rclab Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 On 1/30/2018 at 4:28 AM, SnowGoose69 said: You wonder if the weather gods are trying to tell the NFL not to have any cold climate outdoor Super Bowls again. Expand Weather Gods? I wonder who we have to sacrifice to get a big storm? I know, I'm already sorry I asked the question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 On 1/30/2018 at 12:32 AM, SnoSki14 said: It's slim pickings until mid Feb, maybe we could get lucky before then. I could see a light event sneak in there given we'll be on the edge of the cold. The good stuff will be from mid Feb through early March (could easily pick up 18"+ in that period alone). Expand You sure about that lol? I mean I hope so, but it's hard to make any firm statements that far ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 On 1/30/2018 at 3:41 PM, Paragon said: You sure about that lol? I mean I hope so, but it's hard to make any firm statements that far ahead. Expand He's already wrong Several inches fell in LI this morning lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 On 1/30/2018 at 10:07 PM, Snow88 said: He's already wrong Several inches fell in LI this morning lol Expand Isolated event, how is that widespread? Monday looks interesting though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Gfs with a Hudson Valley special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Weenie map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Ggem nearly identical, a few differences Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Nice pattern for the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB COLTS NECK NJ Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 4:37 AM, SnoSki14 said: Nice pattern for the interior. Expand lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB COLTS NECK NJ Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 There are multiple threats in the pattern and P type issues should never be a focus when looking at 132 hour and 186 hour OP runs. 6 hours ago Sundays SW was OTS , how can anyone tell what these are yet. There may be 2 E/C systems over the next 8 days in a - EPO pattern with a full latitude W ridge. Nothing more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 4:37 AM, SnoSki14 said: Nice pattern for the interior. Expand Seriously ? Haven't you learned from yesterday's storm ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/30/2018 at 11:01 PM, SnoSki14 said: Isolated event, how is that widespread? Monday looks interesting though. Expand Coastal event is isolated ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted January 31, 2018 Author Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 12:05 PM, Snow88 said: Seriously ? Haven't you learned from yesterday's storm ? Expand That guy will never learn I put his weather intelligence on the same level as snowman and redbank for now we wait and see there is a potential February really delivers. Wish -NAO would be in place to slow down the pattern and amplify these systems therefore resulting a more dynamic pattern. Maybe he’s just being a troll to piss everyone else off. Ur not pissing anyone off you’re the laughing stock here you clearly said we wouldn’t get snow until mid February Anthony said watch the end of January. Everyone thought we were done with accumulating snow for January Anthony you and Paul are gifted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Not sure how this weekend or early next week is a good pattern for the interior. It's a relatively flat, progressive trough which favors out to sea or a coastal scraper. I'm surprised that the globals are throwing that much precip back into the interior given the track and not overly favorable jet orientation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 1:44 PM, NJwx85 said: Not sure how this weekend or early next week is a good pattern for the interior. It's a relatively flat, progressive trough which favors out to sea or a coastal scraper. I'm surprised that the globals are throwing that much precip back into the interior given the track and not overly favorable jet orientation. Expand Even if this thing is a classic benchmark track I’m not all that convinced anyone sees snow. That preceding low results in no Quebec high pressure and just a lousy air mass. Mid week may stand a better shot. I wouldn’t be surprised to see this system trend weaker today or tomorrow as has been the case most of the winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 1:57 PM, SnowGoose69 said: Even if this thing is a classic benchmark track I’m not all that convinced anyone sees snow. That preceding low results in no Quebec high pressure and just a lousy air mass. Mid week may stand a better shot. I wouldn’t be surprised to see this system trend weaker today or tomorrow as has been the case most of the winter Expand Agreed, you're missing that injection of arctic air. The cold air filters in behind the system as the trough pulls northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 ukmet looks alot like the Eps/Euro...likely too warm for many, but throws good precip well inland, 998mb into long island Drops over 1" LE, surprised its that juiced actually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Climo is catching up to us. 850 mb low running up the NJ coast and into LI will always be rain or snow to rain event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Rgem looks similar to other guidance, favors interior as of now for some light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 3:14 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Rgem looks similar to other guidance, favors interior as of now for some light snow Expand Isnt this the 0Z CMC? Looks like a great LP track for 95 actually...Will depend on where the HP is setup over eastern Canada and it can hold or if it gets pushed east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 3:14 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Rgem looks similar to other guidance, favors interior as of now for some light snow Expand The RGEM doesn't go out that far, you're looking at last night's 00z GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted January 31, 2018 Author Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 3:14 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Rgem looks similar to other guidance, favors interior as of now for some light snow Expand Billy that' the ggem. Rgem doesn't go past 48hrs or 52hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 The 12Z NAM would be mostly a rain event extrapolated out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 So the reason why the mid-levels are so warm, as @Enigma mentioned, the mid-level cyclones are tucked into the coast. The centers form over the Demarva region and then track Northeast. Even though the SLP is further offshore, it doesn't matter. In reality, if the mid-level centers were closer to the SLP track it would deliver a colder but much drier solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 3:23 PM, NJwx85 said: The RGEM doesn't go out that far, you're looking at last night's 00z GGEM. Expand Weren’t u the one earlier in the season that said the RGEM now goes out past 48?... I questioned you about it and You said it does now...sorry took ur word for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 3:29 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Weren’t u the one earlier in the season that said the RGEM now goes out past 48?... I questioned you about it and You said it does now...sorry took ur word for it Expand It does go beyond 48hrs but only on 06z and 18z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 3:30 PM, NJwx85 said: It does go beyond 48hrs but only on 06z and 18z runs. Expand lol...thats the 06z i posted... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 3:35 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: lol...thats the 06z i posted... Expand It still only runs out to 84hrs I believe. You posted hour 126. Don't blame me for your assumptions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted January 31, 2018 Author Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 3:29 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Weren’t u the one earlier in the season that said the RGEM now goes out past 48?... I questioned you about it and You said it does now...sorry took ur word for it Expand It Does go up to 84hrs on the 6z and 18z runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 3:37 PM, NJwx85 said: It still only runs out to 84hrs I believe. You posted hour 126. Don't blame me for your assumptions. Expand from what ive seen posted it runs the full set 120hr on 06/18z but i could be wrong, if anyone could find information otherwise to confirm is actual run time that would be great, cause i cant find any official confirmations that it runs to 84 either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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