TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 29, 2018 Author Share Posted January 29, 2018 yeah.... 17z hrrr drops like half a foot down towards the canal up into southern Bristol and Plymouth counties. Also has a weenie band way west in Western Conn up through west central mass that drops 2-3” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 New 18z RAP is giving Jimmy like 10-12". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 HRRR is ramping up way west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 @rnaude241 Was the 17z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: HRRR is ramping up way west 18z early on may not be doing that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 29, 2018 Author Share Posted January 29, 2018 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: New 18z RAP is giving Jimmy like 10-12". Pic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Pic? just based off radar motion I think the more westerly track may verify, not expecting much back here but Kevin may do alright down to Ginx and then the rest of the areas to the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Can't really live and die by each run of the HRRR. Almost need like a time lagged ensemble trend. I find the HRRR really jumpy until it can digest a few hours of radar to help assimilate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Can't really live and die by each run of the HRRR. Almost need like a time lagged ensemble trend. I find the HRRR really jumpy until it can digest a few hours of radar to help assimilate. Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Here was the 17z RAP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Also got the 18z RAP off PW. Crappy edited shot since they oly have the National view. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Snowing right now at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 18z NAM looks like it's a bust based on current radar representation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 18z NAM looks like it's a bust based on current radar representation. That seems like an awfully bad initialization. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 19z HRRR looking good as well. Sent from my Nexus 6 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: That seems like an awfully bad initialization. Ya think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 When are they retiring that roadkill of a model. Just a complete waste of money and bandwidth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 40 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Also got the 18z RAP off PW. Crappy edited shot since they oly have the National view. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 4 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I never expected any accums but I still tracked it. It’s a non productive way to utilize time. Thats my point. oh. If that's the case track away. Could be a good fish storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 15z SREF snow probs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 I have a hard time believing the 18z NAM verifies. Radar looks solidly west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 29, 2018 Author Share Posted January 29, 2018 Maybe I’m just seeing things, but radar downstream does seem to have some West lean if anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 There’s already flakes or returns in SE NY and SW CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Maybe I’m just seeing things, but radar downstream does seem to have some West lean if anything. 19z RAP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: There’s already flakes or returns in SE NY and SW CT Awesome. Enjoy the flake, it's the only flake we've got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 19z RAP. Each run seems to be getting slightly better. Sent from my Nexus 6 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Just now, rnaude241 said: Each run seems to be getting slightly better. Sent from my Nexus 6 using Tapatalk Yeah it's JGW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 RGEM is still dry. It expanded the lower amounts west, but it's still sub-advisory until you maybe get to the Cape or really close. 0 for 2 on the 18z mesos...they are not buying what the nowcast models are selling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: RGEM is still dry. It expanded the lower amounts west, but it's still sub-advisory until you maybe get to the Cape or really close. 0 for 2 on the 18z mesos...they are not buying what the nowcast models are selling. Considering how abysmal NAM and Reggie performed 2 weeks ago and the horrific troubles they’ve had leading up to this one.. you really have to 100% toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: RGEM is still dry. It expanded the lower amounts west, but it's still sub-advisory until you maybe get to the Cape or really close. 0 for 2 on the 18z mesos...they are not buying what the nowcast models are selling. You looking at B/W images so you can't reference to radar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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