mahk_webstah Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: New 18z RAP is giving Jimmy like 10-12". "Your maps are atrocious" to become the new "It ain't happenin James?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: You looking at B/W images so you can't reference to radar? Yeah the black and white images are all I saw so far. But it's pretty darn dry. I'm guessing it thinks the dry air wins out. It clearly is "trying" to develop some weak deformation/Fronto to the west...and it did expand the QPF westward, but there's no meatier totals in there. Mostly 0.03-0.10 stuff...maybe 0.20 once down into SE MA and a bit more on the Cape. I'm not sure though...the low levels are pretty saturated already from hours of onshore flow. We just need to get between 700-900 saturated. Interesting nowcast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Yeah the black and white images are all I saw so far. But it's pretty darn dry. I'm guessing it thinks the dry air wins out. It clearly is "trying" to develop some weak deformation/Fronto to the west...and it did expand the QPF westward, but there's no meatier totals in there. Mostly 0.03-0.10 stuff...maybe 0.20 once down into SE MA and a bit more on the Cape. I'm not sure though...the low levels are pretty saturated already from hours of onshore flow. We just need to get between 700-900 saturated. Interesting nowcast. Yeah, you can see the band developing on radar so we will see if it dries up as the Meso insist or the globals win out. I'm shooting for around 0.2 to 0.3 melted equiv here which would pump out about 2-5" depending upon ratios. Thinking like BOX with 15:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 The soundings do have dry air in them and I think that’s what some of those models are showing. They also have been showing some Downward vertical motion, below the DGZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 It's been pretty gusty here all day. I was outside making sure the grill.cover was tied down tight, and it's the type of wind that just cut through your clothes and chills you to the bone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Temp had really dropped. Down to 31.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Temp had really dropped. Down to 31.6 21 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: It's been pretty gusty here all day. I was outside making sure the grill.cover was tied down tight, and it's the type of wind that just cut through your clothes and chills you to the bone Pretty stormy down the coast with winds gusting near 40 near ACY. Surprise ULL near a foot snows in Michigan, pretty volatile setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 HRRR indeed has James in near blizzard conditions with sustained 30 plus in moderate to heavy for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 29, 2018 Author Share Posted January 29, 2018 18z gfs seems to have nudged west... whatever that is worth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Man radar looks good to the SW.. hmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Even better Gfs than 12z with 700. This coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 How may "It' ain't happen James" does it take before it happens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Here is my final call. Hopefully we get a better event later this week. http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/01/129-130-final-call.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 There’s a lot of dry air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 https://twitter.com/KevinBoston25/status/958101218114588673 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nianticct Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 FLAKES NOW IN WATERFORD ON THE WATER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Just now, nianticct said: FLAKES NOW IN WATERFORD ON THE WATER Why are you yelling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: There’s a lot of dry air. Dews and temps are close. 31.2/28. Should start this evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nianticct Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 6 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Why are you yelling take a chill pill ! CAPS were on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Dews and temps are close. 31.2/28. Should start this evening He means above the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Dews and temps are close. 31.2/28. Should start this evening Yeah - check out about 750 hpa. Like -8c/-30c. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: He means above the surface. Well I know, but when lower levels are close like that it starts this evening like in Waterford Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Pretty good cold advection on NNE winds. 31.4/25 on the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 2 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Yeah - check out about 750 hpa. Like -8c/-30c. Tolland upslope compensates. Duh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Well I know, but when lower levels are close like that it starts this evening like in Waterford That's some low level junk I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 The models have been spreading the lighter precip further west today, but cutting back on the totals in SE MA closer to the meat of it. Almost like C-2" out to ORH and central CT and maybe 2-4" fpr SE areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Hey looks like the rain line is sitting on my fanny... So do we do an obs thread, or is it not really worth it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 29, 2018 Author Share Posted January 29, 2018 Snowing.... I have absolutely no idea what we will get bere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The models have been spreading the lighter precip further west today, but cutting back on the totals in SE MA closer to the meat of it. Almost like C-2" out to ORH and central CT and maybe 2-4" fpr SE areas. Seems somewhat likely there’s a fairly wide zone of 1-2” spot 3” from say HFD to PVD/ORH triangle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Light snow at work enough to dust cover my torneau cover on the truck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.