WeatherFeen2000 Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 We got a lot of potential this upcoming month I’d like to see a negative NAO for a huge storm although -NAO ia hard to come by the past few years! It seems that we’ll get over running waves on a stalled out front just to our south, which usually means a decent amount of snows. The SWFL usually tend to turn to mixed bag at the end so we should watch for that potential too. Unless we get a SWFL that forms a low off the coast which could produce huge amounts of snow. The Canadian had this solution yesterday for February 2nd-3rd timeframe but has lost almost lost it euro looked good last night for that same system. Discuss it below Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 Euro remains impressive for Feb 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 51 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Euro remains impressive for Feb 2 How does eps look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 16 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: How does eps look Decent. And actually better than 00z. Overall colder look. Probably a 4-8 in event for those north of I 195 in NJ. My only concern is that this gradually trends south to the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 1 hour ago, Enigma said: Decent. And actually better than 00z. Overall colder look. Probably a 4-8 in event for those north of I 195 in NJ. My only concern is that this gradually trends south to the GFS. I think I’m more afraid of this ending up too far inland because of the phase 7 MJO and the tendency of that WAR to want to push back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 2 hours ago, Enigma said: Decent. And actually better than 00z. Overall colder look. Probably a 4-8 in event for those north of I 195 in NJ. My only concern is that this gradually trends south to the GFS. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cuzin Mike Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 GFS goes east for feb 2. CMC goes west so anywhere from 0 to 7 on the table so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 28, 2018 Share Posted January 28, 2018 7 minutes ago, Cuzin Mike said: GFS goes east for feb 2. CMC goes west so anywhere from 0 to 7 on the table so far If Euro continues to side with the CMC at 12Z - those would be the models to go with in this situation - GFS is more then likely doing what it usually does at this range - too suppressed and too east overplaying the northern stream - MJO and WAR favors front getting hung up along east coast with the wave running along it either right over the top of us or just to the south..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 The February second setup is very similar to a cold front, and as the colder air is rushing in the precip will also be shutting off. I think the higher terrain stands a decent chance at some accumulating snow, but I would go less than an inch outside of that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 6 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The February second setup is very similar to a cold front, and as the colder air is rushing in the precip will also be shutting off. I think the higher terrain stands a decent chance at some accumulating snow, but I would go less than an inch outside of that area. I see nothing of note right now til around the 9th or later unless this event Friday makes a comeback. I don’t think the Sunday or Monday event next week is an issue because the positioning of the high is completely off. The whole setup would need a major overhaul to be anything other than a front with showers right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Plowsman Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Another take on Febs upcoming cold and *Possible* snow events - explained in detail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 There is a Vendor Thread here to post all the stuff from the numerous paid online METS anyways IMO until we get into a more favorable MJO phase - 8 -1-2 or even the COD can't trust the models with any SECS MECS in advance . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Plowsman Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 There is a Vendor Thread here to post all the stuff from the numerous paid online METS anyways IMO until we get into a more favorable MJO phase - 8 -1-2 or even the COD can't trust the models with any SECS MECS in advance .Ah forgot. Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 Models are showing a potential snowstorm for next Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 11 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Models are showing a potential snowstorm for next Monday More 18Z fantasy runs from the GFS - this map will look much different in 24 hours: MJO doesn't support this yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 7 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: More 18Z fantasy runs from the GFS - this map will look much different in 24 hours: MJO doesn't support this yet More like 6 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 9 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: More 18Z fantasy runs from the GFS - this map will look much different in 24 hours: MJO doesn't support this yet Every model shows this snowstorm It's not just the MJO PNA is rising This is just the start of a wild ride Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: More like 6 hours agree 100% - I was trying to have an open mind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 I’m not a big fan of the Sunday into Monday potential at all right now. We will see how Friday goes but it’s probably small if it occurs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted January 29, 2018 Author Share Posted January 29, 2018 Guys why are talking about potentials 240 hours away we can't even get 12 hrs away forecasts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 29, 2018 Share Posted January 29, 2018 16 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: Guys why are talking about potentials 240 hours away we can't even get 12 hrs away forecasts! 174 hours out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 It's slim pickings until mid Feb, maybe we could get lucky before then. I could see a light event sneak in there given we'll be on the edge of the cold. The good stuff will be from mid Feb through early March (could easily pick up 18"+ in that period alone). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 I'm looking at Mt Holly radar right now and it should be snowing in many places like here in New City,,,,,,,but just not making it to the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cuzin Mike Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 3 hours ago, Snow88 said: Every model shows this snowstorm It's not just the MJO PNA is rising This is just the start of a wild ride They are showing some snow possible not a storm of that magnitude. Please do not make blanket statements without evidence. We will not have substantial event until at least feb 9 in NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 36 minutes ago, Cuzin Mike said: Please do not make blanket statements without evidence. We will not have substantial event until at least feb 9 in NYC Was this irony intended? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 1 minute ago, NorthShoreWx said: Was this irony intended? Of course not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cuzin Mike Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 6 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Of course not. Actually it was but hey feel free to include banter in the model thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 53 minutes ago, Cuzin Mike said: They are showing some snow possible not a storm of that magnitude. Please do not make blanket statements without evidence. We will not have substantial event until at least feb 9 in NYC Make it less obvious please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 Gfs and cmc still show a snow event for Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Gfs and cmc still show a snow event for Monday You wonder if the weather gods are trying to tell the NFL not to have any cold climate outdoor Super Bowls again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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