Ji Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 3:51 PM, Interstate said: Question... when has the ICON been right though? Expand um probably never but we hug whatever looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 I-95 corridor flips to rain just after 111 per 12z ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 3:52 PM, Cobalt said: It was amped for Friday's "event", so maybe that's one of its biases Expand Definitely, it was a "false hope" the last couple years when systems were destined to miss us to the southeast. It always had a few runs where it blasted us when everything else was well east. From the early returns it seems another CRAS wanabe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 gfs flurries 7am sunday. at least we start snow ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 12z GFS is going to be unfriendly... raining I95 at 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 GFS gonna be ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 GFS went more amped. Bucking the seasonal trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 4:00 PM, Bob Chill said: GFS went more amped. Bucking the seasonal trend. Expand still forever away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 The drought relief being modeled is encouraging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Looks like a big hit again for Deep Creek/Oakland/Canaan. It's not a complete torch the Winchester area is near freezing with cooperative 850s at 108. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 4:03 PM, Bob Chill said: The drought relief being modeled is encouraging. Expand never thought this event would end up being a 95% rain storm...even for western areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 4:04 PM, DCTeacherman said: Looks like a big hit again for Deep Creek/Oakland/Canaan. It's not a complete torch the Winchester area is near freezing with cooperative 850s at 108. Expand Those guys are due..... Hope it works out for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 4:00 PM, Bob Chill said: GFS went more amped. Bucking the seasonal trend. Expand Ain't buckin' a La Niña trend though, is it? Lol We get the warm/wet except later in the season, it seems... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 4:04 PM, Ji said: never thought this event would end up being a 95% rain storm...even for western areas Expand At least it continues the assault on all the hopes and dreams of the 95 crew all the way to Maine. We got company. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 once again....we are at a crossroad where we need a positive trend and we go into the opposite direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 4:06 PM, Bob Chill said: At least it continues the assault on all the hopes and dreams of the 95 crew all the way to Maine. We got company. Expand GGEM says what amped storm. and it has HP North of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 12z ICON 2-3" I95... 4-6" BR and west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 4:08 PM, Ji said: GGEM says what amped storm. and it has HP North of us Expand That simplifies it. We'll just blend the CMC/ICON and completely toss the GFS except for the first part that snows on us. We're good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 4:08 PM, Ji said: GGEM says what amped storm. and it has HP North of us Expand The only thing that gives me hope is that the GFS has and can flip on a dime, especially under 120 hours as it has done a few times lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 12z ICON at the end of its run brings another nice hit late Wed into early Thurs next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 4:09 PM, Bob Chill said: That simplifies it. We'll just blend the CMC/ICON and completely toss the GFS except for the first part that snows on us. We're good. Expand Ill be waiting for you at 12:15 to say the GEFS does not support this super amped solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 I'm almost tired of hearing about the ICON. It's ****ing useless and is never right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 4:10 PM, yoda said: 12z ICON at the end of its run brings another nice hit late Wed into early Thurs next week Expand Yeah, Icon gives hope (false?), but it was nice to see the R/S line tick SE and get many in here on the board, even if taint takes some away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 4:10 PM, yoda said: 12z ICON at the end of its run brings another nice hit late Wed into early Thurs next week Expand of course it does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 4:11 PM, Ji said: Ill be waiting for you at 12:15 to say the GEFS does not support this super amped solution Expand The problem this time is the GEFS is the one that started seeing the amped solution. And at shorter med range leads I'm almost positive the GEFS run will be a rainfest. If it isn't....I'll be the first one to say it...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 4:12 PM, stormtracker said: I'm almost tired of hearing about the ICON. It's ****ing useless and is never right. Expand agreed. we should just follow the model thats been a rock all year. _____________ (please fill in blank). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 180hrs is never correct on any model, especially the ICON't predict anything model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlamSlam Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 Looks like we will get a lot of the salt washed off the roads.Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 I can live with a clean 2" of snow before it promptly gets washed down the gutter. That's a win this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 31, 2018 Share Posted January 31, 2018 On 1/31/2018 at 4:17 PM, Bob Chill said: I can live with a clean 2" of snow before it promptly gets washed down the gutter. That's a win this year. Expand Especially for the far Western areas, and ESPECIALLY since they have the biggest chance of never going to rain or at least staying snow long enough before turning to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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