Interstate Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 33 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: One thing that the gefs and eps aren't seeing is a big event sun-mon. Very small minority showing 6" or above. That should give everyone pause about expecting a big thump even if temps break right. The vast majority of solutions that show snow are in the 2-5" range. Let's just get the brown grass covered for the appetizer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 37 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: I didn't see this posted today and just caught it. Geps has a half decent -ao block going at the end of the run. This is a really good look honeslty. That is a nice look, but will it be reality? lol Would be nice to see the GEFS and EPS show more of that up top look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdood Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 1 hour ago, C.A.P.E. said: I thought about doing the Borla cat back on my 6.4L but in the end the sucker has 470 HP and 465 ft lbs of torque. Yeah it's pretty quiet and the aftermarket exhaust would be louder and sound cool, but if it doesn't add any real power, and it really doesn't, it ain't worth a grand. I did invest in a tuner, mainly to disable that horrid MDS. I wanted my HEMI running on all 8 cyl all the time. Hated that crap. Its awesome with that shiit turned off, and it gets like 2 mpg less lol. Such a dumb "feature", but I know why they did it. That's awesome. I put an off-road h pipe on my 13 mustang gt. Running e85 in it too, smells awesome and sounds nasty. Lol. Lets hope the trend of these events going south, north, and dry by the time they come into sweet spot range changes. Something has to give eventually... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 1 hour ago, Interstate said: Now that is a usual MA winter... always fearing the R/S line. Be nice to fear the R/S line, IF we ever have enough moisture. I'll take the rain/snow line, as long as mappy, wxtrix, Chill, PSU and others there get a cold powder bomb. It will be worth it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 This is cool consciousness. The problem with -EPO/+NAO in February is it's dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 36 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: That is a nice look, but will it be reality? lol Would be nice to see the GEFS and EPS show more of that up top look. Gefs is sorta close but not nearly as sweet above Greenland. Still has a -ao though but until we see blocking set up in real time there is no way I'm buying it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Can someone help explain the above? I see the tweet... but what are RWPs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 1 hour ago, Bob Chill said: I didn't see this posted today and just caught it. Geps has a half decent -ao block going at the end of the run. This is a really good look honeslty. I'm in the middle of getting some work done or else I'd go and check, but this is similar to what the GEFS yesterday (6z or 12z, I think?) showed at the end of the run with the AO, too. The NAO region looks better here though IIRC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 15 minutes ago, yoda said: Can someone help explain the above? I see the tweet... but what are RWPs? It means a series of crawling miller A's are on the way....lol...just kidding. I have no idea but my explanation sounds good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psurulz Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 I'm good with Bob's explanation as long as it brings snow to my backyard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 29 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: It means a series of crawling miller A's are on the way....lol...just kidding. I have no idea but my explanation sounds good. I have little to no understanding of the upper atmosphere, but I am 80% sure an RWP is referring to a Rossby wave. Source: https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-13-00371.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 32 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: It means a series of crawling miller A's are on the way....lol...just kidding. I have no idea but my explanation sounds good. That got me excited for a minute! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 108 looks meh, wish that HP was a bit more to the east then where it's position is 114 is snow at DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Gfs looks big Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Just now, Ji said: Gfs looks big Stream interaction is back. Lol. All cuz the wizards won. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Rain for DC and immediate NW burbs for hr 126 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 It’s very rainy though...looks good in the upper levels but the thermals are no good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Stream interaction is back. Lol. All cuz the wizards won. Yes... but heavy rain east of i81 this run... 2m temps are horrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Stream interaction is back. Lol. All cuz the wizards won. Now that's a proper screwing on the GFS. Nice sized storm. Rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Well, now we know where the rainy solutions on the ens are coming from. Stupid high due west is always a flag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Just now, Bob Chill said: Well, now we know where the rainy solutions on the ens are coming from. Stupid high due west is always a flag. Just go with the CMC tonight...has high pressure in southern Canada..it’s a good hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 CMC is better but the air mass is still bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Shouldn't we be happy there is just something to track? I mean, it would only take a minor shift for something big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Id rather take a risk with this than strung out h5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 1 minute ago, Interstate said: Shouldn't we be happy there is just something to track? I mean, it would only take a minor shift for something big. This. Even a snow to rain event would be a win in my book. I do like how the Western Burbs who have been screwed this winterwould do well in this scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Just now, Interstate said: Shouldm't we be happy there is just something to track? I mean, it would only take a minor shift for something big. Yes, we should definitely be happy it's not a flat southern wave this run. This is not the final solution. We'll have plenty more iterations. For once the trend to go flat/weak/non-event isn't happening in the mid range. It still snows before the gullywahser so that's good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 2 minutes ago, Interstate said: Shouldn't we be happy there is just something to track? I mean, it would only take a minor shift for something big. There is no real cold air available unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 1 minute ago, yoda said: There is no real cold air available unfortunately Well I am not overly concerned right now... Still a ways to go with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Per the TT snow maps... 2-4 i95 corridor to 6+ inches along i81 andd Blue Ridge per 00z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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