Scraff Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 13 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: We are continuing to see a favorable location for the greatest 3 hour pressure drops for the developing low off the coast. They are now centered on the N Car/S Car coast. Again this needs to be taken with caution as this can be misleading at times. Any indications of the trough going neutral to negative? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 I was surprised to look out this morning and see everything including the local roads covered in snow. Looks like at least 1 1/2 inches outside. Haven't measured but local spotter reported that much too. Pretty awesome to see that much after the model and radar trends yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 The snow has eased up to just a few flurries, but picked up another 0.3 in last 2 hours (told you it was light) and have exactly 1.0 on the snowboard. I'll take that as a win considering what it looked like at 10/11 pm last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mimiof2 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Totally busted here. I got a mulch whitener. Brings my snow total to a whopping 2.1 inches so far. Ah well on to the next possibility..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 No surpises here with .3” Well except for MCPS being closed- I assume there was a bit more to my SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 22 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Looks like the precip in our area is getting eaten away towards the south and the dry air is winning. If the coastal was going to do anything for the DC metro area I'd expect the opposite to be happening. The low hasn't even formed yet. Let's wait and see what we have at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Got about a quarter inch in Germantown. A guy in a PT Cruiser fishtailed in front of me on my way to the train station, while he was blabbing on his cell phone. Brilliant! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 15 minutes ago, Scraff said: Any indications of the trough going neutral to negative? The trough is still dropping down through the midwest so it is still strongly positive tilt. What it looks like roughly 12 hours from now will be the key. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshfsu123 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 A little over half an inch here... measured between .5 and .6 in multiple locations. It’s a beautiful morning. Hopefully we get into a little more snow later this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Got about 0.5" in McLean. Couldn't measure, but seems accurate, as a spotter to my West has 0.3", but a spotter to my East has 0.7". I'll stick with it for now and measure when I get home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Just now, showmethesnow said: The trough is still dropping down through the midwest so it is still strongly positive tilt. What it looks like roughly 12 hours from now will be the key. Thanks. Ok. Didn’t realize it was still way out there. Should any surprises arise, we’re not talking until much later I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Couldn't even get a dusting. Barely can record a T. Had an a hour of flurries. This is a colder version of 2011 and 2012. Absolutely, my worst winter in all of my 47 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Just over 1 in. In Easton now, light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Going with 1.5" IMBY thru 9am. Snow of course has stopped in this part of MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 9 minutes ago, Scraff said: Thanks. Ok. Didn’t realize it was still way out there. Should any surprises arise, we’re not talking until much later I guess. I really even hesitated to bring this up previously. Chances are slim that even with the changes we have seen and hopefully see at 500 mb that it would have any meaningful impact for the DC/Balt corridor. But if I were on the shores I would definitely be interested because it won't take much more for them to score something. But the models have struggle a good bit with what I and some others originally considered a straight forward setup so whos to say there may not be other surprises in store? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 This one surprised me in a good way. Despite losing precip to warm temps it recovered and we got 1.5 inches, mostly on the grass with maybe a half inch on the road. So thats positive. Tough one for the models for sure. I guess the further east you went the warmer it was I know Monmouth county in NJ is showing some of the best returns but its rainy. But thats not a negative thing. I am looking forward to the rest of the winter, I think after our warm up things turn better and it seems very unlikely we escape this winter without at least a moderate event (4-8 inch type deal). Worst case, chase something, The weekend of the 27th/28th seems to be advertising something for the interior areas and maybe the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Love the enthusiasm @showme, and enjoy your posts. I don't think we see another flake, but I see your point. I imagine everything will shrink back toward RIC and the coast. It hasn't made any headway for a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfpackwxDC Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Got about 1/2 inch in western Arlington. A bit surprised to see everything completely covered, considering what was going on around midnight. Neighborhood streets in Arlington were a bit dicey, but treated roads 100% ok. Got out the battery powered snow thrower, just to feel like I actually used it one time this season - not feeling confident in our chances this season based on current trends - and of course that was overkill and a complete waste of time, but at least I got to use it once, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Nice coating. I do see wet main roads tho. Parking lot did well. Let’s not sugarcoat it though...we need a legit advisory level snow here. This is the last coating I’ll accept lol (it is a nice scene out tho). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1 hour ago, cae said: Snow has shut off, but what a nice surprise this morning. 1.5" here. HRRR had started to pick up on it last night, but I wasn't convinced. I tried to measure ratios and got about 15:1, so about 0.1" qpf. Yea woke up to a healthy 1" in Reisterstown and was quite happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 If nothing else, it was a very effective .5" that covered everything including the streets. I had snow OTG during the cold snap for what seemed like forever and it was less than 1". Yea, the light events aren't nearly as exciting as what we are all waiting for but for light events they have performed remarkably well this year. That's uncommon in these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 6 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: If nothing else, it was a very effective .5" that covered everything including the streets. I had snow OTG during the cold snap for what seemed like forever and it was less than 1". Yea, the light events aren't nearly as exciting as what we are all waiting for but for light events they have performed remarkably well this year. That's uncommon in these parts. Yeah, we've had plenty of snow events so far this winter. Most of them haven't been larger than 1", but frequent powdery snowfalls have been pretty uncommon. Only wet snow event we had was back during Dec 8-9, and that's about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Golly Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 .6" here so far..maybe another band heading in......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 1.5” total in Pasadena. Models had me at a dusting at best through 0z last night. 7” so far on the year. A nickel and a dime at a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 For those that haven't seen the 12k NAM yet. We have seen some improvements at 500 mb again and we are also seeing much stronger surface low development closer to the coast. eta: We are also seeing a capture of the surface low much closer towards the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 3K NAM is also seeing improvements at 500 mb with quicker and closer to the shore development of the surface low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
attml Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 I have been watching low all morning - not sure we are completely done yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 14 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: For those that haven't seen the 12k NAM yet. We have seen some improvements at 500 mb again and we are also seeing much stronger surface low development closer to the coast. eta: We are also seeing a capture of the surface low much closer towards the coast. I love your hope and dedication. I know there are plenty of storms in the past where it looked like we had no shot and I just wouldn't give up on them. Bring it home for us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 8 minutes ago, attml said: I have been watching low all morning - not sure we are completely done yet? I can't see how this low throws any precip back our way. It exits stage right as soon as it forms and no model has precip getting anywhere near us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Looks like its pretty much done here. 0.8" total. Not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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