Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 5 minutes ago, Ji said: its a completely different event than was modeled a few days ago....The Icon has that look but the GFS still has no wave of low pressure You made the comment when the gfs had a complete non event and now it's nearly a half inch of qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 Just now, Bob Chill said: You made the comment when the gfs had a complete non event and now it's nearly a half inch of qpf. it took our initial storm...made it a non event and then created a new event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 tropical tidbits needs to upgrade its servers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 1 minute ago, Ji said: it took our initial storm...made it a non event and then created a new event That's how ops work in the med-LR. 0z cmc looks just like the 18z gfs. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 13 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Up to .4-.5 qpf now. Lol. So we're getting the precip we hoped for but need to shave 5-8 degree at the surface. That's going to be tough but at least there's precip. Ji said it would make him happy if we can just get some precip out of the event. Definitely going to be tough. I think the more juice it has the better chance it ends as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 ill take whats being cooked up for sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 Monday still looks sweet. Gonna be a long week..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 I would be okay with this run for the Feb 5-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 Monday morning powder...may not be a huge qpf but would be our best event since 2016 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 1 minute ago, Ji said: Monday morning powder...may not be a huge qpf but would be our best event since 2016 lol Hug the cmc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 Tuesday doesn't look to shabby either...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 GFS really does look sweet for Monday. Drawn out event. If we can just get this to the magic 96 hour mark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 The GFS would be a nice two part for the 5/6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 Just now, Interstate said: The GFS would be a nice two part for the 5/6 one of my favorite kinds of storm....overcast...cold and periods of accumulating snow over 1-2 days. Id take this storm and call it a winter. Ill even delete the panic thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 Lots of purple and pink showing up on the clown maps. Guess we’re having a girl? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 The GFS is close to something nice on the 7/8 as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 Icon says...we dont celeberate Super Bowl in Germany. I wonder if the stronger Friday wave of Low pressure on the ICON is somehow screwing up with the sunday potnetial. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 Another event next Wednesday 3 events over 5 days...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 We had some extreme cold so I'll give this year a 6. Last year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 Also if 5/6 pans out... the cold will be around for awhile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 If nothing else...that's the first back to back epic op runs all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 Just now, Ji said: Icon says...we dont celeberate Super Bowl in Germany. I wonder if the stronger Friday wave of Low pressure on the ICON is somehow screwing up with the sunday potnetial. A stronger system Friday most likely kills Sunday or Monday. Models often won’t grasp that at this range and they’ll try to show back to back events but it almost never occurs. The first or both of the events typically have to be overrunning induced. If the first event is a deep low or involves a phase it’s pretty tough to get anything on its heels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 3 minutes ago, Interstate said: The GFS is close to something nice on the 7/8 as well GEM had something similar on 7/8, except it had rain. One thing is for certain, which is that it's gonna be a long week of tracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 If nothing else...that's the first back to back epic op runs all winter. Why do you keep forgetting the magical dec 21 to 24 runs lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: If nothing else...that's the first real back to back epic op runs all winter. fyp, since that awful 4 day stretch in late Dec had some pretty enticing runs, but this seems different and better for sure. None of that phantom juiced stj crap that we saw. I like our chances, and having multiple threats inside of day 10 is a good thing to see for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: A stronger system Friday most likely kills Sunday or Monday. Models often won’t grasp that at this range and they’ll try to show back to back events but it almost never occurs. The first or both of the events typically have to be overrunning induced. If the first event is a deep low or involves a phase it’s pretty tough to get anything on its heels Didn't the Blizzard of 96 have a decent storm right on it heels? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 Just now, Interstate said: Didn't the Blizzard of 96 have a decent storm right on it heels? It certainly didn’t up this way from my memory. It may have occurred further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 1 minute ago, Interstate said: Didn't the Blizzard of 96 have a decent storm right on it heels? Yes it did. If I remember correctly it was a 6 to 12 incher less than a week later. After 3 ft of snow 6 inches didn't seem like much...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 Didn't the Blizzard of 96 have a decent storm right on it heels?It was one week later but we did get a 3 inch mini event right after blizzard of 96. The storm one week after 96 blizzard worried alot of mets cause models had 15-18 inches at one point. We got 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30, 2018 Share Posted January 30, 2018 22 minutes till bob tells us the ensembles dont support this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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