UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Ukmet weaker offshore LP....def not like today’s euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Verdict on the Ukie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 28 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: Verdict on the Ukie? Warm for coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 12z NAM does give NYC and nearbye suburbs a little front end dump of 1 to 2 inches of snow wednesday before the change to rain. Hopefully this will continue to trend colder and we see a little accumulating snow, because it could be the last chance for awhile with the pattern looking ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 28 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: 12z NAM does give NYC and nearbye suburbs a little front end dump of 1 to 2 inches of snow wednesday before the change to rain. Hopefully this will continue to trend colder and we see a little accumulating snow, because it could be the last chance for awhile with the pattern looking ugly. The mid-week event has trended warmer not colder. Most of the globals have us in the deep interior flipping to rain now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 5 minutes ago, snywx said: The mid-week event has trended warmer not colder. Most of the globals have us in the deep interior flipping to rain now. Gfs is keeping us all frozen today... interesting, I’ll have to look at soundIngs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 25 minutes ago, snywx said: The mid-week event has trended warmer not colder. Most of the globals have us in the deep interior flipping to rain now. Ggem been crazy consistent with this storm, I wish it was a reliable model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 26 minutes ago, snywx said: The mid-week event has trended warmer not colder. Most of the globals have us in the deep interior flipping to rain now. Agreed. GFS warmest. CMC coldest and ICON in the middle. What does Ukmet show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 8 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Agreed. GFS warmest. CMC coldest and ICON in the middle. What does Ukmet show As of last night it was a weaker cooler solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 9 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: As of last night it was a weaker cooler solution Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 The UKMET continues to look insanely flat and slow through 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 euro just caved to a mUCH colder solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 10 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: euro just caved to a mUCH colder solution Similiar to the GGEM?? Can't access the models right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 10 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: euro just caved to a mUCH colder solution can you share any further details. Timing? Snow, rain etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueDXer75 Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 10 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: euro just caved to a mUCH colder solution I know it’s out of your area, but what did the Euro show for RDG and ABE in southeast PA for Wednesday? Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 6 minutes ago, snywx said: Similiar to the GGEM?? Can't access the models right now 1-2" nyc 2-4" to Orange rockland border 4-6" to 84 6-8" north and west of 84 and western Orange county 8-12" about 30 miles north and west of 84 along with a strip of mix from Tap bridge to 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 4 minutes ago, bluewave said: And .50 of freezing rain N of I-80 with strong CAD sig. yea i added mix once i checked ptype Acc...would be interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 that freezing rain profile would be ugly if it holds true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 7 minutes ago, Animal said: that freezing rain profile would be ugly if it holds true. id venture to bet its either rain or snow, on top of freezing rain like that being rare, 850s are the only "warm" layer and theyre only +1.....wont take much to be snow, some heavier rates would likelpush that over the edge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Geps show the low going south of NYC EPS is also cooler than 0z and has snow close to NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 18 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Geps show the low going south of NYC EPS is also cooler than 0z and has snow close to NYC Ukie looks cold and snow for even NYC, low goes well south of most guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 39 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Ukie looks cold and snow for even NYC, low goes well south of most guidance Would really enjoy seeing another event down this way even if it washes away.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 18Z Nam follows euro, looks very similar with a snow to ice signature for interior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 9 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: 18Z Nam follows euro, looks very similar with a snow to ice signature for interior And 18z NAM is a nice little hit of 2 to 3 inches of snow for the NYC area before it changes to rain. Let's see if this keeps trending colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 8 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: And 18z NAM is a nice little hit of 2 to 3 inches of snow for the NYC area before it changes to rain. Let's see if this keeps trending colder. That's the type of event we can get in these conditions.... we can get a front end dump sometimes, then it gets washed away depending on the duration of the rain....but it would still be some snow for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Gfs is further south and east with the low compared to 12z. Instead over PA , it's over NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Similar ice storm on gfs as euro... that’s a dangerous amount of ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 48 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Similar ice storm on gfs as euro... that’s a dangerous amount of ice Don't want that. Ice storms are no fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Gefs mean 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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