CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 On 1/29/2018 at 4:29 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Trying to send NoPoles some love for this one. Expand That area does well when the winds back to NNE-N. Especially if winds aloft are still NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 On 1/29/2018 at 4:29 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Trying to send NoPoles some love for this one. Expand I am about 5 miles south of the Pine Hills. I've only been here 1.5 winters however so I'm not sure how much the terrain plays in to snow enhancement around here. My brother in law has lived 30+ years about 2 miles west of the Pine Hills and he always seems to complain they get more than forecasted, but who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 CMC isn't too bad. Nice banding signature in PYM County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 On 1/29/2018 at 4:32 PM, rnaude241 said: I am about 5 miles south of the Pine Hills. I've only been here 1.5 winters however so I'm not sure how much the terrain plays in to snow enhancement around here. My brother in law has lived 30+ years about 2 miles west of the Pine Hills and he always seems to complain they get more than forecasted, but who knows. Expand My gut says you'll do just fine with this. Maybe some brief rain on onset while the column cools. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Increasing amounts of sunshine here, 39F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 On 1/29/2018 at 4:35 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: My gut says you'll do just fine with this. Maybe some brief rain on onset while the column cools. Expand He's in good shape I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 On 1/29/2018 at 4:09 PM, CT Rain said: I'll toss the GFS here. It's totally on its own with that 700hpa evolution. Keeps the front right over SNE and closes off a low on it. The 00z Euro and 12z NAM have nothing of the sort with the front well offshore and like 50% RH at 700mb overhead. Expand Almost looks like a globals vs mesos battle with the Euro on the meso side right now...12z Ukie and GGEM look closer to GFS. Mesos + Euro is hard to bet against. We'll have to see if 12z Euro sticks with the RGEM/NAM type solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 RAP sort of looks like the GFS too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 On 1/29/2018 at 4:40 PM, CoastalWx said: RAP sort of looks like the GFS too. Expand Yeah it's pretty weenieish actually....but it's also the RAP beyond 6 hours, so gotta take it with a few grains of salt. HRRR looks pretty good too, but same deal as rap with reliability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 UK out yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 On 1/29/2018 at 4:42 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah it's pretty weenieish actually....but it's also the RAP beyond 6 hours, so gotta take it with a few grains of salt. HRRR looks pretty good too, but same deal as rap with reliability. Expand Yeah who knows. The DGZ goes above H7, so even H6 may work if that tries to tighten up aloft and back to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScituateWX Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 On 1/29/2018 at 4:42 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah it's pretty weenieish actually....but it's also the RAP beyond 6 hours, so gotta take it with a few grains of salt. HRRR looks pretty good too, but same deal as rap with reliability. Expand Hoping for a few inches here. As many have said probably a nowcast deal, we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 On 1/29/2018 at 4:44 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: UK out yet? Expand Yeah it looks good for your hood especially Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Ukie look pretty good from 6hr maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 29, 2018 Author Share Posted January 29, 2018 On 1/29/2018 at 2:55 PM, CoastalWx said: Told you not to buy the RGEM yesterday. Expand I didnt. I don’t know anyone who did. Someone could still see 6” from this too... wouldn’t shock me if that poster in carver saw 5 or 6. That run getting warning snows to MPM wasn’t very believable though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Nothing has changed in my mind 1-3 scattered thruout SNE with lollies on the Cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 On 1/29/2018 at 4:57 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Ukie look pretty good from 6hr maps. Expand It hit the sauce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 On 1/29/2018 at 4:33 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: CMC isn't too bad. Nice banding signature in PYM County. Expand looking forward to my 0.1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 29, 2018 Author Share Posted January 29, 2018 Ukie would be pushing warning criteria in SE areas... 4-6” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 On 1/29/2018 at 5:18 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: It hit the sauce. Expand 30 cm for Hazey. Twice that for St. Johns? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 On 1/29/2018 at 5:33 PM, tamarack said: 30 cm for Hazey. Twice that for St. Johns? Expand Really? No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 I get like 10 to 15cm before rain. This winter ****ing blows. Oranges and reds through the Atlantic as far as the eye can see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Looks like euro will be a bit west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 On 1/29/2018 at 5:51 PM, CoastalWx said: Looks like euro will be a bit west. Expand Yeah def looks better...it's not buying the Ukie sauce, but that would probably be 1-3" back to BOS area and down to most of RI...and maybe a higher lolli further SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 All these model runs seem to flip flop back and forth from being east to going back west.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Euro/GFS/CMC in relative agreement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 On 1/29/2018 at 5:57 PM, weathafella said: Euro/GFS/CMC in relative agreement. Expand Pretty much what has been the case all along with accumulations, steady as he goes 1-3 lollies on the Cape to 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 On 1/29/2018 at 6:03 PM, Ginx snewx said: Pretty much what has been the case all along with accumulations, steady as he goes 1-3 lollies on the Cape to 4 Expand Probably just adjust the 3-6" zone on the first map to 2-5" and call it a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Latest HRRR is a bit weenieish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 On 1/29/2018 at 6:50 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Latest HRRR is a bit weenieish Expand 18z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.