM to the big bump at 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 Enjoy the snow up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Add NAVGEM to the big bump at 18z. ICON as well. Hopefully quantity wins over quality in this model battle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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