Dan76 Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 "March is a green muddy month some people like it....farmers mostly'' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 2 hours ago, bluewave said: At least for the DJF period, we got an abbreviated but potent dose of winter from 12/8-1/8. We can't complain since we saw a 950 mb blizzard and the second coldest 12/26-1/8 period on record. Part of the new weather extremes pattern that is becoming the new normal around here. People west of NYC can complain because they got much less snow from the blizzard. Many places in NJ got only a few inches from the blizzard. This will end up being a bad winter for those places if we don't get a significant late season snowstorm. Early March is still prime snow season, so hopefully we can pull off a snowstorm then if we don't get one in late February. We need one to avoid having a well below average snowfall season. I know the coast is a different story since they cashed in with the blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 1 hour ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: Winter is not over guys it’s the middle of it and late February and the beginning of March will produce all teleconnections depict that we’ll get cold and snowy times around that time after a warm 10 days I don't see that, as we get closer the teles get worse and trend warmer, a clear sign that a change is not coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 13 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I don't see that, as we get closer the teles get worse and trend warmer, a clear sign that a change is not coming. that's the issue-it keeps getting pushed back and back....when it's always day 10+ it's probably not coming. Hopefully we get a rogue storm at some point but the hope of a sustained cold/snowy pattern is quickly diminishing.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Isotherm thinks the pattern will get better by late February into March. Hope he is right. Yes. See my latest post in SSW thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 I would watch out for next Friday to Sunday timeframe for a stalled out front that could produce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 11, 2018 Author Share Posted February 11, 2018 Storm total rainfall up to 1.27" here so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 Euro is really turning up the heat next 10 days, some more records highs in our future? That SE ridge is no joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 33 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Euro is really turning up the heat next 10 days, some more records highs in our future? That SE ridge is no joke. Yeah but we may turn the corner after that. Euro kinda sucks now. I would rate 1st ukmet, Canadian, navgem, euro, gfs, icon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 Euro can overdue eastern ridges in longer range...other models have it also but to a lesser degree...Either way, doesn't look wintry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 Very impressive warm front today. Staten Island just shot up to 57 on the mild southerly flow gusting to 21 mph. http://www.nysmesonet.org/mesonow#?stid=STAT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 11 minutes ago, bluewave said: Very impressive warm front today. Staten Island just shot up to 57 on the mild southerly flow gusting to 21 mph. http://www.nysmesonet.org/mesonow#?stid=STAT Yeah same here...Looks like another batch of rain coming up from the south should clip me and push event total over 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 3 minutes ago, doncat said: Yeah same here...Looks like another batch of rain coming up from the south should clip me and push event total over 2". 60's showing up just to your south now. https://www.njweather.org/maps/nj-statewide-air-temperatures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 11, 2018 Author Share Posted February 11, 2018 Storm total rainfall up to 1.76" here. Current temp 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 The 61 at NYC is just 4 off the record high of 65 set in 2009. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 Crazy how warm it is down there.. stuck in the mid 30s here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 Once again anomalous warmth seems to always overachieve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 Will remain mild most of the night but be down in 30's mid morning and close to 20 Tuesday am...lots of frozen puddles. Band of heavy rain moving thru here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 1 hour ago, dWave said: Once again anomalous warmth seems to always overachieve The only time this new rule doesn't seem to work out for us is on spring days with backdoor cold fronts. And that is probably the one time that most people want the overachieving warmth the most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 43 was my high. Back in the upper 30s now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 8 minutes ago, bluewave said: The only time this new rule doesn't seem to work out for us is on spring days with backdoor cold fronts. And that is probably the one time that most people want the overachieving warmth the most. Yeah back door cold fronts from late March to early June are one of most depressing weather setups to me. Especially the extreme gradients when its around 70 in Philly, damm near 80 in Bmore but drizzle and 48 here. Once the snow threat is gone dreary days in the 40s and 50s are no fun. Such is spring near the coast. The LI ppl can attest to that even more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 20 minutes ago, dWave said: Yeah back door cold fronts from late March to early June are one of most depressing weather setups to me. Especially the extreme gradients when its around 70 in Philly, damm near 80 in Bmore but drizzle and 48 here. Once the snow threat is gone dreary days in the 40s and 50s are no fun. Such is spring near the coast. The LI ppl can attest to that even more. Backdoor cold fronts are the worst—seems to me they have been more frequent recently, as a kid in the 70’s and 80’s they didn’t seem to be as prevalent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 10 hours ago, Snow88 said: HM thinks the the Mid Atlantic hasn't seen their best snowstorm yet this winter. Seems like a lot of people like March. Seems like the only 2 who think spring is here for the duration are NY NJ PA and Wxrisk - any others ? . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Plowsman Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 Well, let see...up to 63 degs Right Now in Freehold, NJ! With a shot of lightning n thunder around 2pm thrown in during yesterday and today's incessant torrential rains! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 1 hour ago, NEG NAO said: Seems like the only 2 who think spring is here for the duration are NY NJ PA and Wxrisk - any others ? . Spring like weather or spring it's self, i'll bet on the latter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 12, 2018 Author Share Posted February 12, 2018 Final storm total rainfall of 1.93" here. Current temp 63 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 Current temp of 39° Still have 100% snow cover here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 Wow look at that ridge directly over us on the EPS/Euro, incredible warmth if that verifies. 70s and 80s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted February 12, 2018 Share Posted February 12, 2018 Next 8 days averaging 43degs., or 9degs. AN. Month to date is already +1.8. Should be +4.4 by the 20th. We should stay AN (for month to date) after each day from here on. Used 61/32 cut for today's backward action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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