WVclimo Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Low pressure at 96 hours is 375 miles north of where it was on the 12Z. Jumped from Birmingham, AL to Louisville, KY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 2 minutes ago, Interstate said: But we haven't seen many southern stream systems either It's a northern stream shortwave though. It enters the us in the pac nw. Just taps the gulf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 ugly...now we have an app runner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 18z GFS is a gulley washer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 It's also wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 I was wondering if this could trend worse...problem solved Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Can we close the drought thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestminsterSnowCapitalMA Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 forget this run, the way that low is jumping from Alabama to ohio to off the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 1 hour ago, Ian said: EPS is better than the weeklies Yeah just wait until tomorrow's edition of the weeklies come out. Unless there are some dramatic changes on the EPS by 0z, it will probs be a turn the lights out pull the shades down run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 The icon will save us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 The icon saved us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Just now, Ji said: The icon will save us Whats the Rollin Thunder got? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 1 minute ago, Ji said: The icon saved us We need some betters models. Anyone have the CRAS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 8 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Don't think 1 Eps member even showed this track...see what 0z does I find that track hard to believe Several hundred miles different than the Euro and cmc and it's own 12z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 The GFS did switch things over to snow faster Friday morning. One event at a time. At least the GFS didn't do this to us on Friday night or Saturday. That would have really hurt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Well looks like we are on the wrong side of the boundary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 If the surface low stays to our south and east... I really think we have a chance. We are in peak climo and it has been really cold over the last few days.. I know the column will give at some point but I have this feeling that it will surprise us up front... That being said if we get a western track... We're basically toast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 This year is proving just how lucky we we're in 14 and 15. With that being said we have been unlucky so far. 2 or 3 events this year could have easily been heavier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 23 minutes ago, PDIII said: If the surface low stays to our south and east... I really think we have a chance. We are in peak climo and it has been really cold over the last few days.. I know the column will give at some point but I have this feeling that it will surprise us up front... That being said if we get a western track... We're basically toast. Its transient cold though. No HP to the north to hold it in place. If it was cutting into an arctic air mass we would have a shot for a thump. But as modeled we are done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 One thing that I find unusual is the gfs is amped/west and the euro is flatter/east. Can't think of a single previous case in the med range this year where that happened. Especially since the euro trended SE today from 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 18z gefs agrees with the euro op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: 18z gefs agrees with the euro op. Thats what I like to hear! Battle of the models again. Feels like winters past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: 18z gefs agrees with the euro op. Finally some good news....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: 18z gefs agrees with the euro op. I feel like the GFS has been a little more jumpy over the last 2 weeks. Euro seems to be a little more stable. Maybe its the new pattern. But what do I know? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainGeek Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 CMC going with congrats SE/Delmarva (again) . We'll have to see what next run says, but at least another model isn't yet on-board with latest GFS/west solution. Edit: Looks like CMC and the ICON are colder earlier (ICON has the surface temps coldest furthest south) which I'm guessing is how they are getting more snow out of the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 5 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: 18z gefs agrees with the euro op. Surprisingly yea, it's an improvement over the last 2 runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 4 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Thats what I like to hear! Battle of the models again. Feels like winters past. You're in the best spot for this one. I'm mostly screwed unless things get rolling early Sunday. The gefs run is prerty much a carbon copy of the euro if you remove the outiers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Surprisingly yea, it's an improvement over the last 2 runs. I clicked through the panels and laughed. Nearly complete disagreement with the op. I'm lowering my bar to just seeing snow fall for 2 hours. I'm good with that and I'm not even kidding. Being 100% rain is the only thing I need to avoid to not be mad at this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 5 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: You're in the best spot for this one. I'm mostly screwed unless things get rolling early Sunday. The gefs run is prerty much a carbon copy of the euro if you remove the outiers. Don't take e2 and e8 away from me man. Actually most of that snow is from the follow up wave that the op doesn't like either but gefs seems to think has a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Either DT (WxRisk) was being really sarcastic or pretty serious. I would have to lean towards serious since this is what the models (take with a grain of salt) seem to be showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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